Fiscal Policy: The use of taxes, government transfers, and government spending to influence the economy, particularly aggregate demand (AD).
Management of Economic Fluctuations: Fiscal policy is crucial for managing economic fluctuations, with specific tools for addressing recessionary and inflationary gaps.
Expansionary vs. Contractionary Fiscal Policy:
Expansionary Fiscal Policy: Increases aggregate demand (AD).
Involves increasing government purchases, cutting taxes, and increasing government transfers.
Contractionary Fiscal Policy: Decreases aggregate demand (AD).
Involves reducing government purchases, increasing taxes, and reducing government transfers.
Government Transfers: Payments made by the government to households without receiving goods or services in return (e.g., Social Security, Medicare).
Social Insurance Programs: Designed to protect families from economic hardship.
GDP Formula: GDP = C (Consumption) + I (Investment) + G (Government spending) + X (Exports) - IM (Imports).
Government Role: Controls G directly and influences C and I through taxes and transfers.
Shifting AD Curve: Fiscal policy effectively shifts the AD curve by altering consumption and investment patterns.
Definition: The concept that increased government spending creates additional income and output in the economy.
Effects of New Spending: Each round of expenditure leads to further spending by consumers, which magnifies the initial impact on GDP.
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC): The portion of additional income that households spend on consumption.
Multiplier Calculation:
For government expenditure: Multiplier = 1/(1 - MPC)
Example: If MPC = 0.5, then multiplier = 2.
Definition: The difference between government revenues and expenditures.
Surplus: When revenue exceeds expenditures.
Deficit: When expenditures exceed revenue.
Influence of Fiscal Policy:
Expansionary policies tend to decrease budget balance;
Contractionary policies tend to increase budget balance.
Expansionary Fiscal Policy for Recession:
Increases AD, potentially leading to increased deficits.
Contractionary Fiscal Policy for Inflation:
Decreases AD, potentially leading to reduced deficits or increased surpluses.
Public Debt Issues: A high level of debt raises concerns about the government’s ability to manage fiscal stability and economic growth.
Implicit Liabilities: Future obligations (e.g., pensions, health benefits) that can impact fiscal policy.
Debt-to-GDP Ratios: Critical for assessing the sustainability of government debt levels across different countries.
Caution: Significant lags exist between recognizing the need for fiscal policy adjustments, planning, and implementing those changes.