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Voter Turnout

Every two years there is a reelection for 1/3 of the senate

→ why? stability, avoiding a complete turn over, leaves govt vulnerable

Presidential Election year → 60%

  • 1/3 of the senate

  • President

Midterm elections (half way through prez’s term) → 40%

  • 1/3 senate

  • all of house

Local elections → 20%

Wisconsin has one of the highest voter turnout because you can register one election day

In the past 32 yrs, republicans have only won the popular vote once

Republicans are advantaged in the electoral college system → Framers of the constitution wanted the states to decide. It is about states size and most small states are republican.

Polls

Harris - 49% ± 3% = 46-52%

Trump - 48% ± 3% = 45-51%

Blue wall states → Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania

During the midterm elections, president’s party usually loses seats in the house