Population Density
Arithmetic population density is a calculation of the total number of people divided by the total area of a place, also called real density. It doesn't take into account any of the quality or characteristics of the land in the area such as the amount of land available to produce food.
Physiological/agricultural density measures the total number of people and divides them between the total amount of farmable land. So the amount of land to be used is much smaller than for arithmetic density but the amount of people is much larger than what is used in agricultural density.
Agricultural Density: the ratio of the number of farmers to arable (farmable) land
Population Pyramids
countries with lower fertility rates and longer life expectancies have population pyramids that are shaped more uniformly throughout.
countries with high total fertility rates, high infant mortality rates, and low life expectancies wil have population pyramids with wide bases and narrow tops.
STRUCTURE:
male, age, female
wide base = lots of kids (africa)
wide top = lots of elderly (japan)
lines are called cohorts
TYPES:
j-curve- lots of kids, small amount of elderly (LDC)
equal- B.R.I.C or middle LDCs
rectangle- less kids but they are about equal to elderly and working population. (MDC)
upside down triangle- small population of kids, high elderly population (MDC)
Models
Demographic Transition Model(DTM)- a theory of how population changes over time and provides insights into issues of migration, fertility, economic development, industrialization, urbanization, labor, politics, and the role of women.
World standards: Birth rate average 21 and death rate average 9
Once a country moves from one step to the next it will not back track, unless a cataclysmic event.
Countries must go through each stage.
Stage 1
Equal, fluctuating, and high birth and death rate; natural increase: stable or slow increase
Hunting and gathering(pre-agricultural societies)
Low population
There is no country in the world that is in this stage
Stages 2
Birth rates are exponentially increasing and death rates are exponentially decreasing; natural increase: very rapid increase
Death rates are declining due to more stable food source
Population explosion
Farming/agricultural societies
Children are born for labor; they are backup plan for parents
High TMR, CMR, and IMR
Stage 3
Birth rates are falling and death rates are falling more slowly; linear; natural increase: increase slows down
Industrial societies
BRIC(Brazil, Russia, India, China) countries are LDC(less developed countries)
Industrial revolution; mechanized system of farming
Factories in urban areas
Less TFR due to women entering workforce
Birth and death rates decline due to urbanization and medical advancements
Stage 4
Equal and low birth rates and death rates; natural increase: stable or slow increase
Tertiary societies(service jobs)
Move from factories/production to service industries and selling products
TFR at/below 2
Some countries are experiencing too low birth rates and paying or giving incentives for children
Child become economic liability
High standard of living; low birth rates due to access to birth control
High population but even growth
Moving towards zero population growth(ZPG)
DINK(double income, no kids)
Stage 5
very low birth rates and low death rates; natural increase: slow increase
Deaths rates slightly increase due to diseases evolving
Population Pyramids
STRUCTURE:
male, age, female
wide base = lots of kids (africa)
wide top = lots of elderly (japan)
lines are called cohorts
TYPES:
j-curve- lots of kids, small amount of elderly (LDC)
equal- B.R.I.C or middle LDCs
rectangle- less kids but they are about equal to elderly and working population. (MDC)
upside down triangle- small population of kids, high elderly population (MDC)
Demographic Transition Model
STAGES:
Stage 1- equally high birth and death rate
1-2: agricultural revolution
Stage 2- higher birth rate than death rate because of medicine and traditional family structure; agricultural 10,000 BC; Highest RNI
2-3: industrial revolution
Stage 3- decreasing birth rate (but still high) death rates still low; industrialization
Stage 4- decreasing birth rate (low), death rates still low
Stage 5- lower birth rates than death rate; decreasing
FACTS:
no countries in stage one
LDC countries in late stage 2 to early stage 3
japan & russia in stage 5
Better educational opportunities for women= lower BR
Epidemiological Transition Model
STAGES:
Stage 1- pestilence & famine EX: The Black Plague
Stage 2- receding pandemics (disease that occurs over a wide geographic area and affects a very high proportion of the population) EX: cholera in London or in NYC
Stage 3 & 4 - degenerative diseases (age related) & human created diseases EX: heart disease and cancer
Rate of Natural Increase
GROWTH:
population projected to grow exponentially then level off at 10-11 billion
birth rate - death rate = RNI (per thousand)
slowed in asia
PREVENTION:
use of birth control
governments use propaganda
Sterilization→india (first country)
one child policy →China
TFR & Doubling Time
TOTAL FERTILITY RATES:
Average number of kids a women 15-49 has
world average is 2.1
higher in LDCs (less/least developed countries)
lower in MDCs (more/most developed countries)
DEPENDENCY:
(youth dependency) child dependency rate- the percent of children under 14 who rely on the working class (15-64)
(elderly dependency) old age dependency rate- the percentage of elderly 65+ who rely on the working class (15-64)
ENCOURAGED GROWTH:
to add population there must be high BR or immigration
incentives are used to encourage women to have more kids-EX: longer maternity leave, state paid daycare, etc.
japan, russia, stage 5 countries
ENCOURAGED DECLINE:
women are choosing careers over kids
falling due to family planning, economic uncertainty, & encouragement from the government
countries in africa, stage 2 countries
DOUBLING TIME:
time it takes for a population to double
rule of 7: rate/7=x → 100/x
EX: 3.5/.7=5 → 100/5=20 → 20 years
THOMAS MALTHUS
THOMAS MALTHUS:
british economist
1700s
wrote On Population
THEORY:
believed that the population is overgrowing the world’ s resources
positive check-increases death and reduced population (famine)
WHY HE WAS WRONG:
agricultural goods are exchanged through globalization
food productions have grown due to new technologies
NEO-MALTHUSIANS:
concerned with the overpopulation of the planet which will lead to human suffering
Not only concerned with food sources, but other resources like energy and water
POPULATION DENSITY
PHYSIOLOGICAL DENSITY:
per arable land
people divided by arable land
ARITHMETIC DENSITY:
per square kilometer/mile
people divided by land
EXTRA
Middle-B.R.I.C (Brazil, Russia, India, China)
CYCLIC MOVEMENT
CYCLIC MOVEMENTS:
going somewhere and coming back
commutes
snowbirds- the retired or almost retired that go to warmer places in the winter
transhumance- the moving of livestock to graze in a seasonal cycle; winter=lowlands & summer=highland
pastoralism-herding of livestock
MIGRATION
MIGRATION:
the movement of a person or a group of people from one place of residence to another
TYPES:
forced or voluntary movement
internal or international/external movement
seasonal migration
rural to urban migration
PUSH FACTORS:
reasons migrants leave
conflict
environmental