Consumer Price Index Lecture Notes
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
- Measures the overall level of prices.
- It gauges the overall cost of goods and services bought by a typical consumer.
- The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is the entity responsible for its calculation.
Calculating CPI
- Fix the basket:
- Select goods and services most important to the typical consumer.
- Find the prices:
- Collect prices at each point in time.
- Compute the basket’s cost:
- Use the same basket of goods & services over time.
- Isolate the effects of price changes.
- Expenditures in year 1 are calculated as:
- (Price in year 1) X (Quantity in year 1) and added together for all goods and services.
Choose a base year and compute the CPI
- Base year = benchmark
- The formula to calculate CPI is:
CPI in current year = \frac{Expenditures\,in\,current\,year}{Expenditures\,in\,base\,year} × 100 - CPI in year 2:
CPI\,in\,year\,2 = \frac{Expenditures\,in\,year\,2}{Expenditures\,in\,base\,year} × 100 - CPI in year 1:
CPI\,in\,year\,1 = \frac{Expenditures\,in\,year\,1}{Expenditures\,in\,base\,year} × 100
Compute the inflation rate
- The formula to calculate the inflation rate is:
Inflation\,rate\,in\,year\,2 = \frac{CPI\,in\,year\,2 - CPI\,in\,year\,1}{CPI\,in\,year\,1} × 100
- The formula to calculate the inflation rate is:
Typical Basket of Goods and Services
- The figure illustrates how the typical consumer divides spending among various categories of goods and services.
- The Bureau of Labor Statistics calls each percentage the “relative importance” of the category.
Problems in Measuring the Cost of Living
- Substitution bias
- Prices do not change proportionately.
- Consumers substitute toward goods that have become relatively less expensive.
- Introduction of new goods
- More variety of goods becomes available.
- Unmeasured quality change
- Changes in quality of goods and services.
Producer Price Index (PPI)
- Measure of the cost of a basket of goods and services bought by firms.
- Changes in PPI are often thought to be useful in predicting changes in CPI.