Consumption and Savings Notes
Introduction to Consumption and Savings
- Growth is Driven by Productivity:
- Productivity leads to economic growth; influenced by investments.
- Investment and Saving Relationship:
- Investment closely tied to saving habits.
- Key Concepts to Discuss:
- Consumption, Saving, and Income
- Micro Foundations of Consumption
- Macroeconomics of Consumption
- Factors Affecting Consumption
- Saving
Consumption Defined
- Consumption: Household expenditure on final goods and services.
- Largest component of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
Determinants of Consumption
- Income as Main Determinant:
- Positive correlation between income and consumption; higher income leads to increased consumption.
- Example: Consumption per capita in the U.S. is higher than in Canada, partially due to higher GDP per capita.
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)
- Definition: Fraction of each additional dollar of income spent on consumption.
- Formula: MPC = rac{Change ext{ in consumption}}{Change ext{ in income}}
- Ranges between 0 and 1.
- Examples:
- Spending all extra income: MPC = 1
- Spending part of the extra income: MPC = 0.6
- Slope of the Consumption Function:
- Determined by the marginal propensity to consume.
Saving Explained
- Saving: Portion of income not spent; calculated as:
- Formula: Savings = Income - Consumption
- Dissaving: Spending exceeds income in a specific period, leading to withdrawal from savings or borrowing.
- Example: Taking out a loan to cover living expenses.
Perspectives on Saving
- Microeconomic View:
- Savings enhance personal wealth, leading to future consumption potential.
- Macroeconomic View:
- Savings provide necessary funds to the financial sector for investment purposes.
Micro Foundations of Consumption
- Decision-Making Factors:
- Interdependence Principle: Future choices depend on current spending decisions; excessive spending leads to repayment issues.
- Marginal Principle: Evaluates decisions in terms of small incremental choices.
- Cost-Benefit Principle: Assesses if the benefit of an additional dollar spent exceeds its cost.
- Opportunity Cost Principle: Considers what could be gained by saving instead of spending.
- Rational Rule for Consumers:
- Spend today if the marginal benefit of today’s consumption is greater than the future benefits after interest.
Consumption Smoothing
- Maintaining steady consumption over time despite fluctuations in income.
- Reasoning: Diminishing marginal benefit; money spent during poverty has a higher marginal benefit.
Permanent Income Hypothesis
- Suggests consumption is mainly influenced by long-term income estimates rather than current income.
- Macroeconomic Insight: Economic fluctuations impact consumption only if they change perceived long-term income.
Macroeconomics of Consumption
- Responding to Income Changes:
- Temporary income change affects consumption marginally.
- Permanent income change results in significant consumption change.
- Anticipated income changes typically do not affect current consumption.
- Learning about future income changes can prompt adjustments in consumption.
Factors Leading to Shifts in Consumption
- Real Interest Rates: Higher rates = higher savings; can either decrease current consumption or increase for lenders.
- Expectations: Optimism about economic growth can increase consumption.
- Taxes: Reductions increase disposable income, leading to higher consumption.
- Wealth Accumulation: Higher stock of wealth typically leads to increased consumption.
Savings Determinants
- Income Fluctuations: Save during high-income periods for smoother consumption.
- Changing Needs: Saving patterns change with age (needs increase during certain life stages).
- Bequests: Saving with the intent to pass wealth to future generations.
- Precautionary Saving: Preparing for unexpected events such as job loss or health crises.
Conclusion
- Understanding the nuances of consumption and saving can lead to better financial decisions and economic policies.