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Science
Environmental Science
Hurricane Prediction and Preparedness
Hurricane Prediction
satellites and radar allow us to spot tropical cycles days to weeks before they will strike an area
however, we’re only making predictions about the exact path they will take because this can change
National Hurricane Center Track Forecast Cone
possible track of the center of the tropical cyclone
based on the current trajectory and historical data
cone gets larger the farther into the future you project
Hurricane Preparedness
advanced warning means that deaths due to hurricanes has dropped
general guidance is to NEVER ride out the storm
evacuate people inland when satellite shows a hurricane is coming
population of coastal areas is increasing
makes it harder to evacuate large numbers of people quickly
gridlock
110 evacuees died in Hurricane Rita in Texas (2005) in a traffic jam
some cities could take up to 3 days to evacuate
50-60 hours for Fort Myers, Florida, 30-39 hours for Miami/Fort Lauderdale
safe evacuation may not be possible with the increased population
if not evacuating, you should:
move away from the water
hide from the wind
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