Importance of research methods in psychology for foundational understanding.
Competing Hypotheses: The phenomenon where contradictory claims exist in society. Examples include:
Birds of a feather flock together vs. Opposites attract: Both claims can't be true simultaneously but might be valid under different conditions.
Examples of competing hypotheses such as:
You can't teach an old dog new tricks vs. You're too old to learn.
Nothing ventured, nothing gained vs. Better safe than sorry.
Hindsight Bias: The tendency to believe one could have predicted an event after it has occurred.
Examples:
Claims of knowing outcomes post-factum (i.e., Nick Cannon on The Masked Singer).
Trump's quotes regarding COVID-19 show hindsight bias (contradictory statements).
Overconfidence: A cognitive bias where individuals believe they know more than they actually do.
Activity involving estimating time to solve anagrams illustrates this concept.
Research shows majority of participants underestimate time and overestimate their abilities.
Follow-up Study: Predictions about future events show participants' overconfidence; they were more confident than correct.
Four Goals:
Describing behavior
Predicting behavior
Determining the causes of behavior
Understanding or explaining behavior
First step of theory formation. Example: Observing a class and noting note-taking methods.
Descriptive Statistics: Used to summarize data; does not explain differences.
Example research questions:
Most popular movie genres among adults 60+?
Fast food chain preference in the US? (Answer: Chick Fil A)
Online activity among 8-18 year olds (with visual statistics).
Can we predict behaviors based on certain variables? (e.g., note-taking styles by year in university).
Predictive Modeling: Understanding relationships between variables:
Independent variable: What is manipulated.
Dependent variable: What is measured.
Examples:
Does extroversion predict number of sexual partners?
Can intelligence be predicted by education years?
Does aggression correlate with height?
Correlation does not imply causation. Establishing direct relationships is crucial.
Empirical evidence needed to claim causality (e.g., does watching violent TV cause aggression?).
Example finding from the APA on violence's relationship with aggression, emphasizing predictive rather than causative language.
Establishing causation leads to needing explanations.
Possible mechanisms involve modeling and psychological desensitization. Further studies are essential to refine theories.
Cyclical Process:
Start with a theory.
Generate hypotheses.
Collect data.
Analyze data and refine theory.
A scientific theory organizes ideas about phenomena.
Must be testable and lead to hypothesis generation.
An educated guess that forecasts behavior. Examples using ink color impacting learning motivation.
Hypotheses must be falsifiable.
Descriptive Studies: Help describe behavior.
Case Studies: In-depth analysis of an individual/group, but cannot generalize results.
Naturalistic Observation: Observing individuals in their natural environments without interference.
Surveys: Collect self-reported data; easy to collect but bias and representativity issues.
Correlational Studies: Measure how variables relate without manipulation.
Benefits: No need to manipulate variables, can explore multiple variables simultaneously.
Limitations: Correlation does not imply causation; potential third variable issues.
Experimental Studies: Manipulate one variable to observe effects.
Features control and experimental groups. Essential for establishing cause and effect claims.
Confounding variables must be managed to ensure validity of results.
Descriptive, Correlational, and Experimental designs to provide various insights into human behavior.
Descriptive Statistics: Summaries of data, highlighting trends without explaining differences.
Inferential Statistics: Used to make generalizations about populations based on sample data.
Optional activity: Design a correlational and experimental study based on proposed research questions.
Read an article on Extra Sensory Perception (ESP) and analyze it through the lens of the scientific method.
Importance of research methods in building a foundation for understanding psychology. Continuous learning encouraged.