Unit 4.6: Financial Sector
Monetary Policy
- Monetary policy::
* A central bank’s policies of influencing nominal interest rates to help achieve macroeconomic objectives:
* Price stability
* Full employment - Interest rate changes impact the price level, real output, and unemployment through shifts of AD
Monetary policy’s target interest rate
- When banks are unable to meets the reserve requirement, they can:
* Call in loans
* Sell assets
* Borrow from the central bank (pay discount rate)
* Borrow from other commercial banks (pay policy rate) - Policy rate::
* Overnight interbank lending rate
* Called the federal funds rate in the US - Central banks often set a target range for the policy rate to guide monetary policy
- Expansionary monetary policy::
* When the central bank decreases nominal interest rates in the short run to help get an economy out of a recessionary gap
* Lower interest rate => less expensive to borrow => more interest-sensitive spending (investment and consumption) => increase in AD \n - Contractionary monetary policy::
* When the central bank increases nominal interest rates in the short run to get an economy out of an inflationary gap
* Higher interest rates => more expensive to borrow => less interest-sensitive spending (investment and consumption) => decrease in AD
*
Monetary policy lags
- Recognition lag::
* It takes central banks time to collect and analyze the data needed to recognize problems in the economy - Impact (or operational) lag::
* It takes time for the economy to adjust after the policy action is taken
Limited reserves
- In a limited reserves framework, interest rate changes are brought about through shifts of the money supply
- Limited reserves framework::
* A banking system in which:
* Reserves are not overly abundant
* There is a nonzero reserve requirement
* Commercial banks hold required reserves and possibly also excess reserves
* Monetary policy works by changing the supply of excess reserves and therefore the supply of money
* Changing the money supply results in changes to the nominal interest rate
Limited Reserves monetary policy tools
- a) Required reserve ratio::
* The percentage of demand (checkable) deposits banks must hold in their reserves
* If it decreases
* Banks have more excess reserves to lend
* MS (money supply) increases (nominal interest rate falls or NIR)
* If it increases
* Banks have less excess reserves to lend
* MS decreases (nominal interest rate rises) - b) Discount rate::
* The interest rate commercial banks must pay to borrow from the central bank
* Decreases:
* Banks encouraged to lend more
* MS increases (nominal interest rate falls)
* Increases:
* Banks encouraged to lend less
* MS decreases (nominal interest rate rises) - c) Open market operations (OMO)::
* Central bank buying and selling of government bonds (securities)
* Central bank buys bonds (OM purchase)
* Banks’ excess reserves increases
* MS increases (NIR falls)
* Central bank sells bonds (OM sale)
* Banks’ excess reserves decreases
* MS decreases (NIR rises)
The money multiplier
- OMO causes changes in reserves, so the monetary base changes
- In limited reserves environments, the effect of an OMO on the MS is greater than the effect on the monetary base because of the money multiplier
- An increase in excess reserves (OMO purchases) leads banks to make more loans, which leads to more deposits, which creates more excess reserves, which allows for more loans
- A decrease in excess (OMO sale) works the opposite way
- Maximum possible value of money multiplier:
* Money multiplier = 1 / required reserve ratio
* Based on assumptions:
* Banks hold no excess reserves
* Borrowers spend their entire loans
* Customers hold no cash - Maximum possible change to MS as a result of an OMO:
* Change to MS = OMO amount * money multiplier - Open market operations effects
* Liabilities don’t change, but money is moved around in the assets section
* change a bank’s excess reserves by the entire amount of the purchase (increase) or sale (decrease)
* Required reserve ratio doesn’t apply to OMO
* change a bank’s bond holding amount by the entire amount of the purchase (decrease) or sale (increase)
Ample Reserves
- Tied to central bank of the US (federal reserve)
- In a limited reserves framework, interest rate changes are brought about through changes to administered interest rates
- Ample reserves framework::
* A banking system in which:
* Reserves are abundant
* The required reserve ratio is zero
* ^^Changing the MS no longer leads to changes in nominal interest rates^^
* Different monetary policy tools are needed - The money market graph is not used to model an ample reserves banking system, ^^the reserve market model^^ is
* Policy rate (federal funds rate in the US) is important in the model used for this framework
*
* Policy rate is set at the intersection of SR (supply of reserves) and DR (demand for reserves)
* In ample reserves, SR intersects the lower horizontal portion of DR
* Buying bonds is used to maintain ample reserves (not a monetary policy tool in this case)
* The monetary base increases, but there is no impact on interest rates
* Reserve market model:
*
Ample Reserves monetary policy tools (used by Fed)
- a) Administered interest rates, including:
* Interest on reserves (IOR)::
* The interest rate commercial banks earn on the funds in their reserve balances accounts with the Fed
* Fed’s primary monetary policy tool
* increases to IOR move up the lower bound (lower horizontal area on DR) on the reserve market model graph
* Decreases to IOR move the lower bound down
* Discount rate::
* Same definition as under limited reserves, but the central bank is the Fed in the US
* increases to discount rate move up the upper bound (higher horizontal area on DR) on the reserve market model graph
* Decreases to discount rate move the upper bound down - Expansionary policy
* A decrease in these administered interest rates leads to a decrease in the policy rate then a decrease in other nominal interest rates
* Interest-sensitive spending and AD will increase
* - Contractionary policy
* An increase in these administered interest rates leads to an increase in the policy rate then an increase in other nominal interest rates
* Interest-sensitive spending and AD will decrease
*