Authors: Ronald U. Mendoza, Jurel K. Yap, Gabrielle Ann S. Mendoza, Leonardo Jaminola III, Erica Celine Yu
Institution: School of Government, Ateneo de Manila University, Philippines
Keywords: Political dynasties, Philippines, Business dynamism, Development, Poverty
Political dynasties are linked to poverty; however, the relationship varies by region in the Philippines.
Empirical evidence shows that dynastic concentration impacts development differently in Luzon compared to non-Luzon.
The interaction between local economic elites and political dynasties influences poverty levels.
Dynastic Behavior:
Dynastic politicians may act as "roving bandits"—extracting wealth with weak law enforcement.
They may also act as "stationary bandits"—investing in local development to gain popular support.
Prevalence of Dynasties:
80% of Congress and 50% of elected officials are from political families.
Strong link established between political dynasties and poverty in prior studies but lacking an explanation for regional variations.
Independent economic elites can counteract negative effects of political dynasties.
Economic activity mitigates the degree of poverty linked to political concentration.
Key Research Questions:
How do interactions between politicians and businesses shape poverty?
Does political and economic inequality contribute to underdevelopment?
Methodology: Utilizes novel survey data and empirical models analyzing government-business relationships.
Evidence of governance issues in regions with political dynasties:
Reduced legislative productivity and local economic growth.
Dynastic dominance linked to higher misuse of funds and lower public goods provision.
Political Dynamics:
Political concentration negatively impacts development, evident through case studies in Colombia.
Comparisons show economic elites in politics may lead to better economic outcomes.
Governance and Economic Activity:
An active economic sector contributes positively to governance and development.
Target: 81 provinces in the Philippines
Expert Interviews:
Engaged business leaders, civil society leaders, and academics to assess political-business linkages.
Used vignettes for contextual understanding.
Panel dataset from 2006 to 2018 assessing poverty levels by political dynamics.
Fixed and Hausman-Taylor models utilized to understand impacts of dynasties and business dynamics.
Luzon:
Political dynasties do not exacerbate poverty; business ownership relates positively to poverty.
Competitive environment allows politicians to foster growth and expand economic activity.
Non-Luzon:
Political dynasties significantly exacerbate poverty due to extractive behaviors in resource-rich areas.
Presence of dynasties is strongly linked to poverty rates.
Higher dynastic influence correlates with ineffective local governance and economic stagnation in non-Luzon.
The influence of political dynasties on poverty is highly context-dependent:
Varied effects based on region's economic activities and political structures.
Need for institutional reforms to promote accountability and reduce dynastic power.
Future Directions: Further research essential to dissect the regional dynamics of dynastic interactions with business and governance.