Data Mining Process and Machine Learning Concepts
Data Mining Process
- Understanding the Problem: Identify the pain points or problems before determining the necessary data.
Phases of Data Mining
- Business Understanding: Define objectives and requirements.
- Data Understanding: Collection and description of data.
- Data Preparation: Cleaning and transforming data into the required format.
- Modeling: Applying machine learning algorithms.
- Evaluation: Assessment of the model’s performance.
- Deployment: Implementing the model in the business context.
Data Terminology
- Label: Variable to predict (e.g., type of animal, spam email indicator, housing price).
- Features: Input variables representing the data (used for prediction).
- Examples of Features: Balance, Age, Default status of customers.
- Representations: Set of values representing a dataset.
- Dataset: A set of examples.
Types of Features
- Numerical Features: Contain numerical values. Examples: age, income, revenue (can be continuous or discrete).
- Categorical Features: Contain non-numerical values grouped into categories. Examples: color, gender, occupation (can be nominal or ordinal).
Machine Learning Terminology
- Labeled data: Data tagged with correct outputs for algorithm learning.
- Unlabeled data: Data without output tags, used in unsupervised learning.
- Supervised Learning: Model learns from labeled data (e.g., classification, regression).
- Unsupervised Learning: Learns from unlabeled data to identify patterns (e.g., clustering).
- Reinforcement Learning: Learns through interaction with an environment (rewards/punishments).
Supervised Learning: Classification
- Definition: Predicts a categorical label based on input features.
- Input: Labeled data with categorical labels.
- Output: Probabilities of each label indicating the likelihood of each category.
- Examples: Spam detection, image classification.
- Models: Decision trees, logistic regression, neural networks.
Probability in Classification
- Definition: Measures uncertainty of an event (P(event)).
- Range: Probability values range from 0 to 1 (e.g., predicting 'Heads' in a coin toss).
Classification Types
- Binary Classification: Two classes (positive and negative).
- Multiclass Classification: More than two classes present.
Supervised Learning: Regression
- Definition: Predicts a continuous numerical value based on features.
- Input: Labeled data with numerical values.
- Output: Numerical predictions. E.g., housing price prediction, sales forecasting.
Data Preparation Process
- Analogy: Similar to cooking processes (collection, cleaning, integration, analysis).
- Sources of Data: Internal (company databases), external (government data, third-party providers).
- Data Collection Considerations: Size and quality are crucial for effective model training.
Importance of Data Annotation
- Vital for AI breakthroughs. E.g., Google Cloud’s Data Labeling Service.
- Examples: Netflix recommendations, ride-sharing apps
Data Preparation Methods
Structured Data Preparation Methods
- Feature-Level Preparation: Handle missing data, outliers, and transform features.
- Dataset-Level Preparation: Clean the dataset efficiently.
Loading Data from CSV Files
- CSV Format: Standard format for storing tabular data.
- Reading CSV in Pandas: Use the pandas library for data manipulation.
Handling Missing Values
- Definition: Missing value is unavailable data.
- Methods: Delete or impute missing values (e.g., mean imputation).
Outlier Management
- Definition: Outliers are values significantly different from bulk data.
- Handling: Assess the context; decide to remove or retain.
- Conversion: Categorical values must be converted to numerical formats for analysis.
- One-hot Encoding: Converts categorical values into dummy columns.
- Normalization: Applies to features with large ranges. Improves model performance.
- Techniques: Scaling, clipping, log scaling, Z-score normalization.
Feature Selection: Filter Methods
- Purpose: Remove irrelevant or redundant features before model training.
- Methods: Variance method, correlation method.
Class Distribution in Imbalanced Datasets
- Definition: Skewed distribution (majority vs. minority classes).
- Example Applications: Healthcare, fraud detection.
Balancing Imbalanced Datasets
- Downsampling: Remove samples from the majority class.
- Upsampling: Replicate samples from the minority class.
Training vs. Testing
- Purpose: Essential for evaluating model accuracy.
- Methods: Learning with a training set, evaluating with a separate test set.
Decision Trees
- Definition: Supervised learning method for classification and regression.
- Advantages: Easy to understand and implement, computationally inexpensive.
- Structure: Nodes represent decisions based on features.
Decision Tree Learning Process
Goals and Methodology
- To create a tree mapping features to labels.
- Loss Function: Minimize impurity at nodes for clear decision making.
Node Impurity
- Definition: Measures label diversity within nodes.
- Measures: Entropy, Gini Index, Variance.
- Purpose: Identify optimal features for data splitting.
- Calculation: Consider reduction of entropy from parent to child nodes.
Overfitting in Decision Trees
- Definition: Model memorizes training data but fails to generalize.
- Causes: Learning random noise as patterns.
Evaluating Overfitting
- Error Analysis: Evaluate performance discrepancies between training and test sets.
Avoiding Overfitting
- Techniques: Favor simpler structures, early stopping, hyperparameter tuning.
Hyper-Parameter Tuning
- Concept: Adjust parameters for optimized model performance.
- Methods: Grid search, random search, K-Fold cross-validation.
Model Evaluation Essentials
- Points for Evaluation: Final evaluation on test set; hyperparameter tuning on validation set.
Confusion Matrix
- Definition: Table for classification model performance.
- Key Information: True Positives, True Negatives, False Positives, False Negatives.
Limitations of Accuracy
- High accuracy may not reflect model performance in imbalanced datasets.
Importance of Precision and Recall
- Precision: True positives among predicted positives.
- Recall: True positives among actual positives.
Dynamics of Precision and Recall
- Inverse relationship; the adjustment of the threshold affects both metrics.
ROC Curve Analysis
- Graphical representation of True Positive Rate vs. False Positive Rate.
Evaluating with Cost/Benefit Analysis
- Cost-Sensitive Evaluation: Takes into account varying impacts of misclassifications.
F1 Score
- Definition: Harmonic mean of precision and recall, essential for classification evaluation.
Regression Overview
- Definition: Predict continuous values based on features (e.g., housing prices).
Linear Regression
- Definition: Predicts continuous values based on linear relationships of input features.
- Optimization Method: Gradient descent to minimize loss function.
Interpretability of Linear Regression
- Coefficient impacts on label predictions; helps to understand feature significance.
Strategies to Avoid Overfitting
- Increase data, feature selection, regularization (e.g., Lasso regression).
Summary of Linear Regression
- Pros: Simple and interpretable.
- Cons: Assumes linear relationships, sensitive to outliers.
Introduction to Logistic Regression
- Definition: Predicts probabilities of binary outcomes, foundational for advanced models.
Understanding Neural Networks
- Structure: Consists of interconnected layers that learn complex patterns.
- Components: Neurons, weights, activation functions.
Deep Neural Networks
- Definition: Multiple layer structures designed for complex task performance.
- Applications: NLP, image recognition, speech recognition.
Summary of Neural Networks
- Pros and Cons: High learning capability vs. computational burden and interpretability issues.