SA

5. PPHS 501: Population Health & Epidemiology - Burden of Disease

FALL 2025 PPHS 501 Population Health & Epidemiology 1

  • Instructor: Ananya Banerjee, PhD

    • (she/her)

    • Assistant Professor

    • Equity, Diversity, Inclusion and Anti-Racism (EDIAR) Lead

    • Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health

    • School of Population and Global Health | McGill University

Population: Burden of Disease

Lecture Date: Sept 24, 2025

Content Overview

  • How to measure burden of disease

  • Health-Adjusted Life Expectancy (HALEs)

  • Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALY)

  • Years of Life Lost (YLL)

  • Years Lived with Disability (YLD)

  • Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALY)

  • Highlights from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study

WHAT IS HEALTH?

  • Definition from WHO Charter, 1948:

    • "A state of complete physical, mental, and social well-being and not merely the absence of disease or infirmity."

RECALL: WHY MEASURE POPULATION HEALTH?

  • Purpose of Measurement:

    • Tracking public health trends across populations in time and space.

    • Tracking public health trends within populations to identify inequities in health.

    • Identifying public health priorities to balance health spending towards factors causing the greatest loss of health.

    • Monitoring progress towards objectives, evaluating impact of public health interventions, and promoting accountability.

HOW TO SUMMARIZE POPULATION HEALTH?

  • Historical Metrics:

    • Comparisons of:

    • Crude Death Rate (CDR)

    • Disease-specific mortality

    • Maternal mortality

    • Infant mortality

    • Life expectancy

    • Key Focus for Health Planners:

    • Value gained from healthcare spending, encompassing both expenditure and returns for the population.

INDICATORS OF POPULATION HEALTH

  • Leading Metrics:

    • Up to the 1960s, life expectancy was the primary indicator of population health.

    • Limitations of life expectancy: does not account for disability.

    • Development of additional metrics to capture both mortality and disability:

    • Healthy Life Expectancy (HLE) / Health-Adjusted Life Expectancy (HALE)

    • Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs)

    • Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs)

INDICATORS OF POPULATION HEALTH - DATA INFORMATICS

  • Data Sources:

    • Latest available epidemiological data must be complete and accurate.

    • Considerations:

    • Data should be valid, timely, locally derived, and disaggregated by age and sex.

    • Acknowledgment of under-reporting or underdiagnosis of health conditions.

TWO MAJOR TYPES OF SUMMARY MEASURES

  • Health Expectancy Measures:

    • Measures how healthy is a population.

  • Health Gap Measures:

    • Measures health importance of specific issues.

HEALTH ADJUSTED LIFE EXPECTANCY (HALE)

  • Definition:

    • Indicator of the average number of years an individual is expected to live in a healthy state.

  • Summary Measure:

    • Combines both the quantity of life (mortality) and the quality of life (morbidity) into a single measure.

  • Usage:

    • Used to measure burden of disease and injury, risk factors, and performance of public health efforts.

    • Weights quantify the extent of disability (e.g. Weight = 1 for perfect health).

HISTORY OF HALE

  • Data Compilation:

    • WHO began compiling HALE data into tables in 1999 using mortality estimates.

    • Collaboration with the United Nations Population Division (UNPD) for biannual updates across over 180 member states.

    • Countries often disaggregate HALE data into regions and communities.

USE OF HALE

  • Applications:

    • Predict future health service needs.

    • Evaluate health programs and identify trends worldwide.

  • Example:

    • HALE increased by 5.31 years for males and 5.73 years for females globally from 1990 to 2013 due to public health policies.

USE OF HALE TO UNDERSTAND DISPARITIES

  • Importance:

    • Identifying racial and ethnic disparities and understanding their existence.

    • Advocacy for disaggregated data in health analysis.

THE SULLIVAN METHOD

  • Definition:

    • Used by WHO to compute HALE, incorporating life expectancy with a weight for each type of disability based on severity.

THINK-PAIR-SHARE ACTIVITY

  • HALE comparisons based on hypertension and healthy years at different ages and life expectancy metrics.

  • Engage in discussions about the implications of these comparisons on health outcomes and interventions.

LIFE EXPECTANCY (e0) vs HALE

  • Characteristics:

    • Both metrics reflect specific population groups during defined timeframes.

    • Individual life expectancies can vary from averages and change over time.

    • Both should be treated as descriptive, not predictive statistics.

HEALTH GAPS - DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYs)

  • Definition:

    • Measure of health loss associated with diseases or injuries.

    • Developed for the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) project.

  • Components of DALYs:

    • Years of Life Lost (YLL): Related to deaths and standard life expectancy at age of death.

    • Years Lived with Disability (YLD): Calculated using incident cases, disability weight, and duration.

    • Example Calculation:

      • YLL = Number of deaths x Standard life expectancy at age of death

      • YLD = Number of incident cases x Disability weight x Average duration

      • DALY = YLL + YLD

HEALTH GAPS - QALYs

  • Definition:

    • QALYs measure the improvement or extension of life quality due to medical interventions.

  • Utility Weights:

    • Ranges from 0 (death) to 1 (perfect health) using techniques like standard gamble.

  • Controversies:

    • Limited sensitivity to compare similar treatments; serious ill health may outweigh the value of being alive, and cultural variances impact perceptions of health.

GLOBAL BURDEN OF DISEASE STUDY (GBD)

  • Commission:

    • Initiated by the World Bank in the 1990s.

  • Objective:

    • Quantify health loss due to diseases, injuries, and risk factors for specific demographics.

  • Outcomes:

    • Helps policymakers understand health system challenges and track trends over time and across populations.

GBD METHODOLOGY

  • Data Handling:

    • Involves a collaborative network of researchers and comprehensive data analysis for health metrics.

  • Visualizations:

    • Interactive tools and resources for understanding over 1 billion data points to observe trends in health metrics across various parameters.

CONCLUSION

  • Key Takeaways:

    • Understanding methodology and assumptions of burden of disease studies is crucial.

    • Acknowledgment of the subjectivity of DALY and QALY measures in health distribution analysis.

    • Consideration of regional variations in health metrics when developing health policy.

NEXT CLASS

  • Transition to epidemiological methods focusing on Indigenous-led Epidemiology for Truth & Reconciliation Week.

  • Reflection Activity #2 to be discussed.

REFLECTION ACTIVITY ANSWERS