The national accounts
All countries calculate national income and product accounts (national accounts)
More reliable the accounts, more economically advanced the country
Calculated by stats canada here
Keeps track of consumer spending, producer sales, and many other flows of funds
The expanded circular flow diagram
“Real” economy on left side of diagram (“financial” economy on right)
Flows of funds associated with production and sales of goods
Spending on goods and services (money into market for goods) comes from 4 buyers:
Governments
Education, defense, etc.
Households
Consumer spending(consumption)
Firms
Investment spending (investment)
Spending on productive capital(ie. machines)
Rest of the world
Exports sold to other countries
Purchase of imports leads to a flow of funds out of market for goods and out of economy
GDP = consumer spending + investment spending + govt purchase of goods + exports - imports
Gross Domestic Product
Final goods and services
goods/services sold to the final/end user
Intermediate goods/services
Goods/services that are inputs for production of final goods
purchaser(another firm) not final user
GDP
Total value of all final goods/services produced in an economy during some time period
Ways to calculate
surveying firms and adding up total value of production of final goods/services
Add up aggregate (total) expenditure on domestically produced final goods and services in the economy
Since Gdp must equal flow of funds received by firms from sales in goods/services market
Based on total spending on final goods/services
Sum total factor income earned by household from firms
Total value of factor income paid by firms to households
Based on total income earned
Each sale in economy must accrue to someone as an income
Wages, profit, interest or rent
Not included
Intermediate goods
Inputs
Used goods
Financial assets
Goods produced abroad
Volunteered work, illegal/underground work
Household production
Environmental damage
Calculating GDP
Value added approach
Value added at each step of production minus cost of intermediate goods for each step
Adding up total value of all final goods/service produced
Excludes intermediate goods/services
Including causes us to count same items several times and inflate calculation
Only count each producers value added
Difference between value of sales and value of intermediate goods it purchased from other firms
Subtract cost of inputs at each stage of production process
Expenditure approach
Adding up spending on all domestically produced final goods/services
The flow of funds into firm
Don't want to double count
Only count value of sales to final buyers
Consumers, firms that purchase investment goods, govt., foreign buyers
Omit sales of inputs from one business to another
GDP = C + I + G + X - IM
C = consumption (household)
I = investment (by firms)
G = govt. Expenditure
X = exports
IM = imports
X - IM = net exports
Income approach
Adding up total factor income earned by household from firms
Add two sources of income:
Factor incomes
Income earned by factors of production or inputs
Eg. wages, interest, rent, dividends, etc.
Non-factor payments
Income earned by federal govt. As a result of production of goods/services
Difference between prices final products sold in market and amount received (and kept) by the factors of production before income tax
Eg. net tax = taxes - subsidies, capital depreciation (value of capital(ex. machines) going down)
Sum total wages, interest, rent, etc. and profit
What gdp tells us
Measure of the size of the economy
Good to compare economies
Real GDP: a measure of aggregate output
Aggregate output
Total quantity of final goods/service the economy produces
Helps to avoid price changes (inflation/deflation) distorting GDP
Calculating real GDP
How much would GDP increase if prices didn’t change
Real GDP def
Total value of final goods/service produced during a year, calculated as if prices stayed constant at level of some given base year
Nominal gdp
Gdp at current prices with no adjustment
Govt. economists use chain linking to measure change in real gdp
Avg between gdp growth rate calculate using early and late base year
What real GDP doesn’t measure
Gdp per capita
Gdp divided by size of population
Real gdp per capita not sufficient measure of std. Of living in a country
Increase in real gdp means expansion of economies ppf
Economy has greater productive capacity and can achieve more things
But society doesn’t always use that increase potential to improve living standards
Price indexes and the aggregate price level
Aggregate price level
Single number representing overall level of prices
Market baskets and price indexes
Consumption bundle
Typical basket of goods/service purchased by customers before the price changes
Market basket
A hypothetical consumption bundle used to measure changes in overall price level
Price index
Normalized measure of overall price level
Normalized means price index for base year set to 100
84% increase in price basket will mean PI = 184 for new year
Price index in given year = (cost of market basket in given year) / (cost of market basket in base year) * 100
Basis for measuring inflation
Inflation rate is annual percent change in an official price index
Inflation rate = (PI in year 2 - PI in year 1) / PI in year 1 * 100
Consumer price index(CPI)
Most widely used measure of prices in canada
Intended to show how cost of purchases by typical canadian family changed over time
Calculated by surveying market prices for a market basket to represent consumption of average family
CPI in a year = (cost of (fixed) market basket in a given year) / (cost of (fixed) market basket in base year) * 100
Market basket recalculated every 4 years with survey data
Other price measures
PPI
Producer price index
Measures changes in prices of goods purchased by producers
Industrial producer price index (IPPI)
Measures cost of typical basket of goods/services containing raw commodities(steel, electricity, etc.) purchased by producers
Responds to inflation/deflation quicker than CPI
GDP deflator
A current weighted price index
Ratio of nominal to real gdp
= nominal gdp for a year / real gdp for a year * 100
These metrics tend to move together