Part 14
The Keynesian Revolution:
Classical economists' beliefs:
Supply and demand reach full employment through flexible prices bringing markets into equilibrium.
Markets are always clear, enabling firms to sell all goods/services.
John Maynard Keynes:
Highlighted persistent unemployment during the Great Depression.
In The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (1936), focused on demand-side factors over supply-side.
The Four Key Expenditure Components of Aggregate Demand:
Consumption Demand (C)
Investment Demand (I)
Government Demand (G)
Net Export Demand (X - M)
Consumption Demand (C):
Most significant component of aggregate expenditure.
Key determinant: Disposable Income.
Consumption function (C): Shows household spending at varying levels of disposable income.
Marginal Propensities:
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC): Change in consumption from a change in disposable income.
Marginal Propensity to Save (MPS): Change in savings from a change in disposable income.
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Factors Affecting Consumption Behavior:
Expectations (optimistic/pessimistic views).
Wealth in real/financial assets.
Price level influences.
Interest rate impacts: Lower rates encourage borrowing for consumer spending (C).
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Investment Demand (I):
Most volatile component of aggregate expenditure, driven by future expectations and risk.
Key influencing factors include firms' expectations and interest rates.
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Investment Behavior Influencers:
Technological progress.
Capacity utilization.
Business taxes.
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Government Demand (G):
Government expenditure is autonomous, not varying with disposable income or interest rates.
Driven primarily by political decisions rather than national output levels.
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Net Export Demand (X - M):
Economic conditions abroad affect exports; domestic conditions affect imports.
Exchange rates and terms of trade influence net export demand.
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Aggregate Demand-Output Model:
Also known as the Keynesian model.
Determines the equilibrium level of real GDP by balancing output produced and aggregate demand.
Firms set output levels based on price expectations and required rates of return.
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Spending Multiplier Effect:
Refers to induced spending occurring after an initial stimulus to aggregate demand.
One change to aggregate demand triggers a series of further changes, amplifying shifts in real GDP.
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AD-AS Model Adjustments:
The Keynesian framework must emphasize aggregate supply for modern business cycle analysis.
Links aggregate demand with the economy's aggregate supply.
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Aggregate Demand Curve:
Shows total real GDP that sectors would purchase at various average price levels (ceteris paribus).
Downward-sloping curve indicates that lower price levels increase quantity demanded.
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Reiteration of the Aggregate Demand Curve.
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Reasons for Aggregate Demand Curve’s Shape: (Further details expected)
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Non-Price-Level Determinants of Aggregate Demand:
Components include Consumption (C), Investment (I), Government (G), and Net Exports (X and M).
These factors can shift the aggregate demand curve.
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Aggregate Supply Curve (AS):
Illustrates the level of real GDP firms would produce at different price levels.
Upward-sloping due to increased production with rising price levels.
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Three Ranges of the Aggregate Supply Curve:
Horizontal Segment (Keynesian Range): Economy in severe recession.
Upward-Sloping Segment (Intermediate Range): Economy approaching full-employment output.
Vertical Segment (Classical Range): Economy at full-employment output.
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Reiteration of Three Ranges of the Aggregate Supply Curve.
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Macroeconomic Equilibrium:
Occurs when aggregate demand and supply curves intersect.
At this intersection, sellers accurately predict real GDP demand, preventing inventory mismatches.
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Macroeconomic Equilibrium: The AD-AS Model.
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Changes in AD-AS Equilibrium:
The model helps analyze business cycles and macroeconomic policies' impacts on prices, GDP, and employment.
Influences of changes in aggregate demand on output and price levels depend on the aggregate supply curve's range.
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Range Types:
Horizontal Range: Behavior during significant economic downturns.
Intermediate Range: Behavior as the economy approaches full employment.
Vertical Range: Behavior at full employment levels.
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Equilibrium Shifts from AS Changes:
Shifts in aggregate supply can arise from resource price changes, technology shifts, taxes, subsidies, and regulations.
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Cost-Push and Demand-Pull Inflation:
Cost-Push Inflation: Price level rises from a leftward shift in the aggregate supply curve, maintaining demand.
Demand-Pull Inflation: Price level rises from a leftward shift in the aggregate demand curve, maintaining supply.
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Shift Factors for Aggregate Demand and Supply:
Details on factors influencing shifts in aggregate demand and aggregate supply.