Population dynamics describes how population characteristics change over time and vary geographically.
A population's characteristics include:
Geographical range: Overall spatial boundaries within which a population lives.
Habitat: Specific environment characterized by biotic and abiotic features.
Size: The number of individuals in a population at a specified time.
Density: The number of individuals per unit area or volume of habitat.
Distribution: The spatial distribution of individuals within the geographical range.
Age structure: Statistical description of the relative numbers of individuals in each age class.
Population density provides information about the relationship to resources.
Generally, species with large body sizes have lower population densities than species with smaller body sizes.
Head Count: For large-bodied species, a simple head count gives accurate information.
Extrapolation: For tiny organisms at high densities (e.g., phytoplankton), population size can be extrapolated from water samples.
Mark-Release-Recapture: Used in other cases to estimate population size.
Dispersion is the spatial distribution of individuals within the geographical range.
Random Dispersion: Individuals are distributed unpredictably within a uniform habitat.
Clumped Dispersion: Individuals group together due to patchy habitats, social groups, or reproductive patterns.
Uniform Dispersion: Individuals repel each other and are evenly spaced because resources are limited.
Age structure is a statistical description of the relative numbers of individuals in each age class.
Individuals are categorized as prereproductive, reproductive, or postreproductive.
A population's age structure reflects its recent growth history and predicts future growth potential.
Populations with many prereproductive individuals will likely grow as these individuals mature and reproduce.
Generation time is the average time between an organism's birth and the birth of its offspring.
Species that reach sexual maturity at a small body size usually have short generation times, leading to rapid population growth.
Sex ratio is the relative proportions of males and females. The number of females has a greater impact on population growth than the number of males.
Demography is the statistical study of the processes that change a population's size and density through time.
Populations grow through births and immigration (movement into the population).
Populations shrink through deaths and emigration (movement out of the population).
A life table summarizes the demographic characteristics of a population.
For short-lived organisms, demographers mark a cohort of individuals of similar age and monitor them until death.
For longer-lived organisms, researchers sample the population for a shorter period (e.g., one to two years) and extrapolate the results.
Age-specific mortality is the proportion of individuals alive at the start of an age interval that died during that interval.
Age-specific survivorship is the proportion of individuals alive at the start of an age interval that survived until the start of the next interval.
The sum of age-specific mortality and age-specific survivorship always equals 1.
Life tables summarize the proportion of a cohort that survives to a particular age, indicating the probability that a newborn will still be alive at that age.
They also include data on age-specific fecundity, the average number of offspring produced by surviving females during each age interval.
A survivorship curve shows the rate of survival for individuals over a species' average lifespan.
Type I curves: High survivorship until late in life (typical of large animals producing few young).
Type II curves: Constant rate of mortality in all age classes (seen in small animals subject to predation).
Type III curves: High juvenile mortality, followed by a period of low mortality once offspring reach a critical size.
Life histories describe the lifetime patterns of growth, maturation, and reproduction of an organism.
Every organism is constrained by an energy budget – the total amount of energy it can accumulate to fuel its activities.
Excess energy is stored as starch, glycogen, or fat.
Organisms use energy for three general functions: growth, maintenance, and reproduction.
Examples:
Coho Salmon: Larvae feed and grow for a year before swimming to the ocean, then return to spawn and die.
Oak Trees: Grow throughout their lives, producing thousands of seeds annually for many years.
European Red Deer: Adult females produce one or two offspring annually until about 16 years old, then die.
Ecologists compare fecundity (number of offspring produced) with parental care.
Passive parental care includes energy invested in offspring before birth, such as yolk in an egg or nutrients via the placenta.
Active parental care involves care provided after birth, such as nursing.
Geometric Growth:
Bacteria reproduce by binary fission, doubling the population size each generation if no bacteria die.
Generation time can be as short as 20 minutes.
Exponential Growth:
Population size increases steadily by a constant ratio.
A graph exhibits a J shape, becoming steeper over time.
Population sizes are limited by factors such as resource shortages.
Carrying capacity is the maximum number of individuals that an environment can support indefinitely.
Carrying capacity is specific to each population and varies by habitat and time.
The logistic model predicts an S-shaped graph of population size over time.
Population grows slowly when small due to few reproducing individuals.
Population grows slowly when large because the per capita population growth rate is low.
Population grows quickly at intermediate sizes.
Population size, density, age structure, and ranges may change seasonally or annually.
Many factors affecting population dynamics are density-dependent, with their influence increasing or decreasing with population density.
The logistic model includes density-dependence, assuming per capita birth and death rates change with density.
Crowding (high population density) decreases individual growth rate, adult size, and survival.
Crowding negatively affects reproduction: females produce fewer, smaller offspring with lower survival rates.
In some species, crowding stimulates developmental and behavioral changes, such as locusts developing into a migratory form and leaving high-density areas.
Capsella bursa-pastoris (Shepherd's Purse): The number of seeds produced decreases dramatically with increasing density.
Parus major (Great Tits): The mean number of eggs produced declines as the number of breeding pairs increases.
Interspecific Competition: Competition between different species has density-dependent effects.
Predation: As prey becomes more numerous, predators consume more due to easier finding and catching.
Parasitism and Disease: Infectious microorganisms spread quickly in crowded populations, causing density-dependent regulation.
Density-independent factors (e.g., fires, earthquakes, storms) reduce population size regardless of density.
Density-independent factors have strong effects on small-bodied species that cannot buffer themselves against environmental change.
Example: Australian Thrips populations crash predictably during summer due to intolerance of hot, dry conditions.
Rapid warming since the mid-20th century significantly impacts population ecology.
Example: Increased mortality rates in 200- to 1,000-year-old coniferous trees in western North America, attributed to climate warming and longer summer droughts.
Density-dependent and density-independent factors can interact, limiting population growth.
Example: Food shortage (density-dependent) leading to malnourishment, increasing vulnerability to extreme weather (density-independent).
Populations can also be affected by density-independent factors in a density-dependent manner.
Example: In large populations, a smaller proportion may find suitable shelter from environmental stress, increasing the percentage experiencing stress.
r-selected species are adapted to rapidly changing environments.
Generally small, with short generation times, producing numerous, tiny offspring in a single reproductive event.
Offspring receive little or no parental care.
High r_{max} – populations grow exponentially when conditions are favorable.
Most offspring die before sexual maturity (Type III survivorship).
Survivorship and fecundity are greatly influenced by density-independent factors; population size fluctuates.
K-selected species thrive in more stable environments.
Generally large, with long generation times, producing offspring repeatedly during their lifetimes.
Offspring receive substantial parental care (Type I or Type II survivorship).
Low r_{max} – populations often grow slowly.
Produce a relatively small number of high-quality offspring that join a well-established population.
Use behavioral and physiological mechanisms to buffer against environmental change; survivorship and fecundity do not fluctuate greatly.
Characteristic | r-Selected Species | K-Selected Species |
---|---|---|
Maturation time | Short | Long |
Lifespan | Short | Long |
Mortality rate | Usually high | Usually low |
Reproductive episodes | Usually one | Usually several |
Time of first reproduction | Early | Late |
Clutch or brood size | Usually large | Usually small |
Size of offspring | Small | Large |
Active parental care | Little or none | Often extensive |
Population size | Fluctuating | Relatively stable |
Tolerance of environmental change | Generally poor | Generally good |
A metapopulation is a group of neighboring populations that exchange individuals.
Populations within a metapopulation differ in size, growth rates, habitat suitability, predator exposure, and other factors.
Individuals typically move from source populations to sink populations; sink populations persist because they receive immigrants from source populations.
Population densities of insects, birds, and mammals in the Northern Hemisphere fluctuate between species-specific lows and highs in multiyear cycles.
Factors influencing population growth include food availability and quality, predator abundance, prevalence of disease-causing microorganisms, and weather variations.
A cycling population’s food supply and predators are themselves influenced by the population’s size.
Mathematical models suggest that predator-prey cycles are induced by time lags in each population’s response to changes in the density of the other.
The 10-year cycles of snowshoe hares and Canada lynxes were a classic example, but hare populations fluctuate even where lynxes are absent.
The lynx cannot be solely responsible for the hare’s cycle, although cycles in hare populations may trigger cycles in populations of their predators.
For most of human history, population grew slowly, but it has grown exponentially over the past two centuries.
The worldwide human population surpassed 7 billion in 2011 and is projected to reach 9.7 billion by 2050.
More than a billion people are malnourished, lack clean drinking water, and lack adequate shelter or health care.
The annual growth rate for the human population averaged roughly 1.2% (r = 0.012) between 2001 and 2011.
Annual population growth rates vary widely among nations, ranging from less than 0% to 3.6% in 2009.
Age structure reflects differences in population growth rates:
Uniform age structure: zero population growth
Narrow-based age structure: negative growth
Broad-based age structure: rapid growth
The United States’ age structure falls between those for countries with zero growth and countries with rapid growth.
The average number of children per family has declined to two, the number necessary to replace their parents.
The U.S. population will continue to grow slowly due to continued immigration.
The demographic transition model shows the relationship between population growth and economic development:
Preindustrial stage: High birth and death rates, slow population growth.
Transitional stage: Rising food production, improved health care and sanitation, declining death rate.
Industrial stage: Decreasing birth rate, slowing growth.
Postindustrial stage: Zero population growth; eventually, birth rate falls below the death rate, r falls below zero, and population size begins to decrease.