GDP Definition: Total market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period.
Three Approaches to GDP:
Expenditures Approach: Y=C+I+G+NX
C: Consumption
I: Investment
G: Government Spending
NX: Net Exports (Exports - Imports)
Income Approach: Sum of all incomes earned by resources used to produce output.
Production Approach: Sum of all outputs in the economy.
Real vs. Nominal GDP:
Nominal GDP: Measures output using current prices.
Real GDP: Adjusted for inflation (uses constant base-year prices).
GDP Deflator: Nominal GDP/Real GDP x 100
Limitations of GDP:
Does not measure informal economies or non-market transactions.
Does not capture environmental factors, inequality, or overall well-being.
Consumer Price Index (CPI):
Measures the overall cost of goods and services bought by a typical consumer.
Formula: CPI= (Cost of Basket in current year)/(Cost of basket in base year) x 100
Major categories include housing (40%), transportation (15%), and food (15%).
Problems with CPI:
Substitution Bias: CPI doesn’t account for consumers substituting cheaper goods.
Unmeasured Quality Changes: Improvement in quality over time is not fully captured.
Introduction of New Goods: New products aren't included in the basket immediately.
Comparing Prices Across Time:
Formula to adjust prices over time: Adjusted Price = Old price x CPI Today/CPI in Old year
Real vs. Nominal Interest Rates:
Real Interest Rate = Nominal Interest Rate - Inflation Rate.
Economic Growth: Higher GDP per capita leads to a better standard of living.
Worker Productivity: Main determinant of a country’s income level.
More productivity → higher wages and living standards.
Determinants of Productivity:
K/L = Physical Capital per worker.
H/L = Human Capital per worker.
N/L = Natural Resources per worker.
A= Technology (biggest driver of growth).
Production Function: Y=A⋅F(K,L,H,N)
Exhibits diminishing returns to capital.
The production function has the property constant returns to scale:
Changing all inputs by the same percentage causes output to change by that percentage
Policies to Raise Productivity:
Education, research and development, property rights, and encouraging saving/investment.
Population Growth:
May promote or inhibit economic growth depending on how resources are managed.
Financial System:
Consists of financial markets (e.g., stock markets) and financial intermediaries (e.g., banks).
Saving = Investment (in a closed economy): Y−C−G
National Saving = Public Saving + Private Saving: S=(Y−T−C)+(T−G)
Public Saving: (Y-T-C)
Private Saving: (T-G)
Loanable Funds Market:
Supply of Loanable Funds: Savers.
Demand for Loanable Funds: Investors.
Equilibrium occurs where supply = demand, determining the interest rate.
Government Deficits and Debt:
Deficits reduce national savings, leading to higher interest rates.
Time Value of Money:
Present Value (PV) Formula: PV=FV/(1+r)^t
FV: Future Value
r: Interest rate
t: Time period
Rule of 70: Time to double 70/growth rate in %
Risk Aversion: People prefer less risk; as wealth increases, utility from additional wealth decreases.
Insurance Markets:
Adverse Selection: High-risk individuals are more likely to get insurance.
Moral Hazard: People take more risks when insured.
Diversification: Reduces firm-specific risk but cannot eliminate market risk.
Efficient Markets Hypothesis: Asset prices reflect all publicly available information.
Categories of Employment:
Employed, Unemployed, and Not in Labor Force.
Labor Force Participation Rate: Percentage of adults in the labor force.
Types of Unemployment:
Cyclical Unemployment: Due to economic downturns.
Natural Unemployment: Includes frictional and structural unemployment.
Frictional Unemployment: Short-term, occurs when workers transition between jobs.
Structural Unemployment: Long-term, mismatch between workers’ skills and job requirements.
Public Policies for Unemployment:
Government policies such as unemployment benefits, job training programs, and labor market regulations
Functions of Money:
Medium of Exchange: Used to facilitate transactions.
Unit of Account: Provides a standard measure for prices.
Store of Value: Holds purchasing power over time.
Sometimes economists label “medium of deferred payment” as a fourth function of money, but it is really just a combination of which two functions: medium of exchange & store of value
Types of Money:
Commodity Money: Has intrinsic value (e.g., gold).
Fiat Money: Value derived from government decree (e.g., U.S. dollar).
Federal Reserve (Fed):
Central Bank of the U.S. controlling money supply.
Tools of Monetary Policy:
Open Market Operations: Buying/selling government bonds.
Reserve Requirements: Minimum reserves banks must hold.
Discount Rate: Interest rate on loans from Fed to banks.
Fractional Reserve Banking:
Banks hold a fraction of deposits and lend out the rest.
Money Multiplier: 1 / Reserve Ratio, determines money supply impact from deposits.
Quantity Theory of Money:
M×V=P×Y
Money supply (M), velocity (V), price level (P), output (Y).
Implication: Increase in money supply leads to proportional price level increase if velocity and output are stable.
Hyperinflation:
Extremely high inflation, typically due to excessive money printing.
Inflation Tax:
Reduction in value of money due to inflation, acting as a ‘tax’ on holders of cash.
Fisher Effect:
Relationship between nominal and real interest rates: Nominal Rate = Real Rate + Inflation Rate.
Anticipated inflation increases nominal rates, leaving real rates unaffected.
Key Concepts:
Net Exports (NX): Exports - Imports.
Net Capital Outflow (NCO): Domestic purchase of foreign assets - Foreign purchase of domestic assets.
Open Economy Balance:
NX=NCO: Trade balance equals net capital outflow.
Exchange Rates:
Nominal Exchange Rate: Rate at which one currency trades for another.
Real Exchange Rate: Adjusted for price levels, affects relative cost of domestic vs. foreign goods.
Purchasing-Power Parity (PPP):
Theory stating that exchange rates should adjust to equalize price levels across countries.
Is a long term thing
Loanable Funds Market in an Open Economy:
National Saving supplies funds.
Domestic Investment and Net Capital Outflow (NCO) demand funds.
Market for Foreign-Currency Exchange:
Supply of currency from NCO; demand driven by net exports.
Equilibrium: Determines real exchange rate.
Effects of Policies:
Trade Policy (tariffs, quotas): Generally does not affect trade balance but shifts NX, affecting exchange rates.
Capital Flight: Sudden increase in NCO, depreciates currency, and increases interest rates due to reduced domestic savings.
Aggregate Demand (AD)
Definition: The total amount of goods and services demanded in an economy at a given overall price level during a specific time period.
Formula: AD = C + I + G + NX
C (Consumption): Total consumer spending
I (Investment): Business spending on capital goods
G (Government Spending): Total government expenditures
NX (Net Exports): Exports minus imports
Effects to Master
Wealth Effect Definition: Changes in perceived personal wealth that influence spending behavior
Interest Rate Effect Definition: How changes in interest rates impact borrowing, spending, and investment decisions
Exchange Rate Effect Definition: How currency valuation impacts the purchasing power and international trade competitiveness of an economy
Aggregate Supply (AS)
Definition: The total quantity of goods and services that firms are willing to produce and sell at a given price level during a specific time period.
Short-Run Aggregate Supply (SRAS) Characteristics
Definition of Sticky Prices: Prices that do not adjust quickly to changes in economic conditions
Definition of Sticky Wages: Wages that resist immediate changes in response to economic shifts
Misperceptions: Temporary economic misconceptions that can create real short-term economic effects
Definition: Actions taken by a central bank to influence the money supply, interest rates, and overall economic conditions
Definition: An economic theory explaining how people decide to hold money based on its opportunity cost and potential returns
Definition: Government's use of spending and taxation to influence economic conditions
Definition: The proportional increase in economic output resulting from an initial injection of spending
Calculation: MPC (Marginal Propensity to Consume) = Change in Consumption / Change in Income
Definition: A situation where increased government spending reduces or eliminates private sector spending and investment
Definition: A graphical representation of the relationship between unemployment and inflation rates
Definition: The process of reducing the rate of inflation
Sacrifice Ratio Definition: The cumulative loss of output during a period of reduced inflation, measuring the cost of lowering inflation
Rational Expectations
Definition: An economic theory suggesting that people make choices based on their rational outlook, available information, and past experiences