Definition of a Risk Factor A risk factor is any attribute, characteristic, or exposure that increases the likelihood of developing a disease or healt
Definition of a Risk Factor
A risk factor is any attribute, characteristic, or exposure that increases the likelihood of developing a disease or health condition. Examples include smoking (for lung cancer), obesity (for cardiovascular disease), and high cholesterol (for heart disease).Crude, Standardized, and Specific Disease Rates
Crude Rate: The total number of cases (or deaths) in a population without adjustments for other factors (e.g., age, sex).
Standardized Rate: A rate adjusted for factors like age to allow fair comparisons between populations with different demographic structures.
Specific Rate: The rate for a particular subgroup, such as age-specific mortality rates.
Prevalence vs. Incidence Rates
Prevalence: The proportion of a population that has a disease at a specific time (both new and existing cases).
Incidence: The number of new cases that develop in a given time period, usually per 1,000 or 100,000 people per year.
Epidemiological Research Designs (Characteristics, Advantages, Disadvantages)
Cross-sectional: Observes a population at one point in time. Pros: quick, inexpensive. Cons: cannot determine causality.
Cohort Study: Follows a group over time. Pros: identifies risk factors. Cons: expensive, time-consuming.
Case-Control Study: Compares people with a disease (cases) to those without (controls). Pros: efficient for rare diseases. Cons: recall bias.
Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT): Participants are randomly assigned to groups. Pros: best for causation. Cons: costly, ethical concerns.
Difference Between Prevalence and Incidence Cases
Prevalence includes all cases at a given time, while incidence only includes new cases during a specified time period.
Three Goals of Epidemiology
Identify causes and risk factors for diseases.
Determine the extent of disease in a population.
Develop preventive and control measures.
Relative Risk (RR) and Odds Ratio (OR)
Relative Risk (RR): The ratio of disease risk in an exposed group to a non-exposed group.
Odds Ratio (OR): The odds of disease in exposed vs. non-exposed groups (used in case-control studies).
Interpreting Relative Risk and 95% Confidence Interval (CI)
If RR = 1, no association exists.
If RR > 1, exposure increases risk.
If RR < 1, exposure reduces risk.
A 95% CI that does not include 1 means the result is statistically significant.
Confounders
A confounder is a variable that influences both the independent and dependent variables, leading to a false association.
Example: Coffee drinking is linked to lung cancer, but smoking (a confounder) explains the association.
Interaction Effect
When the effect of one variable on an outcome depends on the level of another variable.
Example: Exercise reduces heart disease risk, but the effect is stronger in non-smokers than smokers.
Mill’s Canons of Determining Causation
Strength of association
Consistency of findings
Specificity
Temporal sequence (cause precedes effect)
Biological plausibility
Physical Activity (PA) Measures
Definition of MET (Metabolic Equivalent of Task)
A MET is a unit measuring energy expenditure. 1 MET = energy used at rest, while higher MET values represent higher-intensity activities.
Methods to Measure Physical Activity and Caloric Expenditure
Accelerometers: Measure movement intensity.
Indirect Calorimetry: Estimates energy expenditure by measuring oxygen consumption and carbon dioxide production.
Direct Calorimetry: Measures heat production in a metabolic chamber.
Doubly Labeled Water: Gold standard for measuring energy expenditure over days/weeks using isotopes.
Definition of Sedentary Behavior
Any activity with an energy expenditure ≤1.5 METs while sitting or reclining (e.g., watching TV, working at a desk).
Risk Factors for Osteoporosis
Age, female sex, low calcium/vitamin D intake, smoking, excessive alcohol, inactivity, family history.
Age of Rapid Decline in Cardiorespiratory Fitness
Around age 45–50.
Age Range for Peak Bone Mass in Women
Between ages 25–30.
Definition of Ejection Fraction
The percentage of blood ejected from the left ventricle during each heartbeat. A normal ejection fraction is 55–70%.
Respiratory Exchange Ratio (RER) and Substrate Oxidation
RER = CO₂ produced / O₂ consumed.
RER ~0.7: Fat oxidation dominant.
RER ~1.0: Carbohydrate oxidation dominant.
RER >1.0: Anaerobic metabolism.
Runner’s Health Study Findings
Running is linked to lower mortality, reduced cardiovascular disease, and improved lifespan.
Physical Activity Prevalence by Gender, Ethnicity, and Region
Men are generally more active than women.
PA levels vary by ethnicity and region, with lower activity seen in the southeastern U.S.
All-Cause Mortality
Metabolic and Behavioral Risk Factors for All-Cause Mortality
Metabolic: Obesity, diabetes, hypertension.
Behavioral: Smoking, poor diet, inactivity.
Dose-Response Relationship Between PA and All-Cause Mortality
More exercise is linked to lower mortality, with diminishing returns at higher levels.
Gender Differences in the Dose-Response Relationship
Women may gain more longevity benefits per unit of exercise than men.
Harvard Alumni Study Findings
2,000+ kcal/week from PA is associated with a significant reduction in mortality risk.
Iowa Women’s Health Study Findings
Physical activity reduces mortality risk, even in older women.
Swedish Twin Registry Study Findings
Genetics and lifestyle both influence longevity, with PA playing a critical role.
Main Conclusion from the English and Scottish Health Survey Study
Moderate activity significantly reduces mortality risk.
Cleveland Clinic Cohort Study Findings
Higher cardiorespiratory fitness is associated with lower mortality risk across all ages.
Hours of Exercise per Week to Reduce Mortality Risk
~150–300 minutes per week of moderate-intensity activity (or ~75–150 minutes vigorous-intensity).
Fat vs. Fit Controversy and Implications
Fitness matters more than body weight in predicting mortality risk.
Overweight but active individuals have lower risk than lean but inactive individuals.
Implications: Promoting PA should be a primary public health focus, even in those with higher BMI.This suggests that health interventions should prioritize physical activity and fitness levels rather than solely focusing on weight loss as a measure of health.