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1.1.1 economics as a social science

A) Thinking Like an Economist: Developing Models in Economics

1. Introduction to Economic Models

  • Economics is the study of how societies allocate scarce resources to meet unlimited wants.

  • Economists use models to simplify and analyze complex economic situations.

2. The Role of Assumptions

  • Assumptions are simplifications made in economic models to focus on key variables.

  • Assumptions help isolate the relationship between variables and make analysis manageable.

  • Example: In the production possibilities frontier (PPF) model, we assume constant technology to understand trade-offs between two goods.

3. Advantages of Economic Models

  • Models provide a framework for understanding economic phenomena.

  • They allow economists to make predictions, test theories, and guide policy.

  • Example: The supply and demand model helps analyze price changes and market equilibrium.

4. Limitations of Economic Models

  • Models are simplifications of reality and may not capture all complexities.

  • Assumptions can be unrealistic, leading to inaccurate predictions.

  • Example: Assumption of rational behaviour may not apply to all individuals.

B) The Use of the Ceteris Paribus Assumption in Building Models

1. Definition of Ceteris Paribus

  • Ceteris paribus means "all else being equal" in Latin.

  • It's an assumption that allows economists to isolate the effect of one variable while holding others constant.

2. Application in Demand and Supply Analysis

  • In the demand and supply model, ceteris paribus is used to focus on the impact of price changes while keeping other factors constant.

  • Example: If we want to study the effect of an increase in the price of smartphones on the quantity demanded, we hold income and consumer preferences constant.

3. Importance in Economic Analysis

  • Ceteris paribus simplifies complex economic relationships and makes them more understandable.

  • It helps identify cause-and-effect relationships between variables.

  • Example: When analyzing the impact of a minimum wage increase, ceteris paribus helps isolate the effect on employment while assuming other factors remain constant.

4. Critique of Ceteris Paribus Assumption

  • Critics argue that in the real world, it's challenging to hold all variables constant.

  • Changes in one variable often lead to changes in others, making isolation difficult.

  • Example: Inflation may affect both the price level and consumer preferences simultaneously, challenging the ceteris paribus assumption.

C) The Inability in Economics to Make Scientific Experiments

1. Characteristics of Scientific Experiments

  • Scientific experiments involve controlled conditions, manipulation of variables, and replication.

  • In physics and chemistry, controlled experiments are feasible.

2. Challenges in Economics

  • Economics deals with complex, dynamic human behavior influenced by numerous variables.

  • Economic experiments are often uncontrolled, making it difficult to isolate variables.

  • Example: In a study of the impact of a tax cut on consumer spending, it's challenging to control all other factors influencing spending.

3. Use of Natural Experiments

  • Economists often rely on natural experiments (real-world events) to analyze economic phenomena.

  • Example: The introduction of a new tax policy in one state can be used to study its economic effects.

4. Importance of Empirical Analysis

  • Economists use statistical analysis and data to draw conclusions.

  • Empirical studies help identify patterns and relationships in economic data.

  • Example: Econometric models analyse historical data to predict the impact of interest rate changes on economic growth.

1.1.1 economics as a social science

A) Thinking Like an Economist: Developing Models in Economics

1. Introduction to Economic Models

  • Economics is the study of how societies allocate scarce resources to meet unlimited wants.

  • Economists use models to simplify and analyze complex economic situations.

2. The Role of Assumptions

  • Assumptions are simplifications made in economic models to focus on key variables.

  • Assumptions help isolate the relationship between variables and make analysis manageable.

  • Example: In the production possibilities frontier (PPF) model, we assume constant technology to understand trade-offs between two goods.

3. Advantages of Economic Models

  • Models provide a framework for understanding economic phenomena.

  • They allow economists to make predictions, test theories, and guide policy.

  • Example: The supply and demand model helps analyze price changes and market equilibrium.

4. Limitations of Economic Models

  • Models are simplifications of reality and may not capture all complexities.

  • Assumptions can be unrealistic, leading to inaccurate predictions.

  • Example: Assumption of rational behaviour may not apply to all individuals.

B) The Use of the Ceteris Paribus Assumption in Building Models

1. Definition of Ceteris Paribus

  • Ceteris paribus means "all else being equal" in Latin.

  • It's an assumption that allows economists to isolate the effect of one variable while holding others constant.

2. Application in Demand and Supply Analysis

  • In the demand and supply model, ceteris paribus is used to focus on the impact of price changes while keeping other factors constant.

  • Example: If we want to study the effect of an increase in the price of smartphones on the quantity demanded, we hold income and consumer preferences constant.

3. Importance in Economic Analysis

  • Ceteris paribus simplifies complex economic relationships and makes them more understandable.

  • It helps identify cause-and-effect relationships between variables.

  • Example: When analyzing the impact of a minimum wage increase, ceteris paribus helps isolate the effect on employment while assuming other factors remain constant.

4. Critique of Ceteris Paribus Assumption

  • Critics argue that in the real world, it's challenging to hold all variables constant.

  • Changes in one variable often lead to changes in others, making isolation difficult.

  • Example: Inflation may affect both the price level and consumer preferences simultaneously, challenging the ceteris paribus assumption.

C) The Inability in Economics to Make Scientific Experiments

1. Characteristics of Scientific Experiments

  • Scientific experiments involve controlled conditions, manipulation of variables, and replication.

  • In physics and chemistry, controlled experiments are feasible.

2. Challenges in Economics

  • Economics deals with complex, dynamic human behavior influenced by numerous variables.

  • Economic experiments are often uncontrolled, making it difficult to isolate variables.

  • Example: In a study of the impact of a tax cut on consumer spending, it's challenging to control all other factors influencing spending.

3. Use of Natural Experiments

  • Economists often rely on natural experiments (real-world events) to analyze economic phenomena.

  • Example: The introduction of a new tax policy in one state can be used to study its economic effects.

4. Importance of Empirical Analysis

  • Economists use statistical analysis and data to draw conclusions.

  • Empirical studies help identify patterns and relationships in economic data.

  • Example: Econometric models analyse historical data to predict the impact of interest rate changes on economic growth.