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Time Value of Money: Valuing Cash Flow Streams

Time Value of Money: Valuing Cash Flow Streams

Learning Objectives

  • Value a series of many cash flows.

  • Value a perpetual series of regular cash flows known as a perpetuity.

  • Value a common set of regular cash flows termed an annuity.

  • Understand the notation used in financial calculations:

    • c: Cash flow

    • Cn: Cash flow at date n

    • FV: Future value

    • FVn: Future value on date n

    • g: Growth rate

    • N: Date of the last cash flow in a stream of cash flows

    • P: Initial principal or deposit, or equivalent present value

    • PV: Present value

    • r: Interest rate or rate of return

  • Value both perpetuities and annuities when cash flows grow at a constant rate.

  • Compute the number of periods, cash flow, or rate of return of a loan or investment.

  • Value cash flow streams with non-annual payments.

Introduction to Cash Flow Valuation

  • Financial managers compare costs and benefits of projects, typically involving multiple future periods.

  • Engage in trading off a known upfront cost against uncertain future benefits.

  • Evaluating these financial investments requires computing present values of future cash flows.

  • This chapter builds on previously developed tools to value any series of cash flows, including shortcuts for valuing annuities, perpetuities, and special cases.

  • Future chapters will address how interest rates are quoted and determined, crucial for cash flows occurring more frequently than annually.

4.1 Valuing a Stream of Cash Flows

  • Definition: A stream of cash flows refers to a series of cash flows that occur over multiple periods.

  • Use timelines to represent cash flow streams, allowing for clearer financial problem-solving.

Rules of Valuing Cash Flows
  • Rule 1: Only values at the same point in time can be compared or combined.

  • Rule 2: To calculate a cash flow's future value, compound it using the following formula:

    • FV_n = C imes (1 + r)^n where:

    • C = cash flow

    • r = interest rate

    • n = number of periods

  • Rule 3: To calculate the present value of a future cash flow, discount it using:

    • PV = rac{C}{(1 + r)^n} where:

    • C = cash flow

    • r = interest rate

    • n = number of periods

Example Calculation of Future Value

  • Scenario: Planning to save $1000 today and $1000 at the end of each of the next two years, with a 10% interest rate.

    • Timeline illustration:

    • Year 0: $1000

    • Year 1: $1000

    • Year 2: $1000

  • Calculation:

    • Calculate future values:

    1. For first deposit (Year 0): $1000 × 1.10² = $1210

    2. For second deposit (Year 1): $1000 × 1.10¹ = $1100

    3. Combine all future values by summing:

      • Total = $1210 + $1100 + $1000 = $3641

  • Alternative Approach: Calculate the future value separately, yielding the same future value of $3641.

General Formula for Present Value of a Cash Flow Stream

  • For cash flows occurring at different times, the present value calculation is crucial:

    • General formula:

    • PV = C0 + rac{C1}{(1 + r)} + rac{C2}{(1 + r)^{2}} + ext{…} + rac{CN}{(1 + r)^N} where:

    • C0, C1, …, CN are the cash flows at respective times 0, 1, …, N.

Personal Finance Example 4.1: Present Value of a Stream of Cash Flows
  • Problem Statement: Determine how much a lender (Uncle Henry) should lend based on future payments of $5000 in year 1 and $8000 for the subsequent three years at an interest rate of 6%.

  • Calculation of Present Value:

    • PV = rac{5000}{(1.06)^{1}} + rac{8000}{(1.06)^{2}} + rac{8000}{(1.06)^{3}} + rac{8000}{(1.06)^{4}}

    • Calculating each term yields:

    • $5000/(1.06) = 4716.98$

    • $8000/(1.06)^{2} = 7119.97$

    • $8000/(1.06)^{3} = 6716.95$

    • $8000/(1.06)^{4} = 6336.75$

    • Therefore, total PV = $24,890.65

Future Value Verification

  • Calculate future value of annual payments to uncle Henry as he keeps them in the bank:

    • Yearly record:

    • Year 0: $5000

    • Year 1 to Year 4 with deposits and compounding yielding $31,423.88 after four years.

  • Drop back to verify by calculating the FV of the present value given in the bank:

    • FV = PV imes (1 + r)^{n}

    • FV = $24,890.65 imes (1.06)^{4} = $31,423.87

  • This shows concordance between two calculation methods.

Using a Financial Calculator

  • Financial calculators streamline the process of calculating cash flows with functions:

    • Variables include:

    • N: Number of periods (NPER)

    • PV: Present value

    • PMT: Payment/cash flow

    • FV: Future value

    • l/Y: Interest rate

  • Example Problem:

    • Invest $20,000 with an extra $1000 annual contribution for 15 years at 8% interest.

Steps for Calculator Use:
  1. Input N = 15, l/Y = 8, PV = 20000, PMT = 1000.

  2. Solve for FV utilizing respective calculator functions.

  • Result would be -$90,595.50 indicating the total future value available based on contributed amounts.

  • Note: Sign conventions matter; distinguish between cash inflows and outflows to ensure accuracy in calculations.