Earth: A Fragile System Notes

Disaster

  • disaster:-disaster: substantial event causing physical damage, injury or loss of life, and/or a drastic change to the environment (environmental loss)
  • natural disasters are preventable with proper mitigation   * technological, political, and social advances make this easier   * increasing human population and climate change make this harder

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Humans and Disasters

  • globally, natural disasters are increasing in terms of   * death (fatalities)   * destruction (economic losses)

  • generally, there are high fatalities in developing countries and high costs in developed countries

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The Population Issue

  • many hazards are not increasing in frequency or severity (earthquakes, volcanoes, etc.)   * population growth has put more people and more structures in hazardous settings because they’re more vulnerable
  • there is evidence that weather/climate-related hazards are getting more severe and occurring more frequently

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Population Growth Related to Disaster Forecasting Decisions

  • present:   * with warning of disasters, people can be evacuated   * infrastructure destroyed by natural disasters

  • future:   * with greater population, infrastructure becomes even more sensitive/important   * people are less likely to be evacuated successfully   * death tolls are likely to increase

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Vulnerability

  • vulnerability:vulnerability: the severity of problems that a community (people, property, infrastructure, resources, environment) will suffer if exposed to a particular natural hazard

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Disaster Scales

  • disasterscale:disaster scale: a logarithmic scale that uses common, standardized terms and measurements   * key to communicating disaster information   * increases by powers of 10   * each order of magnitude = 1 power of 10

  • ”order of magnitude”= powers of 10   * 10^0=1   * 10^1=10   * 10^2=100     * “magnitude 3” means 10^3 or 1000x higher/stronger/bigger than magnitude 0

  • disasters happen at many magnitudes   * higher magnitude events occur less and lower magnitude events occur more

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