Unit 4.6: Financial Sector

Monetary Policy

  • Monetary policy::
      * A central bank’s policies of influencing nominal interest rates to help achieve macroeconomic objectives:
        * Price stability
        * Full employment
  • Interest rate changes impact the price level, real output, and unemployment through shifts of AD

Monetary policy’s target interest rate

  • When banks are unable to meets the reserve requirement, they can:
      * Call in loans
      * Sell assets
      * Borrow from the central bank (pay discount rate)
      * Borrow from other commercial banks (pay policy rate)
  • Policy rate::
      * Overnight interbank lending rate
      * Called the federal funds rate in the US
  • Central banks often set a target range for the policy rate to guide monetary policy
  • Expansionary monetary policy::
      * When the central bank decreases nominal interest rates in the short run to help get an economy out of a recessionary gap
        * Lower interest rate => less expensive to borrow => more interest-sensitive spending (investment and consumption) => increase in AD \n
  • Contractionary monetary policy::
      * When the central bank increases nominal interest rates in the short run to get an economy out of an inflationary gap
        * Higher interest rates => more expensive to borrow => less interest-sensitive spending (investment and consumption) => decrease in AD
      *

Monetary policy lags

  • Recognition lag::
      * It takes central banks time to collect and analyze the data needed to recognize problems in the economy
  • Impact (or operational) lag::
      * It takes time for the economy to adjust after the policy action is taken

Limited reserves

  • In a limited reserves framework, interest rate changes are brought about through shifts of the money supply
  • Limited reserves framework::
      * A banking system in which:
        * Reserves are not overly abundant
        * There is a nonzero reserve requirement
        * Commercial banks hold required reserves and possibly also excess reserves
        * Monetary policy works by changing the supply of excess reserves and therefore the supply of money
        * Changing the money supply results in changes to the nominal interest rate
Limited Reserves monetary policy tools
  • a) Required reserve ratio::
      * The percentage of demand (checkable) deposits banks must hold in their reserves
      * If it decreases
        * Banks have more excess reserves to lend
        * MS (money supply) increases (nominal interest rate falls or NIR)
      * If it increases
        * Banks have less excess reserves to lend
        * MS decreases (nominal interest rate rises)
  • b) Discount rate::
      * The interest rate commercial banks must pay to borrow from the central bank
      * Decreases:
        * Banks encouraged to lend more
        * MS increases (nominal interest rate falls)
      * Increases:
        * Banks encouraged to lend less
        * MS decreases (nominal interest rate rises)
  • c) Open market operations (OMO)::
      * Central bank buying and selling of government bonds (securities)
      * Central bank buys bonds (OM purchase)
        * Banks’ excess reserves increases
        * MS increases (NIR falls)
      * Central bank sells bonds (OM sale)
        * Banks’ excess reserves decreases
        * MS decreases (NIR rises)

 

The money multiplier

  • OMO causes changes in reserves, so the monetary base changes
  • In limited reserves environments, the effect of an OMO on the MS is greater than the effect on the monetary base because of the money multiplier
  • An increase in excess reserves (OMO purchases) leads banks to make more loans, which leads to more deposits, which creates more excess reserves, which allows for more loans
  • A decrease in excess (OMO sale) works the opposite way
  • Maximum possible value of money multiplier:
      * Money multiplier = 1 / required reserve ratio
      * Based on assumptions:
        * Banks hold no excess reserves
        * Borrowers spend their entire loans
        * Customers hold no cash
  • Maximum possible change to MS as a result of an OMO:
      * Change to MS = OMO amount * money multiplier
  • Open market operations effects
      * Liabilities don’t change, but money is moved around in the assets section
        * change a bank’s excess reserves by the entire amount of the purchase (increase) or sale (decrease)
          * Required reserve ratio doesn’t apply to OMO
        * change a bank’s bond holding amount by the entire amount of the purchase (decrease) or sale (increase)

Ample Reserves

  • Tied to central bank of the US (federal reserve)
  • In a limited reserves framework, interest rate changes are brought about through changes to administered interest rates
  • Ample reserves framework::
      * A banking system in which:
        * Reserves are abundant
        * The required reserve ratio is zero
        * ^^Changing the MS no longer leads to changes in nominal interest rates^^
        * Different monetary policy tools are needed
  • The money market graph is not used to model an ample reserves banking system, ^^the reserve market model^^ is
      * Policy rate (federal funds rate in the US) is important in the model used for this framework
      *
      * Policy rate is set at the intersection of SR (supply of reserves) and DR (demand for reserves)
      * In ample reserves, SR intersects the lower horizontal portion of DR
        * Buying bonds is used to maintain ample reserves (not a monetary policy tool in this case)
        * The monetary base increases, but there is no impact on interest rates
        * Reserve market model:
      *
Ample Reserves monetary policy tools (used by Fed)
  • a) Administered interest rates, including:
      * Interest on reserves (IOR)::
        * The interest rate commercial banks earn on the funds in their reserve balances accounts with the Fed
        * Fed’s primary monetary policy tool
        * increases to IOR move up the lower bound (lower horizontal area on DR) on the reserve market model graph
          * Decreases to IOR move the lower bound down
      * Discount rate::
        * Same definition as under limited reserves, but the central bank is the Fed in the US
        * increases to discount rate move up the upper bound (higher horizontal area on DR) on the reserve market model graph
          * Decreases to discount rate move the upper bound down
  • Expansionary policy
      * A decrease in these administered interest rates leads to a decrease in the policy rate then a decrease in other nominal interest rates
      * Interest-sensitive spending and AD will increase
      * effect of expansionary monetary policy on reserve market model
  • Contractionary policy
      * An increase in these administered interest rates leads to an increase in the policy rate then an increase in other nominal interest rates
      * Interest-sensitive spending and AD will decrease
      * effect of contractionary monetary policy on reserve market model