If wage demands are met by squeezing profit margins, then the share of profits in national income will fall. And the share of wages will rise. Unemployment. cost of unemployment social cost crime depression large families in poverty – economic cost social security payment must increase increased family tension-loss of economic output loss of tax revenue Money: development of money ( Shelby commodity gold, sliver ) battering :double coincide of wants ,divisibility – small amounts and exchange rate how much of one good for another . Money: can be defined as anything which is genuinely acceptable as a means of setting a debt obligation. types of money: token money / fiat money and commodity money. token money / fiat money (legal tender)- money which has no intrinsic value, and it is not backed by any physical commodity, and it is acceptable for paying debts e.g. Note and coin commodity money: is a medium of exchange rate that has a commodity and as money ( gold, silver, shells ) functions of money Medium of exchange – refers to the role of money in the exchange of goods and services through the economy. money functions as a standard of deferred payment. money is used in the settlement of future debt obligations. unit of account- money is used as a means of signing value or prices to the vestiary of goods and services throughout the economy. Store of value – is the store of value over time for future enjoyment. Characteristics of money: Money serves as a critical component of an economy, characterized by several essential attributes that ensure its effectiveness. These characteristics include:
Money provides a consistent standard for pricing goods and services, enabling easier comparisons and valuation. Demand for money – the amount of wealth that everyone in the economy wishes to hold in the form of money balances. The value of money balances is what the public wishes to hold. Theory of demand for money (monetarist): . the quantity theory of money . demand for money. . the theory explaining inflation. this states that the average price of the transaction in an economy is proportional to the nominal quantity of money in circulation. quantity theory of money 1 Fisher equation ( equation of exchange ) equation of exchange – denotes the proportion that the value of goods and services sold must equal the amount of money handled over in exchange M x V = P x T ( TRANSACTION VERSION ) M x V = P x Y ( INCOME VERSION ) m- stock of money in circulation. v- transaction velocity of circulation IE- the average number of times the total the total quantity of money changes hands. P = AVERAGE price of all transactions Y = real output T= QUANTITY OF OUTPUT MV = PT (Y) NOMINAL GDP = NOMINAL GDP- for an increase to occur could be caused by inflation. MV = PY _ _ Y Y
Supply of money
Money supply – the total amount of money in an economy, this consists of currency in circulation plus relevant deposits.
Narrow money supply (m1)-money used as a medium of exchange and consists of notes and coins in circulation, cash held in bank balances, and balances held by banks held by the central bank. Example coins, bills, demand deposit
Broad money supply (m2) -consists of narrow money plus a range of items that are comm rates with money functions as a store of value. Example savings, timed deposits, certificate of deposits.
The central bank (ECCB)-is a financial institution responsible for ensuring the smooth running of the country financial system. its overriding aim operates in the public interest .
Example central bank ( BOJ ) bank of Jamaica
Functions of CB
To hold gold and foreign currencies reserve and management of the exchange equalization account
4 . Issuing of notes and coins
CRR=1/R – reserve ratio
Quantitative easing – is a non-traditional monetary policy tool used by central banks to stimulate the economy when the interest rate is near zero and cannot be lowed further the central bank purchases large amounts of financial assets bonds, security etc, To increase money supply lower long term interest rate and interest lending and investment
MONETARIST AND CHANGE IN MONEY SUPPLY IN RETURN ON INVESTEMENT
Monetary policies ( central bank )
Contractionary expansionary
Dampen the economy expand the economy
Reduce money supply increases money supply
Monetary trans mission mechanism – refers to the process by which changes in monetarist polices particularly changes in interest rate or money supply affects the boarder economy including variables like inflation , output and the employment .
Transmission mechanism
Keynesian monetarist
Increase money supply increase money supply
Interest rates falls interest rates falls
Weak increase in investment strong response
Outflow of short term capital outflow of short term capital
Strong increase in investment
Limitation of MP (monetary policies)
It may be inflationary when abused
It’s difficult to eliminate lag in monetary policies time lag
the firm may not use the additional income for productivity
monetarist policies are weakened by fiscal indiscipline Recognition lag
it's difficult to control money supply, especially in the presence of foreign banks
evaluation next Monday
commercial bank and credit union
role of a commercial bank is a profit-making financial institution that lends at higher interest rates than it pays on deposit
roles of commercial bank
lend money to individuals and firms
they accept deposits from citizens and firms
they give financial advice to clients
they provide safe keeping of valuables by using safety boxes
they provide services related to debt payments
example standing orders
they assist the central banks in carrying out government monetary policies
fractional reserve banking: the receipt of new cash by the commercial banking system will lead to a multiple expansion of bank lending and a multiple increase in the money supply
credit creation: is the process by which banks are able to increase the volume of credit by creating loans, the increase results in an increase in the volume of bank deposits and hence the money supply .
cb = crr 20%
initial deposit -$1000
Deposits | Loans | Reserve | ||
Primary deposit | 1000 | 800 | 200 | |
Derivative | 800 | 640 | 140 | |
Derivative | 640 | 512 | 128 | |
Derivative | 512 | 409.6 | 102.4 | |
Derivative | 409.6 | 327.68 | 81.94 |
The table is called the money multiplier or the bank multiplier or credit multiplier
Assuming a required reserve ratio of 10% and initial deposits of $100, illustrate how commercial banks create credit
Deposits | Loans | Reserve | |
Primary deposits | 100 | 90 | 10 |
90 | 81 | 9 | |
81 | 72.9 | 8.1 | |
72.9 | 65 .61 | 7.29 |
Ratio 10% deposit of $100
Ad = 1/r x ac
$1000=10x100
Money holding
Currency substitution and money hoarding
Money holding – funds saved but not placed with financial institutions
Currency substitution- (switch to a foreign currency)-when local currencies don’t adequately as a consequence of individual use of foreign currencies
Partial substitution –(US) –
Fully dollarization – individuals switch entirely away from the domestic currency in favor of the US dollar.
This limits the potential of monetary policies
Money and aggregate demand -
Fiscal policies: involve the deliberate invention by the government to manage government expenditure and government income to achieve partial economic and social outcomes.
The instruments of fiscal policies are government expenditure(G) and taxation (T)
Non-discretionary – inbuilt in the economy
Automatic stabilizers- are built-in policies and instruments that reduce or increase the magnitude of fluctuation of output caused by changes in expenditure without government intervention
Examples: PAYE (income tax) / Keynesian concept
Transfer payment
Discretionary
Level
Timing of G & T
Structure (Type of taxation)
Expansionary (reflationary) –
Contractionary (deflationary)- reduce budget deficit
Government budget – projected gov’t spending and projected revenue from taxation
Revenue expenditure
Taxes -direct (specification)
Indirect (ad voloren)
VAT
Direct tax (PAYE)
Progressive –
Proportional - a flat tax
Regressive –
User fees- is a fee you pay for using the service
Expenditure –
Capital expenditure – on infrastructure and physical assets, etc.
Current expenditure (recurrent) -expenditure on recurring items e.g. wages
Transfers – pension, debt interest payment
Budget: revenue > expenditure = budget surplus
Revenue < expenditure = budget deficit
Revenue = expenditure = balanced budget
Deflationary surplus – this occurs when the government cuts expenditure to reduce aggregate demand.
Cyclical surplus – occurs when buoyant economic activities allow the collection of much more tax revenue than is catered for in the budget.
Budget deficit
Reflationary deficit – this occurs when an economy stimulates demand and reduces unemployment through an increase in government expenditure.
A budget deficit occurs when a government's expenditure exceeds its revenue. This situation necessitates borrowing or using reserve funds to cover the shortfall. It is often used as a fiscal policy tool to stimulate economic growth, especially during periods of recession. An important aspect of understanding budget deficits involves distinguishing between different types:
- Reflationary deficit: This type occurs when a government increases its spending to boost demand and reduce unemployment. By injecting more money into the economy, the government aims to stimulate business activities and consumer spending.
- Structural deficit: This is a persistent budget deficit that remains even when the economy is operating at its full potential. It often indicates an imbalance between long-term government revenue and spending.
- Cyclical deficit: This type is related to the economic cycle. During periods of economic downturn, tax revenues may decrease while expenditures on welfare programs increase, leading to a cyclical deficit. Conversely, during economic booms, governments may run surpluses as tax revenues rise and spending on social safety nets decreases.
While budget deficits can be useful in managing economic performance, persistent deficits can lead to increased national debt, higher interest payments, and potential financial instability. Therefore, maintaining a sustainable fiscal balance over the long term is crucial for economic health.
Money and monetary policies exam on Monday
Factional reserve banking – is one in which banks are required to keep a proportion of their deposits as reserves these deposits are held by the central bank and don’t attract interest
Government spending shifts the demand for loanable funds outwards , the government must borrow from the public and the banks to finance its deficit . increase demand from the government increases real interest rates causing private borrowing to fall to L2 and L3 minus L2 is the amount government borrows from the public . banks would respond to higher interest rates by supplying a greater quantity of funds to the government .therefore private borrowing will be crowded out by public borrowing .
Balance budget
( G = T ) Government expenditure = tax revenue
Balance budget multiplier refers to effect on GDP resulting from a simultaneously increase in government spending and equal increase in taxes such that the government budget remains balanced
BBM = 1
The increase in government spending has a larger effect than the reduction in consumption, due to taxes, because government spending directly enters the economy
Example government by 100m would have a greater impact than the taxation
Taxation by 100m .
Copy Table 2 and complete it to show the budget balance indicating whether it is a deficit , surplus or neither 8 marks
With the use of a labelled diagram explain the use of how fiscal policies can solve the problem of unemployment 10marks
Explain using two examples the term automatic stabilizers 8marks