Key Differences Between Stocks and Bonds
Buying stocks (e.g., Apple) does not have an end date; they can be held indefinitely (perpetuity).
Bonds have a specific maturity period (e.g., 10 or 20 years).
Investment Returns from Stocks
Investors receive returns through:
Dividends: Payments made to shareholders, which can change (not obligatory).
Selling shares: Stock can be sold back to the company or to other investors.
Valuation Example
If expecting a $2 dividend in one year, selling stock for $14, and requiring a return of 20%, calculate the present value.
Valuation Formulas
Use future payments and discount to present value:
If holding for 2 years with $2 and a growing dividend of $2.10, the stock price must reflect all future dividends discounted to today.
Dividend Types
Constant Dividend: A fixed dividend (e.g., $2 annually), commonly associated with preferred stocks.
Growing Perpetuity: Fixed dividend with a growth rate (e.g., $2 growing at 2% annually).
Super Normal Growth: Non-constant early dividends followed by a stable growth period.
Zero Growth: Fixed dividend (e.g., $2 annually) with no growth rate.
Dividend Example
If stock pays a 0.5% quarterly dividend with a 10% required return, systematically calculate price using constant growth.
Important Formulas
Ensure growth rate (g) is less than market return (r) for validity in price calculations using the perpetuity formula (P0 = D1 / (r - g)).
Analyze stock price behavior relative to growth rate. Higher growth leads to higher stock prices whereas increasing required return leads to lower prices.
Dividend Growth Calculation
For a $2 dividend expected to grow 5% annually, calculate future dividends and their present value accordingly.
Cash Flow Analysis
Follow structured calculations to determine stock prices based on dividend expectations and growth rates.
D1 represents dividends expected in one year; D5 would represent future dividends when approaching calculations for multiple periods.
Present Value Calculations
Apply perpetuity formulas to evaluate investments over time with varying dividend payouts.
Understand that dividend payments are not liabilities; companies decide if and when to distribute dividends.
Shareholder Rights
Shareholders possess voting rights and prioritize dividend distributions among classes of stocks.
Net Present Value (NPV)
A positive NPV indicates a beneficial investment; a negative NPV suggests against it.
Calculate expected cash flows and the costs of investments over time to determine their value.
Decision Making Criteria
Time value of money is critical in determining project acceptance by discounting future benefits.
Examine benefits versus costs to optimize investment decisions.
Evaluation Methods
Payback methods analyze how long it takes to recover investments; discounted methods consider the time value of money.
Understand advantages and disadvantages of various valuation methods during project appraisal.
IRR Concepts
IRR is the rate that makes NPV zero; accept projects where IRR exceeds required returns.
Multiple IRRs can exist if cash flow signs vary significantly.
Comparison of Projects
Choose higher NPV projects and be cautious of using IRR in non-conventional cash flow situations.
Exam Preparation
Focus on chapters emphasizing NPV calculations and divergences for the upcoming exam.
Understand theoretical concepts, definitions, and practical applications to prepare effectively.