Unit 3 - Populations
Identify differences between k- and r-selected species
K-selected - “quality”
few offspring, heavy parental care
high reproduction rates (reproduce many times)
ex. most mammals, birds
long lifespan
long time to sexual maturity = low biotic potential = slow population growth rate
more likely to be disrupted by environmental change or invasives
R-selected - “quantity”
many offspring, little to no care
low reproduction rates (may reproduce only once)
ex. insects, fish, plants
shorter lifespan
quick to sexual maturity = high biotic potential = high population growth rate
more likely to be invasive
better suited for rapidly changing environmental conditions
K-selected
low biotic potential (rep. rate) = hard for population to recover after a disturbance (env. change)
high parental care means death of parent = death of offspring
invasives (usually r) outcompete for resources with high biotic potential and rapid population growth
less likely to adapt and more likely to go extinct
R-selected
high biotic potential (rep. rate) = more rapid population recovery after disturbance
low parental care means death of parent doesn’t impact offspring
not as impacted by invasive species since their population grows quickly
more likely to be invasive
larger population and faster generation time = higher chance of adaptation and lower chance of extinction
Explain survivorship curves
A survivorship curve is a line that shows survival rate of a cohort (group of same aged individuals) in a population from birth to death
Faster drop in line = quicker die-off of individuals
Slower drop in line = longer average lifespan
Type 1 (mostly K-selected)
high survivorship early in life due to high parental care
high survivorship in mid life due to large size and defensive behavior
rapid decrease in survivorship in late life as old age sets in
ex. most mammals
Type 2 (in between r and K)
steadily decreasing survivorship throughout life
Type 3 (mostly r-selected)
high mortality (low survivorship) early in life due to little to no parental care
few make it to midlife; slow, steady decline in survivorship in mid life
even fewer make it to adulthood; slow decline in survivorship in old age
ex. insects, fish plants
Describe carrying capacity
Describe the impact of carrying capacity on ecosystems
Population briefly “overshoots” (k) and then die-off happens
the highest population size an ecosystem can support based on limiting resources:
food
water
habitat (nesting sites, space)
Overshoot:
when a population briefly exceeds carrying capacity
ex. deer breed in fall, give birth all at once in spring; sudden spike in population = overshoot
Consequence of overshoot:
resource depletion ex: overgrazing in deer
Die-off:
sharp decrease in population size when resource depletion (overshoot) leads to many individuals dying
ex. many deer starve with too many new fawns feeding in spring
Reindeer of St. Paul Island
25 introduced in 1910
Growth was gradual (10’ - 30’) then exponential (30’-37’)
Carrying capacity was overshot
Sharp die-off lead to population crash as food resource (lichen) were severely depleted
Real populations don’t always fluctuate around carrying capacity. If resource depletion is severe enough, total population crash can occur
Hare population increase due to low predator population (lynx)
Lynx population increase due to increase in food (hare)
Increasing lynx population limits hare population; leads to die-off
Hare die-off decreases lynx food source, leading to die-off
Hare population increase due to low predator population (lynx)
Explain how resource availability affects population growth
Size (n)
total number of individuals in a given area at a given time
larger = safer from population decline
Density
of individuals/area
ex : (12 panthers/km^2)
high density = higher competition, possibility for disease outbreak, possibility of depleting food sources
Distribution
how individuals in population in are spaced out compared to each other
random (trees)
uniform (territorial animals)
clumped (herd/group animals)
Sex ratio
ratio of males to females. the closer to 50:50, the more ideal for breeding (usually)
die-off or bottleneck effect can lead to skewed sex ratio (not enough females) limiting population growth
Density-Dependent Factors
factors that influence population growth based on size
ex. food, competition for habitat, water, light, even disease
ex. cont. when twice as much food was added, carrying capacity increased by about 2x
all of these things limit population growth based on their size; aka - small population
Density-Independent
factors that influence population growth independent of their size
ex. natural disasters (flood, hurricane, tornado, fire)
it doesn’t matter how big or small population is, natural disasters limit them both.
Biotic potential
exponential growth
Logistic growth
initial rapid growth, then limiting factors limit pop. to K
Biotic Potential
max. potential growth rate, with no limiting resources
May occur initially, but limiting resources (competition, food, disease, predators) slow growth, & eventually limit pop. to carrying capacity (k)
Population Size = (Immigrations + births) - (immigrations + deaths)
Ex: An elk pop. of 52 elk has 19 births and 6 deaths in a season, and 5 new
elk immigrate to the herd and 0 elk emigrate from the heart
Explain age structure diagrams
Age cohorts & growth
groups of similarly aged individuals
0-14 = prereproductive
15 - 44 = reproductive age
45 + = post reproductive
Size difference between 0-14 & 15-44 indicates growth rate
Larger 0-14 cohort = current & future growth
Roughly equal 0-14 & 15-44 = slight growth/stable
Larger 15-44 = pop. decline
Extreme Pyramid shape = rapid growth
Less extreme pyramid = slow, stable growth
House = stable, little to no growth
Narrowest @ base = declining pop.
Explain factors that affect total fertility rate in human populations
Total Fertility Rate
average number of children a woman in a population will bear throughout her lifetime
higher TFR = higher birth rate, higher population growth rate (generally)
Factors that affect TFR
development: more developed or wealthy nations have a lower TFR than less developed nations
more educational access for women
more economic opportunity for women
higher access to family planning education and contraceptives
later age of first pregnancy
less need for children to provide income through agricultural labor
educational and economic opportunities require more time and leave less time for raising children
government policy can play a huge role in fertility by coercive (forceful) or non-coercive (encouraging) policies
forced or voluntary sterilization
china’s 1 (now 2) child policy
tax incentives to have fewer children
microcredits or loans to women without children to start businesses
More education = fewer unplanned pregnancies
More education = more job opportunities for women
alternative to marrying young
Replacement Level Fertility
the TFR required to offset deaths in a population and keep population size stable
about 2.1 in developed countries
higher in less developed countries due to higher infant mortality
Infant Mortality Rate (IMR)
number of deaths of children under 1 year per 1,000 people in a population
higher in less developed countries due to lack of access to health care, clean water, enough food, etc.
Higher IMR = higher TFR, due to families having replacement children
Lower IMR = Lower TMR
Factors in IMR decline
access to clean water
access to healthcare (hospitals, vaccines, vitamins and supplements for moms and babies)
Explain how human populations experience growth and decline
Malthusian theory (what Malthus theorized):
Earth has a human carrying capacity, probably based on food production
Human population growth is happening faster than growth of food production
Humans will reach a carrying capacity limited by food
Technological Advancement
Humans can alter earth’s carrying capacity with tech. Innovation
Ex: synthetic fixation of Nitrogen in 1918 leads to synthetic fertilizer, dramatically increasing food supply
Growth Rate (r) = % increase in a population (usually per year)
Ex: a growth rate of 5% for a population of 100 means they grow to 105
Crude Birth Rate & Crude Death Rate (CBR & CDR)
Births & deaths per 1,000 people in a pop.
Ex: Global CBR = 20 & CDR = 8
Calculating Growth Rate (r)
Growth Rate = (CBR - CDR )/ 10
The time it takes (in years) for a population to double is equal to 70 divided by the growth rate
Factors that increase population growth
higher TFR = higher birth rate
high IMR can drive up TFR
high immigration level
increased access to clean water and healthcare (decrease death rate)
Factors that decrease population growth rate
high death rate
high IMR
increased development (education and affluence)
increased education for women
delayed age of first child
postponement of marriage age
Standard of Living
what the quality of life is like for people of a country based
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
key economic indicator of standard of living
total value of the goods and services produced
per capita GDP is total GDP/total population
Life Expectancy
key health indicator of standard of living
average age a person will live to in a given country
increases with access to clean water, health care, and stable food sources
NOTE: High GDP and life expectancy are both indicators of developments and low population growth
Define the demographic transition
Industrialization
the process of economic and social transition from an agrarian (farming) economy to an
industrial one (manufacturing based)
Pre-industrialized/Less developed
A country that has not yet made the
agrarian to industrial transition
Typically very poor (low GDP)
Typically high death rate & high infant mortality
High TFR for replacement children & agricultural labor
Industrializing/developing
part way through this transition
Decreasing death rate & IMR
Rising GDP
Industrialized/developed
completed the transition
Very low DR & IMR
Very High GDP
Low TFR
High IMR and high death rate due to lack of access to clean water, stable food supply, and healthcare
high TFR due to lack of access to
education for women
contraceptives/family planning
need for child agricultural labor
little to no growth due to high CBR and CDR balancing each other out
ex. virtually no country is in phase 1
Modernizations brings access to clean water, healthcare, stable food supply
IMR and CDR decline
TFR remains high due to
lack of education for women and contraceptives/family planning
need for child agricultural labor
generational lag (takes time for education and societal change to spread)
Economic and societal indicators
low per capita GDP
shorter life expectancy
high infant mortality
high TFR
low literacy rate and school expectancy for girls
NOTE: rapid growth due to high CBR and declining CDR
modernized economy and society increase family income, so TFR declines significantly due to
more education opportunities for women
delayed age of marriage and first child to focus on education and career
access to family planning and contraceptives
economical and social indicators
high per capita GDP
long life expectancy
low infant mortality
TFR near replacement level
high literacy rate and school life expectancy for all
highly modernized countries that are very affluent
TFR declines even further as families become more wealthy and spend even more time on educational and career pursuits
increased wealth and education brings even more prevalent use of family planning and contraception
economical and social indicators
very high per capita GDP
longest life expectancy
TFR below replacement level
highest contraceptive use rates
NOTE: CBR drops lower that CDR and growth becomes negative (population decline)
Identify differences between k- and r-selected species
K-selected - “quality”
few offspring, heavy parental care
high reproduction rates (reproduce many times)
ex. most mammals, birds
long lifespan
long time to sexual maturity = low biotic potential = slow population growth rate
more likely to be disrupted by environmental change or invasives
R-selected - “quantity”
many offspring, little to no care
low reproduction rates (may reproduce only once)
ex. insects, fish, plants
shorter lifespan
quick to sexual maturity = high biotic potential = high population growth rate
more likely to be invasive
better suited for rapidly changing environmental conditions
K-selected
low biotic potential (rep. rate) = hard for population to recover after a disturbance (env. change)
high parental care means death of parent = death of offspring
invasives (usually r) outcompete for resources with high biotic potential and rapid population growth
less likely to adapt and more likely to go extinct
R-selected
high biotic potential (rep. rate) = more rapid population recovery after disturbance
low parental care means death of parent doesn’t impact offspring
not as impacted by invasive species since their population grows quickly
more likely to be invasive
larger population and faster generation time = higher chance of adaptation and lower chance of extinction
Explain survivorship curves
A survivorship curve is a line that shows survival rate of a cohort (group of same aged individuals) in a population from birth to death
Faster drop in line = quicker die-off of individuals
Slower drop in line = longer average lifespan
Type 1 (mostly K-selected)
high survivorship early in life due to high parental care
high survivorship in mid life due to large size and defensive behavior
rapid decrease in survivorship in late life as old age sets in
ex. most mammals
Type 2 (in between r and K)
steadily decreasing survivorship throughout life
Type 3 (mostly r-selected)
high mortality (low survivorship) early in life due to little to no parental care
few make it to midlife; slow, steady decline in survivorship in mid life
even fewer make it to adulthood; slow decline in survivorship in old age
ex. insects, fish plants
Describe carrying capacity
Describe the impact of carrying capacity on ecosystems
Population briefly “overshoots” (k) and then die-off happens
the highest population size an ecosystem can support based on limiting resources:
food
water
habitat (nesting sites, space)
Overshoot:
when a population briefly exceeds carrying capacity
ex. deer breed in fall, give birth all at once in spring; sudden spike in population = overshoot
Consequence of overshoot:
resource depletion ex: overgrazing in deer
Die-off:
sharp decrease in population size when resource depletion (overshoot) leads to many individuals dying
ex. many deer starve with too many new fawns feeding in spring
Reindeer of St. Paul Island
25 introduced in 1910
Growth was gradual (10’ - 30’) then exponential (30’-37’)
Carrying capacity was overshot
Sharp die-off lead to population crash as food resource (lichen) were severely depleted
Real populations don’t always fluctuate around carrying capacity. If resource depletion is severe enough, total population crash can occur
Hare population increase due to low predator population (lynx)
Lynx population increase due to increase in food (hare)
Increasing lynx population limits hare population; leads to die-off
Hare die-off decreases lynx food source, leading to die-off
Hare population increase due to low predator population (lynx)
Explain how resource availability affects population growth
Size (n)
total number of individuals in a given area at a given time
larger = safer from population decline
Density
of individuals/area
ex : (12 panthers/km^2)
high density = higher competition, possibility for disease outbreak, possibility of depleting food sources
Distribution
how individuals in population in are spaced out compared to each other
random (trees)
uniform (territorial animals)
clumped (herd/group animals)
Sex ratio
ratio of males to females. the closer to 50:50, the more ideal for breeding (usually)
die-off or bottleneck effect can lead to skewed sex ratio (not enough females) limiting population growth
Density-Dependent Factors
factors that influence population growth based on size
ex. food, competition for habitat, water, light, even disease
ex. cont. when twice as much food was added, carrying capacity increased by about 2x
all of these things limit population growth based on their size; aka - small population
Density-Independent
factors that influence population growth independent of their size
ex. natural disasters (flood, hurricane, tornado, fire)
it doesn’t matter how big or small population is, natural disasters limit them both.
Biotic potential
exponential growth
Logistic growth
initial rapid growth, then limiting factors limit pop. to K
Biotic Potential
max. potential growth rate, with no limiting resources
May occur initially, but limiting resources (competition, food, disease, predators) slow growth, & eventually limit pop. to carrying capacity (k)
Population Size = (Immigrations + births) - (immigrations + deaths)
Ex: An elk pop. of 52 elk has 19 births and 6 deaths in a season, and 5 new
elk immigrate to the herd and 0 elk emigrate from the heart
Explain age structure diagrams
Age cohorts & growth
groups of similarly aged individuals
0-14 = prereproductive
15 - 44 = reproductive age
45 + = post reproductive
Size difference between 0-14 & 15-44 indicates growth rate
Larger 0-14 cohort = current & future growth
Roughly equal 0-14 & 15-44 = slight growth/stable
Larger 15-44 = pop. decline
Extreme Pyramid shape = rapid growth
Less extreme pyramid = slow, stable growth
House = stable, little to no growth
Narrowest @ base = declining pop.
Explain factors that affect total fertility rate in human populations
Total Fertility Rate
average number of children a woman in a population will bear throughout her lifetime
higher TFR = higher birth rate, higher population growth rate (generally)
Factors that affect TFR
development: more developed or wealthy nations have a lower TFR than less developed nations
more educational access for women
more economic opportunity for women
higher access to family planning education and contraceptives
later age of first pregnancy
less need for children to provide income through agricultural labor
educational and economic opportunities require more time and leave less time for raising children
government policy can play a huge role in fertility by coercive (forceful) or non-coercive (encouraging) policies
forced or voluntary sterilization
china’s 1 (now 2) child policy
tax incentives to have fewer children
microcredits or loans to women without children to start businesses
More education = fewer unplanned pregnancies
More education = more job opportunities for women
alternative to marrying young
Replacement Level Fertility
the TFR required to offset deaths in a population and keep population size stable
about 2.1 in developed countries
higher in less developed countries due to higher infant mortality
Infant Mortality Rate (IMR)
number of deaths of children under 1 year per 1,000 people in a population
higher in less developed countries due to lack of access to health care, clean water, enough food, etc.
Higher IMR = higher TFR, due to families having replacement children
Lower IMR = Lower TMR
Factors in IMR decline
access to clean water
access to healthcare (hospitals, vaccines, vitamins and supplements for moms and babies)
Explain how human populations experience growth and decline
Malthusian theory (what Malthus theorized):
Earth has a human carrying capacity, probably based on food production
Human population growth is happening faster than growth of food production
Humans will reach a carrying capacity limited by food
Technological Advancement
Humans can alter earth’s carrying capacity with tech. Innovation
Ex: synthetic fixation of Nitrogen in 1918 leads to synthetic fertilizer, dramatically increasing food supply
Growth Rate (r) = % increase in a population (usually per year)
Ex: a growth rate of 5% for a population of 100 means they grow to 105
Crude Birth Rate & Crude Death Rate (CBR & CDR)
Births & deaths per 1,000 people in a pop.
Ex: Global CBR = 20 & CDR = 8
Calculating Growth Rate (r)
Growth Rate = (CBR - CDR )/ 10
The time it takes (in years) for a population to double is equal to 70 divided by the growth rate
Factors that increase population growth
higher TFR = higher birth rate
high IMR can drive up TFR
high immigration level
increased access to clean water and healthcare (decrease death rate)
Factors that decrease population growth rate
high death rate
high IMR
increased development (education and affluence)
increased education for women
delayed age of first child
postponement of marriage age
Standard of Living
what the quality of life is like for people of a country based
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
key economic indicator of standard of living
total value of the goods and services produced
per capita GDP is total GDP/total population
Life Expectancy
key health indicator of standard of living
average age a person will live to in a given country
increases with access to clean water, health care, and stable food sources
NOTE: High GDP and life expectancy are both indicators of developments and low population growth
Define the demographic transition
Industrialization
the process of economic and social transition from an agrarian (farming) economy to an
industrial one (manufacturing based)
Pre-industrialized/Less developed
A country that has not yet made the
agrarian to industrial transition
Typically very poor (low GDP)
Typically high death rate & high infant mortality
High TFR for replacement children & agricultural labor
Industrializing/developing
part way through this transition
Decreasing death rate & IMR
Rising GDP
Industrialized/developed
completed the transition
Very low DR & IMR
Very High GDP
Low TFR
High IMR and high death rate due to lack of access to clean water, stable food supply, and healthcare
high TFR due to lack of access to
education for women
contraceptives/family planning
need for child agricultural labor
little to no growth due to high CBR and CDR balancing each other out
ex. virtually no country is in phase 1
Modernizations brings access to clean water, healthcare, stable food supply
IMR and CDR decline
TFR remains high due to
lack of education for women and contraceptives/family planning
need for child agricultural labor
generational lag (takes time for education and societal change to spread)
Economic and societal indicators
low per capita GDP
shorter life expectancy
high infant mortality
high TFR
low literacy rate and school expectancy for girls
NOTE: rapid growth due to high CBR and declining CDR
modernized economy and society increase family income, so TFR declines significantly due to
more education opportunities for women
delayed age of marriage and first child to focus on education and career
access to family planning and contraceptives
economical and social indicators
high per capita GDP
long life expectancy
low infant mortality
TFR near replacement level
high literacy rate and school life expectancy for all
highly modernized countries that are very affluent
TFR declines even further as families become more wealthy and spend even more time on educational and career pursuits
increased wealth and education brings even more prevalent use of family planning and contraception
economical and social indicators
very high per capita GDP
longest life expectancy
TFR below replacement level
highest contraceptive use rates
NOTE: CBR drops lower that CDR and growth becomes negative (population decline)