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ap macro chapter 2

2.1 Circular Flow and GDP

macroeconomics is the study of the large economy as a whole.

  • the study of the big picture.

  • analyze everyone instead of analyzing one consumer

  • study all businesses instead of one business

macroeconomics field was born during the Great Depression.

  • the government didn’t understand how to fix a depressed economy with 25% unemployment.

macro was created to:

  • measure the health of the whole economy.

  • guide policies to fix problems.

********circular flow**********

All countries have three macroeconomic goals:

  1. promote economic growth

  2. limit unemployment

  3. keep prices stable (limit inflation)

economists measure economic growth by collecting statistics on production, income, investment, and savings

  • called national income accounting

gross domestic product (GDP) - the most important measure of growth; the dollar value of all final goods and services produced within a country in one year

  • dollar value - GDP measured in dollars

  • final goods - GDP only counts NEW goods and services

  • within a country - GDP measures production within the country’s borders

  • one year - GDP measures annual economic performance

GDP measures how well the U.S. is doing financially

  • like how you calculate your income

using GDP

  1. compare to previous years (is there growth?)

  2. compare policy changes (did a new policy work?)

  3. compare to other countries (are we better off?)

measuring GDP

% change in GDP = (year 2 - year 1)/year 1 × 100

standard of living

standard of living can be measured, in part, by how well the economy is doing, but GDP needs to be adjusted to reflect the size of the nation’s population

GDP per capita (per person) - the best measure of standard of living; calculated by GDP divided by the population

identifies on average how many products each person makes

why countries have higher GDPs

  • economic system- capitalism promotes innovation and provides incentives to improve productivity

  • rule of law - countries with solid institutions and political stability have historically had more economic growth

  • capital stock - countries that have more machines and tools are more productive

    • ex. 1: India has a relatively low GDP because they have a lot of labor but not very much capital

    • ex. 2: Japan has few natural resources but a high GDP

  • human capital - countries that have better education and training are more productive

  • natural resources - in general, countries that have access to more natural resources are more productive

all boils down to productivity (output per unit of input)

goods and services not included in GDP

intermediate goods

  • goods inside the final goods don’t count

    • ex. price of finished car, not the stock radio or tires

    • final good eventually gets counted

nonproduction transactions

  • financial transactions (nothing produced)

    • ex. stocks, bonds, real estate

  • used goods

    • ex. old cars, used clothes

nonmarket and illegal activities

  • things made at home - household production

    • ex. unpaid work, black markets, drugs

calculating GDP

  • expenditures approach - add up all the spending on final goods and services produced in a given year

  • income approach - add up all the income earned from selling all final goods and services produced in a given year

  • value-added approach - add up the dollar value added at each stage of the production process

each method should generate the same number

income approach - the income approach adds up all the income earned from producing goods and services

factor payments - labor earns wages, land earns rent, capital earns interest, and entrepreneurship earns profit

  • labour income - wages earned from performing work

  • rental income - income earned from property owned by individuals

  • interest income - interest earned from loaning money to businesses

  • profit - money businesses have after paying all their costs

expenditures approach - there are 4 components to GDP

  • consumer spending - ≈70% of U.S. GDP Purchases of final goods and services by individuals

    • ex: $5 sandwich at Subway

    • made up of 3 components:

      • Durable Goods

        • ex. washing machines, refrigerators, cars

      • Non-durable Goods

        • ex. food, clothes, toilet paper

      • Services

        • ex. dental work, repairs, tutoring

  • business investment - ≈16% of U.S. GDP; businesses spending on tools and equipment

    • ex: Walmart buys self-checkout machines.

  • government spending - ≈17% of U.S. GDP

    • ex: schools, roads, tanks (NOT transfer payments)

  • net exports - ≈-3%

    • ex: the value of 3 Ford Focuses minus 2 Hondas.

expenditures approach formula

GDP (Y) = C + I + G + (X - M)

  • investment (I) - “investment” is used differently in economics than usual—be careful!

    • NEVER when individuals buy assets (stocks and bonds)

    • ALWAYS when businesses buy capital (machines, resources, tools)

  • government (g) - tracks the spending made in the “public sector”

    • includes payments made by the government for goods and services

      • ex. price of fighter jets and the salaries of the pilots

      • doesn’t include money spent on transfer payments (welfare, social security, subsidies)

      • doesn’t include interest payments on the national debt

production of a new home - new real estate counts as investment spending since a new home can potentially be rented out

inventories - goods produced and held in storage in anticipation of later sales

  • counted the year they are produced, not the year they are sold

  • change in inventories is a valuable economic indicator

drastic change in inventory (leading indicator) - might not have been producing much, just getting through inventory

2.2 limitations of GDP

things in GDP that make society worse off

ex.

  • money spent on cleaning up toxic waste

  • money spent on jails

  • money spent on divorce lawyers

  • money spend on suicide nets

  • etc.

things in GDP that don’t count but indicate that society is better off

ex.

  • time spend on recycling

  • community service hours

  • church donations

  • hours spent with family at a park

  • homemade birthday cards

  • etc.

nonmarket transactions - many goods and services provide value but don’t count in GDP

problems with using GDP to measure the standard of living (limitations)

population

  • not measured; address by saying GDP per capita

inequalities

  • can’t measure

environment

  • don’t know/measure the impact on the environment as different goods and services are produced

shadow economy

  • black market transactions to get people potentially working, not getting paid for service (not included in GDP)

2.3 unemployment

unemployment - workers who are actively looking for a job but aren’t working

the unemployment rate - the percentage of people in the labor force who want a job but are not working

unemployment rate formula

unemployment rate = #unemployed/# in labor force x 100

labor force

  • at least 16 years old

  • able and willing to work

  • not institutionalized (in jails or hospitals)

  • not in the military, in school full-time, or retired

three types of unemployment

frictional unemployment - temporary unemployment or being between jobs

  • individuals are qualified workers with transferable skills

    • high school or college graduates looking for jobs

    • individuals who were fired or are looking for a better job

    • teachers aren’t frictionally unemployed, they still have a salary throughout the whole year

  • seasonal employment - a specific type of frictional unemployment, due to the time of year the nature of the job

    • ex. ski instructors - can’t really work in the summertime (temporarily unemployed/between jobs

structural unemployment - changes in the labor force make some skills obsolete

  • workers do NOT have transferable skills and these jobs will never come back (must learn new skills to get a job)

  • the permanent loss of these jobs is called “creative destruction”

    • ex. VCR repairman, milkman, carriage driver

  • technological unemployment - a type of structural unemployment where automation and machinery replace workers

    • ex. self-checkout at grocery stores - more people using self-checkout so some workers may not be able to apply the same skills anywhere else

cyclical unemployment - unemployment caused by a recession (6-month decrease in GDP, downturn in economy)

  • as demand for goods and services falls, demand for labor falls, and workers are laid off (GDP goes down)

  • sometimes called “demand deficient unemployment”

    • steel workers laid off during recessions

    • restaurant owners lay off waiters after poor sales due to recession (pandemic)

    • high unemployment during the Great Depression (25%)

the natural rate of unemployment

frictional and structural unemployment is present at all times because some people will always be between jobs or replaced by technology

don’t want 0% unemployment

the natural rate of unemployment (NRU) - frictional + structural unemployment; the amount of employment that exists when the economy is healthy and growing

full employment output (Y) - the real GDP created when there is no cyclical unemployment

the U.S. is at full employment when there is 4-6% unemployment

composed of frictional and structural

doesn’t change unless something big happens

difference between the natural rate of unemployment (NRU) and the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU)

both represent the idea of full employment

NRU focuses on output and not having too much unemployment

NAIRU focuses on inflation and not having too little unemployment

factors that influence NRU

incentives to search for a new job

why to NOT look for a new job

government?

low unemployment

too little unemployment can cause prices to rise since consumers spend more and producers bid up the price of resources

low employment that doesn’t cause high prices is considered “non-accelerating”

PPC and unemployment

inside the full employment curve - 6%+ unemployment

on the full employment curve - 4-6% unemployment

outside the full employment curve - super low unemployment <4% — leads to inflation

criticisms of unemployment rate

unemployment rate can misdiagnose the actual unemployment rate because of:

  • discouraged workers

    • some people are no longer looking for a job because they have given up

    • labor force participation rate - percent of the population in the labor force; if people leave the labor force the unemployment rate falls

  • underemployed workers

    • someone who wants more hours but can’t got them is still considered employed

  • race/age inequalities

  • the overall unemployment rate doesn’t show disparity for minorities and teenagers

2.4