Operations Management - Project Management
Project Management
Learning Objectives
- Understand the concept of project and project management.
- Understand how to apply the critical path method (CPM).
- Understand project crashing.
- Understand project uncertainty.
Project
- A temporary and customized initiative that consists of many smaller tasks and activities that must be coordinated and completed.
- Goal: To finish the entire initiative on time and within budget.
Project Management
- Planning, directing, and controlling resources (people, equipment, material, etc.) to meet the technical, cost, and time constraints of the project.
Importance of Project Management
- At the highest levels of an organization, management often involves juggling a portfolio of projects.
- Defines a plan and organizes chaos.
- Establishes a schedule and plan.
- Facilitates learning from failure.
Project Management Activities
- Project definition: Defining goals, scope, risks, budget, timeline, and resources.
- Project planning:
- Identifying the activities that must be completed and the sequence to perform them.
- Determining resource and financing needs for each activity.
- Project scheduling: Specifying a time schedule for the completion of each activity.
- Project control: Establishing controls for determining progress and responding to problems.
Project Success
- Time
- Cost
- Client satisfaction
- Quality
Work Breakdown Structure (WBS)
- Defines the hierarchy of project tasks, subtasks, and work packages.
- Levels:
- Level 1: Program
- Level 2: Project
- Level 3: Task
- Level 4: Subtask
- Level 5: Work package
Project Definition Activities
- Activities: Discrete tasks that consume resources and time.
- Immediate predecessors: Activities that must be completed immediately before an activity may start.
- Precedence relationships: Ensure that activities are performed in the proper sequence when they are scheduled.
Project Network
- Consists of nodes and arcs, which define the precedence relationships between activities.
- Nodes: Set of circles or boxes, which represent activities.
- Arcs: Set of arrows.
- This is called an activity-on-node (AON) network representation.
Critical Path Method (CPM)
- Critical path: Sequence of activities that takes the longest time and defines the total project completion time.
- We need to find two starting times and two ending times for each activity to conduct CPM:
- Earliest Start (ES): Earliest possible date on which an activity can start.
- Earliest Finish (EF): Earliest possible date on which an activity can be completed. EF = ES + T, where T is activity duration.
- Latest Start (LS): Latest possible date that an activity may begin without delaying the project completion. LS = LF - T
- Latest Finish (LF): Latest possible date an activity can be completed without delaying the project completion. LF = LS + T
Slack Time
- Slack time is the length of time an activity can be delayed without delaying the entire project. Slack = LS – ES or LF – EF
- Critical Path: Activities with Zero slack are critical activities.
Activity-on-Node Format and Definitions
- Identification number (N) of the activity.
- Normal time (T) to complete the activity.
- Earliest start [ES] time.
- Earliest finish (EF) time.
- Latest start [LS) time.
- Latest finish (LF) time.
- Slack time (ST)—the length of time an activity can be delayed without affecting the competition date for the entire project, computed as ST = LS - ES = LF – EF
Forward and Backward Passes
- Forward Pass
- Proceed through project diagram from start to finish activity.
- Provide earliest start and earliest finish times for each activity
- These are referred to as ES and EF.
- Backward Pass
- Proceed through project diagram from finish to start (Reverse).
- Provide latest start and latest finish times for each activity.
- These are referred to as LS and LF.
Wildcat Software Consulting INC
- Wildcat software company helps companies implement software integration projects.
- Project manager must coordinate the design and installation of the new software system.
- Project objective: To develop an integrative software package within a predetermined budget and promised project completion date that meet all system requirements while providing adequate interfaces with legacy systems
Project Control
- Gantt charts graphically depict the project schedule.
- Project management software can assist in allocating limited resources that are shared among all the activities.
Crashing a Project
- Crashing a project: Reducing the total time to complete the project to meet a revised due date.
- Crash time: Shortest possible time the activity can realistically be completed.
- Crash cost: Total additional cost associated with completing an activity in its crash time rather than in its normal time.
- Crash cost per unit of time = (Crash cost - normal cost) / (normal time - crash time)
- Crashing an activity: Reducing its normal time, possibly up to its limit, the crash time.
Uncertainty in Project Management
- Project evaluation and review technique (PERT) is another approach to project management.
- PERT was developed to handle uncertainties in activity completion times.
- In contrast, CPM assumes that activity times are constant.
PERT
- PERT planning usually involves the following steps:
- Identifying Tasks and Milestones
- Placing the Tasks in a Proper Sequence
- Network Diagramming
Uncertainty in Project Management (PERT)
- PERT estimates are obtained for each activity
- Optimistic time - Activity time under ideal conditions
- Most probable time - Most likely activity time under normal conditions
- Pessimistic time - Activity time if breakdowns or serious delays occur
Uncertainty in Project Management Equations
- Expected Time = (a + 4m + b)/6
- Variance = (b – a)^2/36
- Where:
- a is the optimistic time estimate
- m is most likely or probable
- b is the pessimistic time estimate
- Where:
- PERT assumes a beta probability distribution.
Solution example Equations
Expected Time = (a + 4m + b)/6
Variance = (b – a)^2/36
The z-value for the normal distribution a T =25 is given by Z = (25-22)/1.697 =1.77
Variance (\sigma^2) of the critical path activities: 1.78+0.11+ 0.44+0.11+0.11+0.11+0.11 =2.78
Standard Deviation = \sqrt{2.78} = 1.67
Using Z score equation
Using Z=1.77 and the standard normal distribution table
We find that the probability of the project meeting the 25 week deadline is (PZ <= 1.77) = 0.9616 = 96.16%
1.697weeks Z = (25-22)/1.697 =1.77
Homework Problem
- Problem 6 in page 102
- Problem 8 in page 103
- Problem 10 in page 104
- Problem 14 in page 105