01/15/25
Topics covered throughout the show:
War on Drugs (we’re on the tail end of the war on drugs which is super expensive)
Politics of crime and punishment
S2: labor politics and politics of sector career advancement
S3: local elections, housing politics, politics of policing
S4: local politics and urban education (how societal issues enter the school system)
S5: the press
Social science: study of social and political world using the scientific method (ish)
Develop question (how did DeAngelo end up in this situation, what are the structures that allow for lower levels of the organization to feel constrain from higher ups)
Develop theory and model (thesis basically abt how the world works)
Identifying implications (hypothesis) > if the world looks like x, i argue that …
Observe evidence and evaluate hypothesis
Evaluate theory
Context (2002):
Show created by former Baltimore reporter with homicide detective
Early 2000s = last decade of war on drugs (ended arnd 2009)
1971 started, launched by Nixon (“drug addiction is public enemy number one”) > tools included eradication and incarceration
Researchers linked war on drugs to mass incarceration
More arrests for possession rather than sales throughout war on drugs
These arrests also have racial disparities (arrests of white people for drugs is fairly stable throughout while the arrests of black people for drugs shows a steep increase throughout)
Premiered less than a year after 9/11 (federal gov isn’t funding war on drugs–funding war on terror instead) < American public also supports this change in funding (^^ Homeland defense)
This fear of terror is especially prominent in coastal cities like Baltimore
Transitional period for technology = percentage of adults who use internet increases (who is using the internet and why doesn’t the Baltimore police department have access to it) (better funded PDs have better tech)
01/22/25
Criminal justice institutions: police, judge, prosecutors
Informational differences between people working on the street and in office
Themes
Chain of command and organizational rules and norms (McNulty violates this)
Parallels between the Barksdale organization
Police face incentives to do less “good” work and more easy work
Criminal Process
Enter the system = arrested and brought for questioning
Prosecution and pretrial services = charge, initial appearance, preliminary hearings
Adjudication = arraignment, plea, or trial (90 something % of cases in US dont go to trial)
Sentencing and sanctions
Corrections
Residential segregation = when they drive to his soccer game everything looks physically different (much nicer)
Massey and Denton, American Apartheid
Observation: observed the “urban underclass” > a lot of poverty and other poor outcomes among black ppl in the US particularly those who live in intercities (intercity poverty)
What has led to this persistent race-based poverty among Black people in the US?
Theorized that deliberate residential segregation has led to persistent poverty among black people in the US
Individual actions, institutional practices and government policies lead to an increase in residential segregation
As segregation increases so does poverty
White flight from cities as urban areas became filled with black people – white ppl looked for ways to promote racial homogeneity
Restrictive covenants = a provision in real property transaction that limits or restricts actions of person being granted property
In the deed, it says you’re agreeing to never do X or always do Y
Racial restrictive covenants
Further techniques:
Blockbusting (real estate agents convince white property owners to sell property at low prices to get out of “bad” neighborhoods and then sell these properties to black ppl at a much higher price > creates more racial segregation)
Steering = white and black clients sent to diff neighborhoods when buying
Redlining = gov sponsored organization (home owners loan corporation) as part of New Deal to refinance home mortgages. Categories riskiness of lending to households based on where it was located (color-coded)
This process is a key driver of racial residential segregation and wealth inequality
Theil Index for Racial Segregation
Compares racial composition of neighborhoods w racial composition of the larger region
If neighborhoods have similar racial composition they have a low Theil index (TAIL index)
And if neighborhoods have diff racial comp they get high Theil index
Segregation leads to poverty
01/27/25
Political Power and the Chain of Command
Police Commissioner & Election-retained Judges (Phelan)
Deputy Ops Commissioner (Burrell)
Majors (Rawls)
Detectives and Officers (The Detail)
War on Drugs, domestic timeline
1960s = huge increase in recreational drug use
1969 = Nixon calls drug abuse a “national threat” and calls for a national anti-drug policy
Officially declares war on drugs in 71, Drugs are public enemy number 1
Nixon creates DEA (in 73) and its role is to coordinate drug efforts across all federal agencies (FBI, CBP, etc.)
When DEA first created, it was small and underfunded but by 2017, the agency had 5k agents and budget of over 2 mil
In 80s cocaine emerged and became popular (concern about crack epidemic)
Nancy Reagan launches the Just Say No campaign (to using or exploring drugs)
Campaign led to public concern about drugs (people start freaking out even more)
Not sure if drug campaigns were successful in reducing usage
Reagan signs anti-drug abuse act of 1986 where we get an act that appropriates a ton of money towards ending drug abuse and started a sentencing disparity
HW Bush creates ONDCP in 89 and there’s a focus on drug abuse as being socially unacceptable
With all this infrastructure, the fed gov established grants for local law enforcement to fight the drug war on their own terms (hire more officers, new equipment, etc. but HAD to be for drugs)
In 1995 US sentencing commission acknowledges racial disparities in sentencing (we should reduce the crack disparity and Congress overrides this)
Were rigid until 2015 ish until these sentencing guidelines became more flexible
Fair Sentencing Act of 2010 = reduced crack disparity, eliminated 5 year mandatory minimum for the simple possession of crack
Success of War on Drugs
Success definition = fewer drug sales, less drug use, less drug-related crime
Costs = incarceration increases (disproportionately by race), police efforts, personnel time, increased prison population
Do benefits outweigh the costs
War on Drugs perpetuates historical trajectory that sustains racial inequality in the US and ^^ cost of incarceration
Evidence for Success of War on Drugs
Increasing incarceration of individuals for drugs means that these people aren’t on the streets selling drugs and producing consequences of drug sales and drug use
Cost of drugs would have to go up since there’s less demand (due to incarceration ^^)
Most crimes tried in state court system, so there’s a high volume (high increase) of people committed to prisons for drug use
Adult drug arrests show a slight increase in the number of drug-related arrests
We’re sentencing these people a lot more harshly
Conclusion
WoD led to an increase in individuals w drug convictions in the prison population (Could be mark of success if we think that putting more people who commit drug related crimes will get these people off the streets and prevent them from selling drugs AND will make trade more costly and lead to its subsequent decline)
Even though the rising incarceration is linked to war on drugs, Drugs only account for 16% of the prison population (WoD couldn’t have led to mass incarceration)
Incarceration increased cocaine prices 5-15%
BUT heroin prices plummeted
So did the prices of cocaine
Rate of violent offence for drug convicts vs other crimes were similar”
Section I Activity:
Question: How does the quality of drugs sold affect Barksdale organization sales?
Quality = doses and how diluted a drug is
Organization sales = measured by organization financial income
Criteria evaluating by: socioeconomic (and drug addiction) lens
Implications/ hypothesis: the worse the drug is, the more people will buy and the more the Barksdale organization will profit (since their sales increase)
Metrics: the number of sales, recurring customers, breaking down what’s in the drug, how it affects consumers physiologically, cost of drug production
01/29/28
Civil Asset Forfeiture = officers can take money they seize (which can then go into the PD’s budget)
Defense of war on drugs = could have been worse without the war on drugs
Brings up the Fundamental Problem of Causal Inference (you can never observe the counterfactual > we observe one state of the world but we can’t know what could have been in some alternate state)
Like if you’re canvassing to someone and then they vote Democratic, we can’t know if that same person would have voted Democratic if we hadn’t canvassed
Conditions for Causality: How can we know if X causes Y
Temporal precedence: X MUST come before Y
X and Y must covary (must be correlated and happening simultaneously)
No alternative explanations for this covariation you see between X and Y
Solution to this problem is randomized experiments
Random assignment = if we truly use randomness to assign subjects to control or treatment we’re controlling for any other alternative explanations for the effect we measure afterwards
Control group becomes counterfactual to the treatment group
Experimental control
02/05/25
Race and Policing
Racial disparities in policing are well-documented and persistent (traffic stops, arrest disparities, use of force
Research questions:
What are the causes of racial disparities and over-policing? (Beckett)
What are the consequences of racial disparities in policing? (Prowse)
How do (seemingly) unrelated policy decisions affect racial disparities? (Beckett, Eckhouse)
Administrative data = data collected and maintained by federal, state, and local gov
Only reflects encounters and interactions the gov records
Interactions where officers talk to people outside of arrests are undocumented (unlikely to know how often these interactions occur, the outcomes of interaction, and what role race plays in these interactions)
Also couldn’t learn too much about the drug economy in a city just from police data (organization interaction, innerworkings, how they target potential buyers)
Ethnographic data and data from participant observation > able to learn about who was selling drugs, buying drugs, how active the drug economy was
In order to be classified as data, the researcher has to think carefully abt how they are collecting information and how this approach affects analysis
Distorted Responsiveness > analyzed using response portals (conversations)
Police data can’t tell us about daily interactions w police
Bottom-up Data = portals
Top-Down Data = surveys (who did you vote for, what party do you believe in, how many times have you been stopped by police
Big question: Are racial disparities evidence of discrimination?
Stanford Open Policing Project > addressing lack of national repository of police data which focused on vehicle and pedestrian stops
Let’s use this data to see if there are racial disparities in who is stopped, then find data to see that these discrepancies are evidence for discrim.
Figures compare outcomes for Black and Latino drivers to White drivers
Alternative Explanations (Only See What We Can See)
Focusing on hit rates as a measure of discrimination is not ideal
Veil of Darkness Test = methodology for analyzing police traffic stops to discern whether racially disparate traffic stop behavior is present (VOD uses a natural experiment in daylight over the course of a year)
More black drivers stopped before dark
02/10/25
Union > organization of workers that exists to protect their interests, improve conditions of work, etc.
Organization formed by workers who join together and use their strength to have a voice in the workplace > negotiation
Recap:
McNulty finds a floating body on harbor patrol > they fight over jurisdiction of the body
Thinks it should be a case for city police
Daniels in charge of evidence room in basement
Stringer identifies problem w Barksdale drug supplier
Avon sends Stringer to ATL
Decline in work conditions and availability for union port workers
McNulty proves that 13 deaths were homicide and how they fall under jurisdiction of city PD
Police Unions as Interest Groups
Interest groups = a group of people who work together to achieve something they’re interested in by putting pressure on the govt
Police unions, port unions, church
Where do we find these interest groups?
Local government expenditure (police protection, health and hospitals)
Activity of interest groups
Collective Bargaining = the process where working people, through their unions, negotiate contracts w their employers to determine their terms of employment, including pay, benefits, hours, leave, job health, and safety policies
Unions = trade unions
Police Unions as Interest Groups: DiSalvo
Public employee unions
Complex relation w American labor movement
15-20% of law-enforcement affiliated w AFL-CIO
Important organizations shaping electoral policies > lobbying events and political contributions (Frank hires lobbyists to effectively influence elected officials choices)
Public Costs of Police Unions > how much does collective bargaining effect costs (begins around 1972)
Bargaining cities spend 4.3% more on salaries per capita and have 16.5% more spending on health benefits per capita (cities w collective bargaining)
Collective bargaining rights lead to a substantial increase in violent incidents of misconduct among sheriff’s offices relative to police departments
Trade Unions in the U.S. (Overview)
Tightening of legislation > electoral effects of “Right-to-Work” legislation
Allow workers to opt out of paying fees to a union at workplace, even if those workers benefit from union bargaining and protections
Trade Unions in US > heterogeneity and history of unions in industrial areas (race plays significant role in dividing workers))
02/12/25
Principal Agent Problem = how monitoring in bureaucracies creates new problems and changes the incentives of people within the structure
Arises when you have a principal who delegates a task to an agent and the agent is working on behalf of the principal
Problem that we refer to arises due to an informational asymmetry (the agent has more info about the task than the managing principal, and the principal doesn’t know for sure if the agent will carry out the task in the way that the principal wants/ in a way that aligns w the principal’s incentives)
Agent may not always be acting in the principal’s best interest
Think about this problem in terms of Rawls (principal) and McNulty (agent)
McNulty has more information about the crime scene and area than Rawls (doesn’t know the players of the city or which gang runs the trade)
Rawls and McNulty also have different incentives (Rawls wants to move through and quickly clear homicides to keep clearance rate up (helps him advance in his career) VS McNulty, who wants to prove he’s a good officer and wants to perform honest, good police work)
Principal Agent Problem within the Policing Chain of Command v
Mayor, Politicians (Clay Davis)
Commissioners and Deputies (Burrell)
Majors (Rawls)
Detectives and Officers (The Detail)
Other examples of power hierarchies: The Barksdale Organization, Constituent (regular citizen) vs. Elected officials, Customer vs. Mechanic
What led to US Mass Incarceration according to Pfaff?
Most people attribute US Mass incarceration to War on Drugs related convictions and imprisonments
But the War had various starting points
Federal v state v local policies
It all comes down to prosecutorial power
Yes drugs are important and the WOD increases prison population for drug related convictions, but even w that increase, ppl w drug offenses are only about 20% of prison population (majority is on account of violent crimes)
We have long prison sentences but reducing mandatory minimums is not enough, we have to reduce the prison admissions rate
Major argument: Local prosecutors are why we see such high levels of incarceration in the US since prosecutors do/ decide …
Whether to charge (each time the police arrest someone does not mean they’re going to be charged w anything)
What to charge w or how many charges to bring (ex: possession of weapon, attempt to use weapon, etc.)
Whether to dismiss
Lead the plea agreement process
Plea Agreements (90% to 98% cases resolved w plea agreement)
Usually involves some types of “bargaining” (acquittals are very rare)
Charge bargaining > defendant agrees to plead guilty for a lesser amount of charges, to a less serious charge (shorter prison sentence, possibility of probation)
Sentence bargaining > judge has discretion and they can change how long a sentence is
Fact bargaining > just focus on a particular charge
About Prosecutors and Organization
Head prosecutors are elected in most states (hire assistant prosecutors from here
Serve at a county level but have same jurisdiction as state court they’re paired w
County budgets fund the prosecutor’s office and jails while state budgets fund prisons and most of state court operations
Prosecutor Incentives > “Tough on Crime” but now we’re starting to see more “Progressive” and “Reform-Minded” prosecutors
02/24/25
Federalism = form of gov that divides power across political unites
Mode of political organization that unites separate states within an overarching political system that still provides a certain degree of sovereignty to the states
Lots of debates on how to manage power between national and state level (back to the founding fathers where Hamilton argued for more gov power and Jefferson argued for less gov power bc this could lead to government overreach)
States rights was used to protect slavery and prevent gov from abolition
Specialization of Governmental Function in the traditional system (up until 1937) a lot of functions were up to the state while the Federal system only really dealt with tariffs, public land disposal, and currency
States assumed most responsibility especially pertaining to everyday lives of people
Most power came from founding of U.S. (fed gov a lot more limited)
The New Deal (period after 1937) = after the Great Depression (^ danger of social instability, militant workers, strikes, inability to find work, unrest) > in response to mass unemployment
Think WPA and CPA
FDR hired more federal workers and established social safety net (social security act of 1985, fair labor standards act of 1938 (fed regulation of the workplace), and wagner act (voters can vote to form their own representation at work via unions))
Driven by initiative of workers themselves’
Unions were really important for building political representation for workers
Poverty and misery concentrated in city while labor leaves and unions are in decline
New Deal legislation sowed the seeds of its decline in cities like Baltimore = ND encouraged transition from urban to suburban areas (via housing plans, highways, homeowner loans organization) > initiated practice of redlining
Active federal government doesn’t always act equitably
National economic crisis, oil shocks (^ energy and transportation costs > inflation), intensifying global competition
Neoliberalism = emphasizes efficiency of free markets, individual liberties, and necessity of minimal centralized gov intervention
Unions like Frank’s would suffer under this ideology
The Docks = more machinery and automation now, bigger scale now, less solidarity
Less labor and the revolution of our supply chain via deregulation, laws like motor carrier, and the box > faster supply chains has made lives convenient but brought down living standards of American workers (enabled firms to have more mobility by moving places where they had cheaper, less organized labor)
Industry left Baltimore for cheaper reasons
New Federalism (containerization) = country’s physical and social infrastructure like roads, edu, masstransit, public parks, police, fire services, and sanitation systems
Redistributive responsibilities: transfer of econ resources fro those who have the most to those who have the least (elderly, disabled, unemployed, sick, poor, women-led households)
States can set their own eligibility standards for welfare programs and author argues that local and state govs may be efficient in economic development, but at a more local level, these govs are better responding to what people want