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Definition of a Risk Factor A risk factor is any attribute, characteristic, or exposure that increases the likelihood of developing a disease or healt

  1. Definition of a Risk Factor
    A risk factor is any attribute, characteristic, or exposure that increases the likelihood of developing a disease or health condition. Examples include smoking (for lung cancer), obesity (for cardiovascular disease), and high cholesterol (for heart disease).

  2. Crude, Standardized, and Specific Disease Rates

    • Crude Rate: The total number of cases (or deaths) in a population without adjustments for other factors (e.g., age, sex).

    • Standardized Rate: A rate adjusted for factors like age to allow fair comparisons between populations with different demographic structures.

    • Specific Rate: The rate for a particular subgroup, such as age-specific mortality rates.

  3. Prevalence vs. Incidence Rates

    • Prevalence: The proportion of a population that has a disease at a specific time (both new and existing cases).

    • Incidence: The number of new cases that develop in a given time period, usually per 1,000 or 100,000 people per year.

  4. Epidemiological Research Designs (Characteristics, Advantages, Disadvantages)

    • Cross-sectional: Observes a population at one point in time. Pros: quick, inexpensive. Cons: cannot determine causality.

    • Cohort Study: Follows a group over time. Pros: identifies risk factors. Cons: expensive, time-consuming.

    • Case-Control Study: Compares people with a disease (cases) to those without (controls). Pros: efficient for rare diseases. Cons: recall bias.

    • Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT): Participants are randomly assigned to groups. Pros: best for causation. Cons: costly, ethical concerns.

  5. Difference Between Prevalence and Incidence Cases

    • Prevalence includes all cases at a given time, while incidence only includes new cases during a specified time period.

  6. Three Goals of Epidemiology

    • Identify causes and risk factors for diseases.

    • Determine the extent of disease in a population.

    • Develop preventive and control measures.

  7. Relative Risk (RR) and Odds Ratio (OR)

    • Relative Risk (RR): The ratio of disease risk in an exposed group to a non-exposed group.

    • Odds Ratio (OR): The odds of disease in exposed vs. non-exposed groups (used in case-control studies).

  8. Interpreting Relative Risk and 95% Confidence Interval (CI)

    • If RR = 1, no association exists.

    • If RR > 1, exposure increases risk.

    • If RR < 1, exposure reduces risk.

    • A 95% CI that does not include 1 means the result is statistically significant.

  9. Confounders

    • A confounder is a variable that influences both the independent and dependent variables, leading to a false association.

    • Example: Coffee drinking is linked to lung cancer, but smoking (a confounder) explains the association.

  10. Interaction Effect

  • When the effect of one variable on an outcome depends on the level of another variable.

  • Example: Exercise reduces heart disease risk, but the effect is stronger in non-smokers than smokers.

  1. Mill’s Canons of Determining Causation

  • Strength of association

  • Consistency of findings

  • Specificity

  • Temporal sequence (cause precedes effect)

  • Biological plausibility


Physical Activity (PA) Measures

  1. Definition of MET (Metabolic Equivalent of Task)

  • A MET is a unit measuring energy expenditure. 1 MET = energy used at rest, while higher MET values represent higher-intensity activities.

  1. Methods to Measure Physical Activity and Caloric Expenditure

  • Accelerometers: Measure movement intensity.

  • Indirect Calorimetry: Estimates energy expenditure by measuring oxygen consumption and carbon dioxide production.

  • Direct Calorimetry: Measures heat production in a metabolic chamber.

  • Doubly Labeled Water: Gold standard for measuring energy expenditure over days/weeks using isotopes.

  1. Definition of Sedentary Behavior

  • Any activity with an energy expenditure ≤1.5 METs while sitting or reclining (e.g., watching TV, working at a desk).

  1. Risk Factors for Osteoporosis

  • Age, female sex, low calcium/vitamin D intake, smoking, excessive alcohol, inactivity, family history.

  1. Age of Rapid Decline in Cardiorespiratory Fitness

  • Around age 45–50.

  1. Age Range for Peak Bone Mass in Women

  • Between ages 25–30.

  1. Definition of Ejection Fraction

  • The percentage of blood ejected from the left ventricle during each heartbeat. A normal ejection fraction is 55–70%.

  1. Respiratory Exchange Ratio (RER) and Substrate Oxidation

  • RER = CO₂ produced / O₂ consumed.

  • RER ~0.7: Fat oxidation dominant.

  • RER ~1.0: Carbohydrate oxidation dominant.

  • RER >1.0: Anaerobic metabolism.

  1. Runner’s Health Study Findings

  • Running is linked to lower mortality, reduced cardiovascular disease, and improved lifespan.

  1. Physical Activity Prevalence by Gender, Ethnicity, and Region

  • Men are generally more active than women.

  • PA levels vary by ethnicity and region, with lower activity seen in the southeastern U.S.


All-Cause Mortality

  1. Metabolic and Behavioral Risk Factors for All-Cause Mortality

  • Metabolic: Obesity, diabetes, hypertension.

  • Behavioral: Smoking, poor diet, inactivity.

  1. Dose-Response Relationship Between PA and All-Cause Mortality

  • More exercise is linked to lower mortality, with diminishing returns at higher levels.

  1. Gender Differences in the Dose-Response Relationship

  • Women may gain more longevity benefits per unit of exercise than men.

  1. Harvard Alumni Study Findings

  • 2,000+ kcal/week from PA is associated with a significant reduction in mortality risk.

  1. Iowa Women’s Health Study Findings

  • Physical activity reduces mortality risk, even in older women.

  1. Swedish Twin Registry Study Findings

  • Genetics and lifestyle both influence longevity, with PA playing a critical role.

  1. Main Conclusion from the English and Scottish Health Survey Study

  • Moderate activity significantly reduces mortality risk.

  1. Cleveland Clinic Cohort Study Findings

  • Higher cardiorespiratory fitness is associated with lower mortality risk across all ages.

  1. Hours of Exercise per Week to Reduce Mortality Risk

  • ~150–300 minutes per week of moderate-intensity activity (or ~75–150 minutes vigorous-intensity).

  1. Fat vs. Fit Controversy and Implications

  • Fitness matters more than body weight in predicting mortality risk.

  • Overweight but active individuals have lower risk than lean but inactive individuals.

  • Implications: Promoting PA should be a primary public health focus, even in those with higher BMI.This suggests that health interventions should prioritize physical activity and fitness levels rather than solely focusing on weight loss as a measure of health.