MACROECONOMICS: DEMAND AND SUPPLY

Demand and Supply: Core Concepts

Learning Objectives

  • Describe a competitive market and understand price as an opportunity cost.

  • Explain factors influencing demand.

  • Explain factors influencing supply.

  • Analyze how demand and supply determine prices and quantities in a market.

  • Apply the demand and supply model to predict changes in market prices and quantities.

Markets and Prices

  • Market: Any arrangement facilitating information exchange and business transactions between buyers and sellers.

  • Competitive Market: A market characterized by:

    • Many buyers.

    • Many sellers.

    • No single buyer or seller has the power to influence the price.

  • Money Price: The absolute amount of money required to purchase a good.

  • Relative Price: The ratio of a good's money price to the money price of the next best alternative good.

    • Represents the opportunity cost of buying that good.

Demand

  • Definition of Demand: For a person to demand something, they must:

    1. Want it.

    2. Be able to afford it.

    3. Have a definite plan to buy it.

  • Wants: Unlimited desires or wishes for goods and services, which are distinct from demand.

  • Demand vs. Wants: Demand reflects a concrete decision about which wants to satisfy.

  • Quantity Demanded: The specific amount of a good or service consumers plan to buy during a particular time period at a given price.

The Law of Demand
  • Statement: Other things remaining the same (ceteris paribus):

    • The higher the price of a good, the smaller is the quantity demanded.

    • The lower the price of a good, the larger is the quantity demanded.

  • Reasons for the Law of Demand: Changes in price affect quantity demanded due to:

    • Substitution Effect: When the relative price (opportunity cost) of a good or service rises, consumers look for substitutes, leading to a decrease in its quantity demanded.

    • Income Effect: When the price of a good or service rises relative to a consumer's income, their real income (purchasing power) effectively decreases, meaning they cannot afford as much as before, leading to a decrease in its quantity demanded.

Demand Curve and Demand Schedule
  • Demand: Refers to the entire relationship between the price of a good and the quantity demanded.

  • Demand Curve: A graphical representation showing the relationship between the quantity demanded of a good and its price, assuming all other influences on planned purchases are constant.

  • Demand Schedule Example (Energy Bars):

    • Price of energy bar (dollars) | Quantity demanded (millions of bars per week)

    • 0.50 | 22

    • 1.00 | 15

    • 1.50 | 10

    • 2.00 | 7

    • 2.50 | 5

  • Movement Along the Demand Curve: Caused by a change in the price of the good itself, with other factors constant.

    • A rise in price leads to a decrease in quantity demanded, illustrated as a movement up along the demand curve.

    • A fall in price leads to an increase in quantity demanded, illustrated as a movement down along the demand curve.

  • Willingness and Ability to Pay: A demand curve also represents a willingness-and-ability-to-pay curve.

    • The lower the quantity available, the higher the price someone is willing to pay for an additional unit.

    • Willingness to pay directly measures marginal benefit.

A Change in Demand (Shift of the Demand Curve)
  • Definition: Occurs when any influence on buying plans other than the price of the good changes.

    • Results in a new demand curve, meaning the quantity people plan to buy changes at every price.

  • Direction of Shift:

    • Increase in Demand: The demand curve shifts rightward.

    • Decrease in Demand: The demand curve shifts leftward.

  • Six Main Factors that Change Demand:

    1. Prices of Related Goods:

      • Substitute: A good that can be used in place of another good.

        • If the price of a substitute for energy bars rises, the demand for energy bars increases (shifts right).

      • Complement: A good that is used in conjunction with another good.

        • If the price of a complement for energy bars falls, the demand for energy bars increases (shifts right).

    2. Expected Future Prices:

      • If the price of a good is expected to rise in the future, current demand for that good increases (shifts right).

    3. Income:

      • Normal Good: A good for which demand increases as income increases (shifts right).

      • Inferior Good: A good for which demand decreases as income increases (shifts left).

    4. Expected Future Income and Credit:

      • If income is expected to increase in the future, or if credit becomes easier to obtain, current demand might increase.

    5. Population:

      • A larger population leads to a greater demand for nearly all goods (shifts right).

    6. Preferences:

      • Different preferences among individuals with the same income lead to different demands for goods.

  • Example: Increase in Income:

    • An increase in income causes the demand curve for energy bars to shift rightward.

    • Original demand schedule (original income):

      • Price | Quantity Demanded (millions)

      • 0.50 | 22

      • 1.00 | 15

      • 1.50 | 10

      • 2.00 | 7

      • 2.50 | 5

    • New demand schedule (new higher income):

      • Price | Quantity Demanded (millions)

      • 0.50 | 32

      • 1.00 | 25

      • 1.50 | 20

      • 2.00 | 17

      • 2.50 | 15

Supply

  • Definition of Supply: For a firm to supply a good or service, it must:

    1. Have the resources and technology to produce it.

    2. Be able to profit from producing it.

    3. Have a definite plan to produce and sell it.

  • Technological Feasibility: Resources and technology determine what production is possible.

  • Supply Decision: Supply reflects a business decision about which technologically feasible items to produce.

  • Quantity Supplied: The specific amount of a good or service producers plan to sell during a particular time period at a given price.

The Law of Supply
  • Statement: Other things remaining the same (ceteris paribus):

    • The higher the price of a good, the greater is the quantity supplied.

    • The lower the price of a good, the smaller is the quantity supplied.

  • Reason for the Law of Supply: This law stems from the general tendency for the marginal cost of producing a good or service to increase as the quantity produced increases.

    • Producers are only willing to supply a good if they can at least cover their marginal cost of production.

Supply Curve and Supply Schedule
  • Supply: Refers to the entire relationship between the quantity supplied and the price of a good.

  • Supply Curve: A graphical representation showing the relationship between the quantity supplied of a good and its price, assuming all other influences on planned sales are constant.

  • Supply Schedule Example (Energy Bars):

    • Price of energy bar (dollars) | Quantity supplied (millions of bars per week)

    • 0.50 | 0

    • 1.00 | 6

    • 1.50 | 10

    • 2.00 | 13

    • 2.50 | 15

  • Movement Along the Supply Curve: Caused by a change in the price of the good itself, with other factors constant.

    • A rise in price leads to an increase in quantity supplied, illustrated as a movement up along the supply curve.

    • A fall in price leads to a decrease in quantity supplied, illustrated as a movement down along the supply curve.

  • Minimum Supply Price: A supply curve also represents a minimum-supply-price curve.

    • As the quantity produced increases, marginal cost typically increases.

    • The lowest price at which a supplier is willing to sell an additional unit rises, and this lowest price corresponds to the marginal cost.

A Change in Supply (Shift of the Supply Curve)
  • Definition: Occurs when any influence on selling plans other than the price of the good changes.

    • Results in a new supply curve, meaning the quantity producers plan to sell changes at every price.

  • Direction of Shift:

    • Increase in Supply: The supply curve shifts rightward.

    • Decrease in Supply: The supply curve shifts leftward.

  • Six Main Factors that Change Supply:

    1. Prices of Factors of Production:

      • If the price of an input (e.g., labor, raw materials) used to produce a good rises, the minimum acceptable price for production increases.

      • This decreases supply (shifts leftward).

    2. Prices of Related Goods Produced:

      • Substitute in Production: Another good that can be produced using the same resources.

        • If the price of a substitute in production for energy bars falls, the supply of energy bars increases (shifts right).

      • Complement in Production: Goods that are produced together.

        • If the price of a complement in production rises, the supply of the good increases (shifts right).

    3. Expected Future Prices:

      • If the price of a good is expected to rise in the future, producers might withhold current supply to sell later at a higher price.

      • This decreases current supply (shifts leftward).

    4. The Number of Suppliers:

      • A larger number of suppliers in a market leads to a greater overall supply of the good (shifts rightward).

    5. Technology:

      • Advances in technology typically lower production costs and can create new products.

      • This increases supply (shifts rightward).

    6. State of Nature:

      • Includes all natural forces influencing production, such as weather.

      • A natural disaster (e.g., hurricane, drought) generally decreases supply (shifts leftward).

  • Example: Advance in Technology:

    • An advance in technology reduces production costs, increasing the supply of energy bars and shifting the supply curve rightward.

    • Original supply schedule (old technology):

      • Price | Quantity Supplied (millions)

      • 0.50 | 0

      • 1.00 | 6

      • 1.50 | 10

      • 2.00 | 13

      • 2.50 | 15

    • New supply schedule (new technology):

      • Price | Quantity Supplied (millions)

      • 0.50 | 7

      • 1.00 | 15

      • 1.50 | 20

      • 2.00 | 25

      • 2.50 | 27

Market Equilibrium

  • Equilibrium: A state where opposing forces balance each other, leading to no tendency for change.

  • Market Equilibrium: Occurs when the price effectively balances the buying plans of consumers and the selling plans of producers.

  • Equilibrium Price: The price at which the quantity demanded exactly equals the quantity supplied.

  • Equilibrium Quantity: The quantity of the good bought and sold at the equilibrium price.

  • The Role of Price as a Regulator:

    • When the price is above the equilibrium price, the quantity supplied exceeds the quantity demanded, creating a surplus.

      • Example: At a price of 2.00 per energy bar, quantity demanded is 7 million and quantity supplied is 13 million, resulting in a surplus of 6 million bars.

    • When the price is below the equilibrium price, the quantity demanded exceeds the quantity supplied, creating a shortage.

      • Example: At a price of 1.00 per energy bar, quantity demanded is 15 million and quantity supplied is 6 million, resulting in a shortage of 9 million bars.

    • At the equilibrium price, there is no shortage or surplus; plans align.

      • Example: At a price of 1.50 per energy bar, quantity demanded is 10 million and quantity supplied is 10 million, an equilibrium.

  • Price Adjustments:

    • Surplus: When a surplus exists (price > equilibrium), sellers will lower prices to clear excess inventory, forcing the market price down towards equilibrium.

    • Shortage: When a shortage exists (price < equilibrium), buyers will bid up prices to acquire the good, forcing the market price up towards equilibrium.

    • The price remains stable at equilibrium until an event changes either demand or supply.

Predicting Changes in Price and Quantity

Changes in Demand Only
  • An Increase in Demand:

    • The demand curve shifts rightward.

    • At the original price, a shortage emerges.

    • The market price rises.

    • The quantity supplied increases, represented by a movement up along the existing supply curve, leading to a higher equilibrium quantity.

  • A Decrease in Demand:

    • The demand curve shifts leftward.

    • At the original price, a surplus emerges.

    • The market price falls.

    • The quantity supplied decreases, represented by a movement down along the existing supply curve, leading to a lower equilibrium quantity.

Changes in Supply Only
  • An Increase in Supply:

    • The supply curve shifts rightward.

    • At the original price, a surplus emerges.

    • The market price falls.

    • The quantity demanded increases, represented by a movement down along the existing demand curve, leading to a higher equilibrium quantity.

  • A Decrease in Supply:

    • The supply curve shifts leftward.

    • At the original price, a shortage emerges.

    • The market price rises.

    • The quantity demanded decreases, represented by a movement up along the existing demand curve, leading to a lower equilibrium quantity.

Changes in Both Demand and Supply
  • Changes in the Same Direction:

    • Increase in Both Demand and Supply:

      • Equilibrium quantity increases.

      • Equilibrium price is uncertain because increased demand raises the price, while increased supply lowers it. The net effect depends on the relative magnitudes of the shifts.

    • Decrease in Both Demand and Supply:

      • Equilibrium quantity decreases.

      • Equilibrium price is uncertain because decreased demand lowers the price, while decreased supply raises it. The net effect depends on the relative magnitudes of the shifts.

  • Changes in Opposite Directions:

    • Decrease in Demand and Increase in Supply:

      • Equilibrium price lowers.

      • Equilibrium quantity is uncertain because decreased demand decreases the quantity, while increased supply increases it. The net effect depends on the relative magnitudes of the shifts.

    • Increase in Demand and Decrease in Supply:

      • Equilibrium price raises.

      • Equilibrium quantity is uncertain because increased demand increases the quantity, while decreased supply decreases it. The net effect depends on the relative magnitudes of the shifts.