The early weather setup might reflect a Rossby wave from the jet stream.
The jet stream divides cold and warm air.
Bends in the jet stream can lead to cold air outbreaks and warm air moving north.
Mid-Cycle Weather Patterns
The mid-cycle looks familiar, with a cold front catching up.
Warm air at the surface is rapidly lifted along the area of occlusion.
Wind Dynamics
Wind direction is driven by the pressure gradient over a local area.
Low pressure at the center implies higher pressure all around.
Air rushes in from all directions to converge on the low pressure zone.
Air Sectors
Three sectors:
Warm
Cool
Cold
Wind direction shifts as warm and cold fronts approach and pass.
Wind Direction and Warm Air Zones
In the Northern Hemisphere, winds need a southerly component to maintain a warm air zone.
Behind a cold front, winds tend to have a west-northwest component, bringing in colder air.
In the cool sector, air comes from the north to northeast, bringing cooler air.
Reading Weather Maps
You can read isobars on a weather map to determine wind direction more precisely.
Conceptually, at location one (warm front approaching), the wind direction would likely have an east-northeast component as air rushes towards the low.
Variations occur based on high-pressure zones. A strong high-pressure zone to the east might cause more easterly winds; a high-pressure zone to the north might lead to a more northern component.
Basic Principles of Wind
Air must converge on the low from high pressure zones.
Wind direction shifts as the warm front passes, exposing the location to southeasterly winds.
After the warm front passes, winds shift to a southerly direction.
Occlusion Process
As the occlusion progresses, warm air at the surface is lost, causing the system to break down.
Resetting After Occlusion
After occlusion, cooler air remains, requiring a new setup with blocks of cold and warm air for another low to form.
Global surface maps often show multiple such systems stacked up off the coast, especially in winter.
Typical winter conditions involve storms every three to five days, with cold fronts and warm fronts passing through.
Southern Hemisphere
In the Southern Hemisphere, weather patterns occur in reverse.
Wind Progression
Wind progression goes from northeasterly to southerly winds, then westerlies after the cold front passes.
Reading Isobars
Isobars are lines connecting equal air pressure.
High pressure moves towards low pressure, dictating wind direction.
By reading isobars, we can discuss wind direction even without knowing about mid-latitude cyclones.
Examples of Isobar Interpretation
At location D, with high pressure to the north, the wind direction is northeasterly.
At location B, with high pressure off the coast, there's a more easterly component, but it's still warm air coming from the south onshore.
Near the cold front, there's a westerly flow due to a ring of high pressures.
Lab Task
Write a forecast for letter E (ahead of the warm front, cold front, and behind the cold front).
Use locations B and A as proxies.
Forecasting Tips
To determine precipitation at letter D after the cold front passes, consider what's happening at letter A right now.
Sketch out the progression of uncertainty.
Exam Style Questions
Simple questions focusing on relative conditions at different locations.
Example: "Temperatures at location one are blank compared to two" (warmer).
Example: "Precipitation at two is blank compared to number three" (heavier).
Recognize a cold front and associated weather patterns, temperature, etc.
Front Speeds
Warm fronts move at about 10 miles per hour.
Cold fronts move at 20 to 40 miles per hour.
Significant temperature differences can cause even faster movement.
Northwest Weather Patterns
Constant parade of fronts moving through.
Even if a cold front is approaching, it is still technically a cold front if colder temperatures are behind it.
Shoulder seasons (fall and spring) offer the best opportunities for robust thunderstorms due to contrasting air masses.
Temperature Differences
Surface heating ramps up, leading to warm air, while colder air slides in.
Large temperature differences are possible in the shoulder seasons.
Example: 86 degrees in Central Washington followed by 60 degrees.
Thunderstorms
Eastern Washington has numerous thunderstorms in the spring due to converging warm and cool air.
Two main drivers of thunderstorms:
Convective lifting (warm air rising).
Cold fronts.
Thunderstorm Timing
Thunderstorms most common in the afternoon due to convection.
Thunderstorms at two in the morning usually indicate a cold front situation.
Timing and seasonality offer clues about the mechanism driving the storm.
Rare Phenomenon: Thundersnow
Thundersnow: A thunderstorm happening while it's snowing.
Requires a huge temperature gradient.
Thundersnow Explanation
Ocean temperature remains relatively constant (40–50 degrees).
Cold Arctic air outbreak leads to below-freezing surface temperatures and extremely cold temperatures high in the atmosphere (-20 to -40 degrees).
Warm air rises from the ocean into extremely cold air, rapidly cooling and producing thunderstorm conditions.
Storm produces snow falling through cold air.
Analogous Situation in Eastern Washington
Surface temperatures of 80 to 90 degrees combine with freezing air aloft.