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Key Concepts
- Accuracy
- Definition: how close your data are to an accepted or true value.
- Measured by how near the data/mean are to the true value.
- Example metric: Absolute error \text{Absolute Error} = |x - x{\text{true}}| or for a set of measurements, \text{Accuracy of mean} = |\bar{x} - x{\text{true}}|.
- Precision
- Definition: how close your data are to each other (repeatability).
- Measured by the spread of the measurements, not how close to the true value.
- Example metrics: Range \text{Range} = \max(xi) - \min(xi), standard deviation s = \sqrt{\frac{1}{n-1}\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}.
- Relationship between accuracy and precision
- Accuracy concerns closeness to the accepted value, regardless of internal agreement.
- Precision concerns consistency among measurements, regardless of closeness to the true value.
- You can be accurate but not precise, precise but not accurate, both, or neither.
Worked Example: Density of Aluminum (accepted value = x_{\text{true}} = 2.7\ \mathrm{g/mL})
Data sets (all in \mathrm{g/mL})
- John: initial remark "2.9 is not very close to 2.7"; detailed trials include around 2.9, specifically 2.924, \ 2.923.
- Sally: 2.3,\ 2.5,\ 2.9.
- Megan: 2.64,\ 2.73,\ 2.69.
- Mike: 2.71,\ 2.699.
Accuracy assessment (closeness to 2.7)
- John
- Mean of displayed values (based on trials given): not explicitly averaged in the transcript, but the values are around 2.9 (e.g., 2.924,\ 2.923).
- Conclusion from transcript: John is not accurate (data not close to 2.7).
- Sally
- Values include 2.3, 2.5, 2.9; not close to 2.7 and vary widely.
- Conclusion: Sally is not accurate.
- Megan
- Values around 2.64–2.73; close to 2.7 overall.
- Conclusion: Megan is fairly accurate (close to 2.7) compared to John and Sally.
- Mike
- Values 2.71 and 2.699; very close to 2.7.
- Conclusion: Mike is accurate.
Precision assessment (consistency of values)
- John
- Trials near 2.9 and very close to each other: 2.924,\ 2.923\;\Rightarrow\; \text{high precision}.
- Sally
- Values span from 2.3 to 2.9; not close to each other: \text{Range} = 2.9 - 2.3 = 0.6\;\text{g/mL}. → Not precise.
- Megan
- Values: 2.64, 2.73, 2.69; spread is \text{Range} = 2.73 - 2.64 = 0.09\;\mathrm{g/mL}. → Some precision, but not as tight as Mike.
- Mike
- Values 2.71 and 2.699; \text{Range} = 2.71 - 2.699 = 0.011\;\mathrm{g/mL}. → Very precise.
Numerical calculations (to illustrate concepts)
- John's data (2 measurements): \bar{x}{John} = \frac{2.924 + 2.923}{2} = 2.9235. |\bar{x}{John} - x_{\text{true}}| = |2.9235 - 2.7| = 0.2235. (Absolute error)
- Sally's data: \bar{x}{Sally} = \frac{2.3 + 2.5 + 2.9}{3} = 2.566\overline{6}. |\bar{x}{Sally} - x_{\text{true}}| \approx |2.5667 - 2.7| = 0.1333.
- Megan's data: \bar{x}{Megan} = \frac{2.64 + 2.73 + 2.69}{3} = 2.686\overline{6}. |\bar{x}{Megan} - x_{\text{true}}| \approx |2.6867 - 2.7| = 0.0133.
- Mike's data: \bar{x}{Mike} = \frac{2.71 + 2.699}{2} = 2.7045. |\bar{x}{Mike} - x_{\text{true}}| = |2.7045 - 2.7| = 0.0045.
- Mike's precision (range): \text{Range}_{Mike} = 2.71 - 2.699 = 0.011.
Verdict for the prompt question
- Data that is accurate but not precise: Megan.
- Why: Megan's mean is very close to 2.7 (accurate), but her individual measurements have a noticeable spread (not highly precise).
Summary of Lessons
- Accuracy vs Precision recap
- Accuracy measures closeness to the true value: lower absolute error means higher accuracy.
- Precision measures consistency among measurements: smaller spread means higher precision.
- In real experiments, aim to maximize both when possible, but recognize they are separate qualities.
- If you need a reliable value, improve accuracy (calibrate instrument, use accurate standards).
- If you need reproducible results, improve precision (control variables, repeat measurements, reduce random errors).
- Real-world relevance
- Errors can bias outcomes if only accuracy is considered (you might hit the true value on average but with high variability).
- High precision with low accuracy can mislead if systematic bias exists in the equipment or method.
Practical Improvement Tips
- For better accuracy
- Calibrate instruments regularly.
- Use standardized reference materials.
- Correct for known biases in the method.
- For better precision
- Increase number of trials to average out random errors.
- Control environmental factors (temperature, pressure, workflow).
- Standardize procedures to reduce variability in technique.
Connections to Foundational Principles
- Measurement uncertainty and error analysis underpin accuracy and precision.
- Reproducibility and repeatability are core to experimental reliability.
- Ethical reporting: disclose limitations and uncertainties to avoid overstatement of results.
Quick Takeaway
- Accuracy = closeness to true value.
- Precision = closeness among repeated measurements.
- Megan in the example is accurate but not precise, illustrating the separation of the two concepts.