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Survey Research (1)

Page 1: Introduction

  • Survey Research: A method for collecting information through questions.

Page 2: Components of Survey Research

  • Main Focus Areas:

    • Behaviors

    • Opinions/Attitudes

    • Facts

    • Beliefs

  • Modes of Asking:

    • Telephones

    • Interviews

    • Mail

    • Internet

Page 3: Purpose of Surveys

  • Interest In:

    • Individuals

    • Aggregation of Views

    • Recent & Current Events

    • Large Groups

Page 4: Survey Functions

  • Uses:

    • Descriptive: Summarizing data.

    • Explanatory: Understanding relationships.

    • Exploratory: Investigating new areas.

  • Respondents: Individual respondents or informants required for analysis.

Page 5: Importance of Survey Research

  • Key Methodology:

    • Ideal for collecting original data from large populations.

    • Probability Sampling: Ensures sample characteristics reflect the population.

    • Standardized Questionnaires: Uniform data collection across respondents.

Page 6: Steps in Survey Research

  1. Research Design

  2. Select Sample

  3. Construct Questions

  4. Ask Questions

  5. Analyze Data

  6. Report Results

Page 7: Response Rate

  • Definition: Percentage of surveys returned.

  • Significance:

    • High response rate = reduced response bias.

    • Low response rate indicates potential biases in non-respondents.

Page 8: Acceptable Response Rates (According to Babbie)

  • 50%: Adequate for analysis

  • 60%: Good

  • 70%: Very Good

Page 9: Non-attitudes in Surveys

  • Common Assumptions:

    • Survey research is akin to archeology, uncovering existing opinions.

    • Challenges the notion that people constantly have formed attitudes.

Page 10: Addressing Non-attitudes

  • Strategies:

    • Screen respondents for knowledge on issues.

    • Develop a "Mushiness Index" for vague opinions.

    • Offer a middle ground or a "Don't Know" option in questions.

Page 11: Strengths of Survey Research

  • Capabilities:

    • Access to opinions from large groups.

    • Flexibility across fields such as medical, educational, political, and business.

    • Facilitates hypothesis testing and encourages systematic comparisons.

Page 12: Weaknesses of Survey Research

  • Limitations:

    • Standardization may oversimplify complexity.

    • Surveys may miss "why" behind opinions.

    • Risks of disengaged respondents or dishonest answers.

Page 13: Political Polling Insights

  • Polling Errors in U.S. Elections:

    • 2020 polls overestimated Biden's advantage by 3.9 points.

    • Visualization of average signed error for various election years (1936-2020).

Page 14: Accuracy in Political Polling

  • Historical Accuracy:

    • 2016 had low national polling errors; contrasted with 2000's overestimation.

  • Error Comparisons: 2000 vs. 2016 polling accuracies.

Page 15: Election Polling Misses

  • State-level Poll Errors:

    • Overview of polling inaccuracies during elections in several states (e.g., Wisconsin, Florida).

Page 16: Survey Sampling Concepts

  • Population vs. Sample:

    • Definitions and distinctions between the broader population and the sampled subset.

  • Sampling Methods: Importance of approach (e.g., simple random vs. convenience).

Page 17: Margin of Error

  • Formula: ME = X Z

  • Understanding how margin of error reflects sampling reliability.

Page 18: Trends in Response Rates

  • Declining Telephonic Survey Responses:

    • Data on response rate trends from 1997 to 2018 showing significant drops.

    • AAPOR RR3 response rate specifications and their implications.