Social explanations resemble physical explanations but have unique challenges.
Two types of problems:
Singular events: Explaining one-off events (e.g., a specific lunar eclipse).
Type of event: Explaining recurring events (e.g., seasonal unemployment).
Social sciences use models to create typical scenarios.
Natural sciences: Explain events like lunar eclipses with models (sun, earth, moon).
Models should show eclipses happening with a full moon.
Leads to deeper questions, like Newton's laws of motion.
Initial conditions are included in the model.
Universal laws (like Newton's) drive the model.
Social sciences: Use situational analysis to model social situations.
Helps in understanding social events.
Avoid using human psychology to drive social models.
Situational analysis uses aims and knowledge, not concrete experiences.
Assume agents act appropriately based on the situation and 'Rationality principle'.
Situation includes goals and knowledge.
'Rationality principle': acting appropriately to the situation.
The rationality principle suggests people act rationally.
It's used to integrate explanatory theory into the situation analysis.
The animating law becomes a zero principle.
Actors act within the confines of the model.
The rationality principle is not a testable theory.
Situational analyses are the actual testable theories.
Models can be assessed and debated.
Testing models isn't straightforward.
Models are simplified.
Simplification reduces testability.
Tests can identify the best models.
Historical research can test situational analysis.
The rationality principle is often seen as inherently valid but is actually false.
People don't always act appropriately.
There are vast differences in how people see situations.
A principle that isn't universally true is false.
An explanation using a false principle and a model is also false.
All models, whether physical or social, are simplifications.
The rationality principle is debated.
Methodological: Not empirically tested or false.
Empirical: Part of social theories and tested/rejected with the theory.
The rationality principle is part of every testable social theory.
When a theory fails, identify the problem area.
It's better to question the model, not the rationality principle, because models are more informative and testable.
The rationality principle is known to be false but is a useful approximation.
If a theory fails significantly, the model is likely the cause.
Replacing the rationality principle introduces uncertainty.
Theories are tested holistically, comparing different theories using the rationality principle.
Churchill: Wars are a competition in incompetence.
This model doesn't rely on the rationality principle.
Leaders may not fully understand the situation.
Actions can be seen as appropriate based on their limited view.
To understand actions, reconstruct a broader view of the situation.
Actions align with their understanding of the situation.
The rationality principle helps understand actions, even irrational ones.
Explain actions based on their aims and information.
Understand actions by considering a wider context.
Understanding involves seeing the logic in their (potentially mistaken) view.
Explain how they developed that view.
They rigidly stick to their view to maintain a sense of understanding.
Freud isn't about discovering irrationality, but uses situational models and the rationality principle.
Neurosis is a childhood response to a difficult situation.
Choosing a neurosis is rational, like avoiding a car only to be hit by a bike.
Freud's therapy is rationalistic: understanding the childhood situation resolves the neurosis.
Explaining everything with rationality isn't tautological.
Tautologies are obviously true, while the rationality principle is an approximation and is false.
Healthy beliefs are open to correction.
Fixed opinions resemble those of someone who is mad.
Committed individuals resist correcting even widely accepted mistakes.
Those who value commitment over reason are irrational.
This commitment arises from fear of losing their worldview.
Commitment and fanaticism are close to irrationality.
Rationality as a personal attitude: willingness to revise beliefs through discussion.
The rationality principle doesn't assume people are rational in this way.
It's a minimal principle assuming actions fit our view of the situation.
The rationality principle drives explanatory models.
It's known to be approximate but reduces uncertainty in models.
Without it, models would be erratic.