AS-AD Model Flashcards
Aggregate Demand (AD)
Definition: AD = C + I + G + NX, where:
C = Consumer spending
I = Investment spending
G = Government spending
NX = Net exports (Exports - Imports)
Shifts in AD are caused by changes in:
Consumer confidence: Higher confidence leads to increased spending and a rightward shift of the AD curve. Lower confidence leads to decreased spending and a leftward shift.
Investment expectations: Optimistic expectations about future profitability increase investment, shifting AD to the right. Pessimistic expectations decrease investment, shifting AD to the left.
Government spending/tax policy: Increased government spending or tax cuts increase AD (rightward shift). Decreased government spending or tax increases decrease AD (leftward shift).
Net exports: Increased net exports (exports > imports) increase AD (rightward shift). Decreased net exports (exports < imports) decrease AD (leftward shift).
Short-Run Aggregate Supply (SRAS)
Shifts in SRAS are caused by:
Input prices (e.g., wages): Higher input prices (like wages) decrease SRAS (leftward shift). Lower input prices increase SRAS (rightward shift).
Expectations of inflation: Higher expected inflation decreases SRAS (leftward shift) as firms anticipate higher costs. Lower expected inflation increases SRAS (rightward shift).
Temporary shocks: Adverse supply shocks (e.g., natural disasters, sudden increase in oil prices) decrease SRAS (leftward shift). Positive supply shocks increase SRAS (rightward shift).
Long-Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS)
LRAS is vertical at the potential output level.
Shifts in LRAS are caused by:
Labor force changes: An increase in the labor force increases LRAS (rightward shift). A decrease in the labor force decreases LRAS (leftward shift).
Technology advancements: Technological improvements increase LRAS (rightward shift) by increasing productivity.
Capital stock changes: An increase in the capital stock (e.g., more machines, factories) increases LRAS (rightward shift). A decrease in the capital stock decreases LRAS (leftward shift).
Natural resources: Discovery of new natural resources increases LRAS (rightward shift). Depletion of natural resources decreases LRAS (leftward shift).
Graph Analysis Tips
Draw initial equilibrium: Start by drawing the AD, SRAS, and LRAS curves intersecting at the initial equilibrium point.
Identify which curve shifts: Determine which curve (AD, SRAS, or LRAS) is affected by the given scenario and the direction of the shift (left or right).
Show new short-run equilibrium: Illustrate the new intersection point of the shifted curve with the unchanged curve(s). This identifies the new short-run equilibrium.
Show long-run adjustment (if necessary): If the short-run equilibrium is not at the LRAS, show how the SRAS curve will eventually shift to bring the economy back to long-run equilibrium.
Label changes: Clearly label the changes in:
Price Level (P): Increase or decrease
Output (Y): Increase or decrease
Unemployment (U): Increase or decrease (inverse relationship with output)
Scenario Analysis
The following table outlines the effects of different scenarios on the AD-AS model. FE stands for Full Employment and NR stands for Natural Rate.
Scenario | SR Curve Shift | LR Curve Shift | P | Y | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Permanent consumer optimism | AD right | SRAS left (eventually) | uparrow then FE | uparrow then NR | downarrow then NR |
Permanent investor optimism | AD right | SRAS left (eventually) | uparrow then FE | uparrow then NR | downarrow then NR |
Temporary consumer optimism | AD right | No LR shift | uparrow then back to FE | uparrow then back | downarrow then back |
Temporary investor optimism | AD right | No LR shift | uparrow then back to FE | uparrow then back | downarrow then back |
Permanent increase in exports | AD right | SRAS left (eventually) | uparrow then FE | uparrow then NR | downarrow then NR |
Permanent decrease in exports | AD left | SRAS right (finally) | downarrow then FE | downarrow then NR | uparrow then NR |
Permanent increase in imports | AD left | SRAS right (finally) | downarrow then FE | downarrow then NR | uparrow then NR |
Temporary increase in imports | AD left | No LR shift | downarrow then back to FE | downarrow then back | uparrow then back |