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Unit 3 - Populations

3.2 K-Selected and R-Selected Species

Learning Objective

  • Identify differences between k- and r-selected species

Quality vs Quantity

K-selected - “quality”

  • few offspring, heavy parental care

  • high reproduction rates (reproduce many times)

    • ex. most mammals, birds

  • long lifespan

    • long time to sexual maturity = low biotic potential = slow population growth rate

      • more likely to be disrupted by environmental change or invasives

R-selected - “quantity”

  • many offspring, little to no care

  • low reproduction rates (may reproduce only once)

    • ex. insects, fish, plants

  • shorter lifespan

    • quick to sexual maturity = high biotic potential = high population growth rate

      • more likely to be invasive

      • better suited for rapidly changing environmental conditions

Traits of K-selected and r-selected species Chart

Invasiveness and Disturbances

K-selected

  • low biotic potential (rep. rate) = hard for population to recover after a disturbance (env. change)

  • high parental care means death of parent = death of offspring

  • invasives (usually r) outcompete for resources with high biotic potential and rapid population growth

  • less likely to adapt and more likely to go extinct

R-selected

  • high biotic potential (rep. rate) = more rapid population recovery after disturbance

  • low parental care means death of parent doesn’t impact offspring

  • not as impacted by invasive species since their population grows quickly

    • more likely to be invasive

  • larger population and faster generation time = higher chance of adaptation and lower chance of extinction

3.3 Survivorship curves

Learning Objective

  • Explain survivorship curves

Survivorship Curves

A survivorship curve is a line that shows survival rate of a cohort (group of same aged individuals) in a population from birth to death

  • Faster drop in line = quicker die-off of individuals

  • Slower drop in line = longer average lifespan

Type I, II, and III

Type 1 (mostly K-selected)

  • high survivorship early in life due to high parental care

  • high survivorship in mid life due to large size and defensive behavior

  • rapid decrease in survivorship in late life as old age sets in

    • ex. most mammals

Type 2 (in between r and K)

  • steadily decreasing survivorship throughout life

Type 3 (mostly r-selected)

  • high mortality (low survivorship) early in life due to little to no parental care

  • few make it to midlife; slow, steady decline in survivorship in mid life

  • even fewer make it to adulthood; slow decline in survivorship in old age

    • ex. insects, fish plants

3.4 Carrying Capacity

Learning Objective

  • Describe carrying capacity

  • Describe the impact of carrying capacity on ecosystems

Carrying Capacity (k)

Figure 1 is theoretical

Figure 2 is more realistic

Population briefly “overshoots” (k) and then die-off happens

  • the highest population size an ecosystem can support based on limiting resources:

    • food

    • water

    • habitat (nesting sites, space)

Overshoot:

  • when a population briefly exceeds carrying capacity

    • ex. deer breed in fall, give birth all at once in spring; sudden spike in population = overshoot

Consequence of overshoot:

  • resource depletion ex: overgrazing in deer

Die-off:

  • sharp decrease in population size when resource depletion (overshoot) leads to many individuals dying

    • ex. many deer starve with too many new fawns feeding in spring

Die-off Example

  • Reindeer of St. Paul Island

    • 25 introduced in 1910

    • Growth was gradual (10’ - 30’) then exponential (30’-37’)

    • Carrying capacity was overshot

    • Sharp die-off lead to population crash as food resource (lichen) were severely depleted

  • Real populations don’t always fluctuate around carrying capacity. If resource depletion is severe enough, total population crash can occur

Predator-Prey

  • Hare population increase due to low predator population (lynx)

  • Lynx population increase due to increase in food (hare)

  • Increasing lynx population limits hare population; leads to die-off

  • Hare die-off decreases lynx food source, leading to die-off

  • Hare population increase due to low predator population (lynx)


3.5 Population Growth and Resource Availability

Learning Objective

  • Explain how resource availability affects population growth

Population Growth

Size (n)

  • total number of individuals in a given area at a given time

    • larger = safer from population decline

Density

  • of individuals/area

    • ex : (12 panthers/km^2)

    • high density = higher competition, possibility for disease outbreak, possibility of depleting food sources

Distribution

  • how individuals in population in are spaced out compared to each other

    • random (trees)

    • uniform (territorial animals)

    • clumped (herd/group animals)

Growth Factors

Sex ratio

  • ratio of males to females. the closer to 50:50, the more ideal for breeding (usually)

    • die-off or bottleneck effect can lead to skewed sex ratio (not enough females) limiting population growth

Density-Dependent Factors

  • factors that influence population growth based on size

    • ex. food, competition for habitat, water, light, even disease

    • ex. cont. when twice as much food was added, carrying capacity increased by about 2x

    • all of these things limit population growth based on their size; aka - small population

Density-Independent

  • factors that influence population growth independent of their size

    • ex. natural disasters (flood, hurricane, tornado, fire)

    • it doesn’t matter how big or small population is, natural disasters limit them both.

Biotic Potential

Biotic potential

  • exponential growth

Logistic growth

  • initial rapid growth, then limiting factors limit pop. to K

Biotic Potential

  • max. potential growth rate, with no limiting resources

  • May occur initially, but limiting resources (competition, food, disease, predators) slow growth, & eventually limit pop. to carrying capacity (k)

Calculating Population Change

Population Size = (Immigrations + births) - (immigrations + deaths)

  • Ex: An elk pop. of 52 elk has 19 births and 6 deaths in a season, and 5 new
    elk immigrate to the herd and 0 elk emigrate from the heart

3.6 Age Structure Diagrams

Learning Objective

  • Explain age structure diagrams

Age Cohorts

Age cohorts & growth

  • groups of similarly aged individuals

0-14 = prereproductive

15 - 44 = reproductive age

45 + = post reproductive

  • Size difference between 0-14 & 15-44 indicates growth rate

    • Larger 0-14 cohort = current & future growth

    • Roughly equal 0-14 & 15-44 = slight growth/stable

    • Larger 15-44 = pop. decline

Pyramid Shapes

  • Extreme Pyramid shape = rapid growth

  • Less extreme pyramid = slow, stable growth

  • House = stable, little to no growth

  • Narrowest @ base = declining pop.

3.7 Total Fertility Rate

Learning Objective

  • Explain factors that affect total fertility rate in human populations

TFR & Infant Mortality

Total Fertility Rate

  • average number of children a woman in a population will bear throughout her lifetime

    • higher TFR = higher birth rate, higher population growth rate (generally)

Factors that affect TFR

  • development: more developed or wealthy nations have a lower TFR than less developed nations

    • more educational access for women

    • more economic opportunity for women

    • higher access to family planning education and contraceptives

    • later age of first pregnancy

    • less need for children to provide income through agricultural labor

    • educational and economic opportunities require more time and leave less time for raising children

  • government policy can play a huge role in fertility by coercive (forceful) or non-coercive (encouraging) policies

    • forced or voluntary sterilization

    • china’s 1 (now 2) child policy

    • tax incentives to have fewer children

    • microcredits or loans to women without children to start businesses

More education = fewer unplanned pregnancies

More education = more job opportunities for women

  • alternative to marrying young

Replacement Level Fertility

  • the TFR required to offset deaths in a population and keep population size stable

    • about 2.1 in developed countries

    • higher in less developed countries due to higher infant mortality

Infant Mortality Rate (IMR)

  • number of deaths of children under 1 year per 1,000 people in a population

    • higher in less developed countries due to lack of access to health care, clean water, enough food, etc.

  • Higher IMR = higher TFR, due to families having replacement children

  • Lower IMR = Lower TMR

Factors in IMR decline

  • access to clean water

  • access to healthcare (hospitals, vaccines, vitamins and supplements for moms and babies)

3.8 Human Population Dynamics

Learning Objective

  • Explain how human populations experience growth and decline

Does Earth Have a Human Carrying Capacity?

Malthusian theory (what Malthus theorized):

  • Earth has a human carrying capacity, probably based on food production

  • Human population growth is happening faster than growth of food production

  • Humans will reach a carrying capacity limited by food

Technological Advancement

  • Humans can alter earth’s carrying capacity with tech. Innovation

  • Ex: synthetic fixation of Nitrogen in 1918 leads to synthetic fertilizer, dramatically increasing food supply

Birth Rate, Death Rate, and Growth

Growth Rate (r) = % increase in a population (usually per year)

  • Ex: a growth rate of 5% for a population of 100 means they grow to 105

Crude Birth Rate & Crude Death Rate (CBR & CDR)

  • Births & deaths per 1,000 people in a pop.

    • Ex: Global CBR = 20 & CDR = 8

Calculating Growth Rate (r)

  • Growth Rate = (CBR - CDR )/ 10

Rule of 70

The time it takes (in years) for a population to double is equal to 70 divided by the growth rate

Factors Affecting Human Population Growth

Factors that increase population growth

  • higher TFR = higher birth rate

  • high IMR can drive up TFR

  • high immigration level

  • increased access to clean water and healthcare (decrease death rate)

Factors that decrease population growth rate

  • high death rate

  • high IMR

  • increased development (education and affluence)

  • increased education for women

  • delayed age of first child

  • postponement of marriage age

Standard of Living Indicators

Standard of Living

  • what the quality of life is like for people of a country based

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

  • key economic indicator of standard of living

    • total value of the goods and services produced

    • per capita GDP is total GDP/total population

Life Expectancy

  • key health indicator of standard of living

    • average age a person will live to in a given country

    • increases with access to clean water, health care, and stable food sources

NOTE: High GDP and life expectancy are both indicators of developments and low population growth

3.9 Demographic Transition

Learning Objective

  • Define the demographic transition

Industrialization

Industrialization

  • the process of economic and social transition from an agrarian (farming) economy to an
    industrial one (manufacturing based)

Pre-industrialized/Less developed

  • A country that has not yet made the
    agrarian to industrial transition

  • Typically very poor (low GDP)

  • Typically high death rate & high infant mortality

  • High TFR for replacement children & agricultural labor

Industrializing/developing

  • part way through this transition

  • Decreasing death rate & IMR

  • Rising GDP

Industrialized/developed

  • completed the transition

  • Very low DR & IMR

  • Very High GDP

  • Low TFR

Stage 1 - Preindustrial

  • High IMR and high death rate due to lack of access to clean water, stable food supply, and healthcare

  • high TFR due to lack of access to

    • education for women

    • contraceptives/family planning

  • need for child agricultural labor

  • little to no growth due to high CBR and CDR balancing each other out

    • ex. virtually no country is in phase 1

Stage 2 - Industrializing/Developing

  • Modernizations brings access to clean water, healthcare, stable food supply

    • IMR and CDR decline

  • TFR remains high due to

    • lack of education for women and contraceptives/family planning

    • need for child agricultural labor

    • generational lag (takes time for education and societal change to spread)

  • Economic and societal indicators

    • low per capita GDP

    • shorter life expectancy

    • high infant mortality

    • high TFR

    • low literacy rate and school expectancy for girls

NOTE: rapid growth due to high CBR and declining CDR

Stage 3 - Developed/Industrialized

  • modernized economy and society increase family income, so TFR declines significantly due to

    • more education opportunities for women

    • delayed age of marriage and first child to focus on education and career

    • access to family planning and contraceptives

  • economical and social indicators

    • high per capita GDP

    • long life expectancy

    • low infant mortality

    • TFR near replacement level

    • high literacy rate and school life expectancy for all

Stage 4 - Post-industrialized/Highly Developed

  • highly modernized countries that are very affluent

    • TFR declines even further as families become more wealthy and spend even more time on educational and career pursuits

    • increased wealth and education brings even more prevalent use of family planning and contraception

  • economical and social indicators

    • very high per capita GDP

    • longest life expectancy

    • TFR below replacement level

    • highest contraceptive use rates

NOTE: CBR drops lower that CDR and growth becomes negative (population decline)

SC

Unit 3 - Populations

3.2 K-Selected and R-Selected Species

Learning Objective

  • Identify differences between k- and r-selected species

Quality vs Quantity

K-selected - “quality”

  • few offspring, heavy parental care

  • high reproduction rates (reproduce many times)

    • ex. most mammals, birds

  • long lifespan

    • long time to sexual maturity = low biotic potential = slow population growth rate

      • more likely to be disrupted by environmental change or invasives

R-selected - “quantity”

  • many offspring, little to no care

  • low reproduction rates (may reproduce only once)

    • ex. insects, fish, plants

  • shorter lifespan

    • quick to sexual maturity = high biotic potential = high population growth rate

      • more likely to be invasive

      • better suited for rapidly changing environmental conditions

Traits of K-selected and r-selected species Chart

Invasiveness and Disturbances

K-selected

  • low biotic potential (rep. rate) = hard for population to recover after a disturbance (env. change)

  • high parental care means death of parent = death of offspring

  • invasives (usually r) outcompete for resources with high biotic potential and rapid population growth

  • less likely to adapt and more likely to go extinct

R-selected

  • high biotic potential (rep. rate) = more rapid population recovery after disturbance

  • low parental care means death of parent doesn’t impact offspring

  • not as impacted by invasive species since their population grows quickly

    • more likely to be invasive

  • larger population and faster generation time = higher chance of adaptation and lower chance of extinction

3.3 Survivorship curves

Learning Objective

  • Explain survivorship curves

Survivorship Curves

A survivorship curve is a line that shows survival rate of a cohort (group of same aged individuals) in a population from birth to death

  • Faster drop in line = quicker die-off of individuals

  • Slower drop in line = longer average lifespan

Type I, II, and III

Type 1 (mostly K-selected)

  • high survivorship early in life due to high parental care

  • high survivorship in mid life due to large size and defensive behavior

  • rapid decrease in survivorship in late life as old age sets in

    • ex. most mammals

Type 2 (in between r and K)

  • steadily decreasing survivorship throughout life

Type 3 (mostly r-selected)

  • high mortality (low survivorship) early in life due to little to no parental care

  • few make it to midlife; slow, steady decline in survivorship in mid life

  • even fewer make it to adulthood; slow decline in survivorship in old age

    • ex. insects, fish plants

3.4 Carrying Capacity

Learning Objective

  • Describe carrying capacity

  • Describe the impact of carrying capacity on ecosystems

Carrying Capacity (k)

Figure 1 is theoretical

Figure 2 is more realistic

Population briefly “overshoots” (k) and then die-off happens

  • the highest population size an ecosystem can support based on limiting resources:

    • food

    • water

    • habitat (nesting sites, space)

Overshoot:

  • when a population briefly exceeds carrying capacity

    • ex. deer breed in fall, give birth all at once in spring; sudden spike in population = overshoot

Consequence of overshoot:

  • resource depletion ex: overgrazing in deer

Die-off:

  • sharp decrease in population size when resource depletion (overshoot) leads to many individuals dying

    • ex. many deer starve with too many new fawns feeding in spring

Die-off Example

  • Reindeer of St. Paul Island

    • 25 introduced in 1910

    • Growth was gradual (10’ - 30’) then exponential (30’-37’)

    • Carrying capacity was overshot

    • Sharp die-off lead to population crash as food resource (lichen) were severely depleted

  • Real populations don’t always fluctuate around carrying capacity. If resource depletion is severe enough, total population crash can occur

Predator-Prey

  • Hare population increase due to low predator population (lynx)

  • Lynx population increase due to increase in food (hare)

  • Increasing lynx population limits hare population; leads to die-off

  • Hare die-off decreases lynx food source, leading to die-off

  • Hare population increase due to low predator population (lynx)


3.5 Population Growth and Resource Availability

Learning Objective

  • Explain how resource availability affects population growth

Population Growth

Size (n)

  • total number of individuals in a given area at a given time

    • larger = safer from population decline

Density

  • of individuals/area

    • ex : (12 panthers/km^2)

    • high density = higher competition, possibility for disease outbreak, possibility of depleting food sources

Distribution

  • how individuals in population in are spaced out compared to each other

    • random (trees)

    • uniform (territorial animals)

    • clumped (herd/group animals)

Growth Factors

Sex ratio

  • ratio of males to females. the closer to 50:50, the more ideal for breeding (usually)

    • die-off or bottleneck effect can lead to skewed sex ratio (not enough females) limiting population growth

Density-Dependent Factors

  • factors that influence population growth based on size

    • ex. food, competition for habitat, water, light, even disease

    • ex. cont. when twice as much food was added, carrying capacity increased by about 2x

    • all of these things limit population growth based on their size; aka - small population

Density-Independent

  • factors that influence population growth independent of their size

    • ex. natural disasters (flood, hurricane, tornado, fire)

    • it doesn’t matter how big or small population is, natural disasters limit them both.

Biotic Potential

Biotic potential

  • exponential growth

Logistic growth

  • initial rapid growth, then limiting factors limit pop. to K

Biotic Potential

  • max. potential growth rate, with no limiting resources

  • May occur initially, but limiting resources (competition, food, disease, predators) slow growth, & eventually limit pop. to carrying capacity (k)

Calculating Population Change

Population Size = (Immigrations + births) - (immigrations + deaths)

  • Ex: An elk pop. of 52 elk has 19 births and 6 deaths in a season, and 5 new
    elk immigrate to the herd and 0 elk emigrate from the heart

3.6 Age Structure Diagrams

Learning Objective

  • Explain age structure diagrams

Age Cohorts

Age cohorts & growth

  • groups of similarly aged individuals

0-14 = prereproductive

15 - 44 = reproductive age

45 + = post reproductive

  • Size difference between 0-14 & 15-44 indicates growth rate

    • Larger 0-14 cohort = current & future growth

    • Roughly equal 0-14 & 15-44 = slight growth/stable

    • Larger 15-44 = pop. decline

Pyramid Shapes

  • Extreme Pyramid shape = rapid growth

  • Less extreme pyramid = slow, stable growth

  • House = stable, little to no growth

  • Narrowest @ base = declining pop.

3.7 Total Fertility Rate

Learning Objective

  • Explain factors that affect total fertility rate in human populations

TFR & Infant Mortality

Total Fertility Rate

  • average number of children a woman in a population will bear throughout her lifetime

    • higher TFR = higher birth rate, higher population growth rate (generally)

Factors that affect TFR

  • development: more developed or wealthy nations have a lower TFR than less developed nations

    • more educational access for women

    • more economic opportunity for women

    • higher access to family planning education and contraceptives

    • later age of first pregnancy

    • less need for children to provide income through agricultural labor

    • educational and economic opportunities require more time and leave less time for raising children

  • government policy can play a huge role in fertility by coercive (forceful) or non-coercive (encouraging) policies

    • forced or voluntary sterilization

    • china’s 1 (now 2) child policy

    • tax incentives to have fewer children

    • microcredits or loans to women without children to start businesses

More education = fewer unplanned pregnancies

More education = more job opportunities for women

  • alternative to marrying young

Replacement Level Fertility

  • the TFR required to offset deaths in a population and keep population size stable

    • about 2.1 in developed countries

    • higher in less developed countries due to higher infant mortality

Infant Mortality Rate (IMR)

  • number of deaths of children under 1 year per 1,000 people in a population

    • higher in less developed countries due to lack of access to health care, clean water, enough food, etc.

  • Higher IMR = higher TFR, due to families having replacement children

  • Lower IMR = Lower TMR

Factors in IMR decline

  • access to clean water

  • access to healthcare (hospitals, vaccines, vitamins and supplements for moms and babies)

3.8 Human Population Dynamics

Learning Objective

  • Explain how human populations experience growth and decline

Does Earth Have a Human Carrying Capacity?

Malthusian theory (what Malthus theorized):

  • Earth has a human carrying capacity, probably based on food production

  • Human population growth is happening faster than growth of food production

  • Humans will reach a carrying capacity limited by food

Technological Advancement

  • Humans can alter earth’s carrying capacity with tech. Innovation

  • Ex: synthetic fixation of Nitrogen in 1918 leads to synthetic fertilizer, dramatically increasing food supply

Birth Rate, Death Rate, and Growth

Growth Rate (r) = % increase in a population (usually per year)

  • Ex: a growth rate of 5% for a population of 100 means they grow to 105

Crude Birth Rate & Crude Death Rate (CBR & CDR)

  • Births & deaths per 1,000 people in a pop.

    • Ex: Global CBR = 20 & CDR = 8

Calculating Growth Rate (r)

  • Growth Rate = (CBR - CDR )/ 10

Rule of 70

The time it takes (in years) for a population to double is equal to 70 divided by the growth rate

Factors Affecting Human Population Growth

Factors that increase population growth

  • higher TFR = higher birth rate

  • high IMR can drive up TFR

  • high immigration level

  • increased access to clean water and healthcare (decrease death rate)

Factors that decrease population growth rate

  • high death rate

  • high IMR

  • increased development (education and affluence)

  • increased education for women

  • delayed age of first child

  • postponement of marriage age

Standard of Living Indicators

Standard of Living

  • what the quality of life is like for people of a country based

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

  • key economic indicator of standard of living

    • total value of the goods and services produced

    • per capita GDP is total GDP/total population

Life Expectancy

  • key health indicator of standard of living

    • average age a person will live to in a given country

    • increases with access to clean water, health care, and stable food sources

NOTE: High GDP and life expectancy are both indicators of developments and low population growth

3.9 Demographic Transition

Learning Objective

  • Define the demographic transition

Industrialization

Industrialization

  • the process of economic and social transition from an agrarian (farming) economy to an
    industrial one (manufacturing based)

Pre-industrialized/Less developed

  • A country that has not yet made the
    agrarian to industrial transition

  • Typically very poor (low GDP)

  • Typically high death rate & high infant mortality

  • High TFR for replacement children & agricultural labor

Industrializing/developing

  • part way through this transition

  • Decreasing death rate & IMR

  • Rising GDP

Industrialized/developed

  • completed the transition

  • Very low DR & IMR

  • Very High GDP

  • Low TFR

Stage 1 - Preindustrial

  • High IMR and high death rate due to lack of access to clean water, stable food supply, and healthcare

  • high TFR due to lack of access to

    • education for women

    • contraceptives/family planning

  • need for child agricultural labor

  • little to no growth due to high CBR and CDR balancing each other out

    • ex. virtually no country is in phase 1

Stage 2 - Industrializing/Developing

  • Modernizations brings access to clean water, healthcare, stable food supply

    • IMR and CDR decline

  • TFR remains high due to

    • lack of education for women and contraceptives/family planning

    • need for child agricultural labor

    • generational lag (takes time for education and societal change to spread)

  • Economic and societal indicators

    • low per capita GDP

    • shorter life expectancy

    • high infant mortality

    • high TFR

    • low literacy rate and school expectancy for girls

NOTE: rapid growth due to high CBR and declining CDR

Stage 3 - Developed/Industrialized

  • modernized economy and society increase family income, so TFR declines significantly due to

    • more education opportunities for women

    • delayed age of marriage and first child to focus on education and career

    • access to family planning and contraceptives

  • economical and social indicators

    • high per capita GDP

    • long life expectancy

    • low infant mortality

    • TFR near replacement level

    • high literacy rate and school life expectancy for all

Stage 4 - Post-industrialized/Highly Developed

  • highly modernized countries that are very affluent

    • TFR declines even further as families become more wealthy and spend even more time on educational and career pursuits

    • increased wealth and education brings even more prevalent use of family planning and contraception

  • economical and social indicators

    • very high per capita GDP

    • longest life expectancy

    • TFR below replacement level

    • highest contraceptive use rates

NOTE: CBR drops lower that CDR and growth becomes negative (population decline)