PSY 1001 Chapter 2: Research Methods Part 2 Notes
Theories in Psychology
- Theories organize existing knowledge and predict future observations.
- Theories supported by substantial evidence become accepted as fact.
- Psychological theories often employ abstract concepts or "constructs" to simplify explanations (e.g., memory, anxiety, extraversion).
- Operational definitions are used in research to measure constructs. For instance, "memory capacity" can be measured by the number of words recalled from a list.
- Some theories are so obvious they are no longer explicitly recognized as theories.
- Primacy and Recency Effect: People are more likely to recall items from the beginning and end of a list than from the middle.
- Psychological theories are often based on probability rather than certain outcomes, differing from physical theories.
- Degradation of Memories: The likelihood of recalling items from a list decreases as time passes.
Goals of Scientific Study of Behavior
- Description
- Prediction
- Identifying causes of behavior
- Explaining behavior
Ways to Achieve Goals
- Observational Research: Objectively observe and record behavior.
- Correlational Research: Measure two variables and determine if a relationship exists between them.
- Experimental Research: Control or manipulate one variable (independent variable) to determine if it causes changes in another variable (dependent variable).
Descriptive (Observational) Research
- Acknowledges that individuals are not identical and do not behave identically.
- Psychologists aim to describe average or typical behaviors.
- Survey Research: Involves asking people about their characteristics, beliefs, and behaviors in certain circumstances.
Samples vs. Populations
- Descriptive research often focuses on making statements that describe everyone (the population), rather than specific individuals or groups.
- Due to the impracticality of surveying everyone, a smaller group (sample) is chosen, with the assumption that the results for the sample apply to the entire population.
- Population: The large group of interest.
- Sample: The small group that is measured.
Generalizing to the Population
- If the sample is similar to the population, on average, measurements from the sample can be generalized to the entire population.
- Example: A survey question asks, "How would you rate the quality of your Intro Psych lectures (on a scale of 1-10)?" If the average rating is 9.5, the question is whether these results can be generalized to all students registered for the class.
Random Sample vs. Biased Sample
- A sample is biased if it is not representative of the population.
- Example: Surveying only people who choose to attend lectures may result in a biased sample because they may have more positive attitudes than those who do not attend.
- Random Sampling: All members of the population have an equal chance of being selected for the sample.
- Random sampling helps create an unbiased sample that is likely to be similar to the population.
Random Sampling
- A random sample is likely, but not guaranteed, to be similar to the population.
- Example: If a class is 50% first-year and 50% second-year students, a random sample of 20 students is likely to have a similar distribution, but could, by chance, be all first-year students.
- Statistical analyses can be used to estimate how similar the sample probably is to the population.
Naturalistic Observation
- Researchers observe people or animals in their normal environments without intervening.
- Example: Observing preschoolers on the playground to see how aggressively they behave.
- Researchers may conceal themselves or remain visible.
Naturalistic Observation Coding Scheme
- Researchers use coding schemes to categorize and quantify observed behaviors by:
- Operationally defining behaviors of interest.
- Counting the number of times those behaviors were observed.
- This produces descriptions of behavior in natural conditions.
- Example coding scheme:
- Aggressive behavior = behavior intended to harm another person or damage objects
- behavior that is helpful/cooperative (non-aggressive)
Case Study
- Detailed observation of a single individual, often used when individuals have rare or unusual conditions.
- Provides a description of the condition and its development.
- Limited usefulness due to the lack of comparative information.
- Can help provide direction for future research.
Predicting Behavior
- Correlational Research: Identifies relationships between variables.
- Allows prediction of one variable's value based on the value of another.
- Correlation: Measure two variables (measured variables), compute a correlation.
- Produces a correlation coefficient indicating the strength and form of the relationship.
Correlation Coefficient
- The Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient r quantifies the degree of linear relationship between two variables.
- -1 ≤ r ≤ 1
- If r = 1, it is a perfect positive linear relationship.
- If r = -1, it is a perfect negative linear relationship.
- If r = 0, there is no relationship between the variables.
Relationships Between Variables
Strong Linear Relationship: r = 0.96
Weak Linear Relationship: r = 0.68
Positive Relationship (Direct Relationship): r = 0.96
Negative Relationship (Inverse Relationship): r = -0.96
No Relationship: r = 0
Linear vs. Non-Linear Relationships
- Linear Relationship: r = 1
- Non-Linear Relationship: r = 0
Interpreting Relationship Strength
- The sign of r (+ or -) indicates a positive (direct) or negative (inverse) relationship.
- r^2 (r-squared) indicates the strength of the relationship, with 0 ≤ r^2 ≤ 1.
Interpreting Relationship Strength Examples
- r = 1.00, r^2 = 1.00
- r = -1.00, r^2 = 1.00
- r = 0.80, r^2 = 0.64
- r = -0.80, r^2 = 0.64
- r = 0.50, r^2 = 0.25
- r = 0.30, r^2 = 0.09
- r = 0.00, r^2 = 0.00
Effect of Outliers on Correlations
- Outliers can significantly influence the correlation coefficient.
- Example: Without an outlier, r = 0.00. With an outlier, r = 0.59.
Correlation is Not Causation
- If two variables (A and B) are correlated:
- Changes in A may cause changes in B.
- Changes in B may cause changes in A.
- Changes in some "third variable" (C) may cause changes in A and B.
- A and B may be related by coincidence.
Examples of Correlation vs. Causation
- A study found that people who watched less than an hour of television a day scored higher on a memory test than those who watched more television.
- Does watching less TV cause your memory to improve? What other interpretations are possible?
- The same study found that people who read more fiction scored higher on the memory test than those who read less.
- Does reading more fiction cause your memory to improve? What other interpretations are possible?
- The number of churches in a city is positively correlated with the number of cars in a city. (Cities with more churches have more cars.)
- Do more churches cause more cars? Do more cars cause more churches? What other factor might cause a city to have more churches and more cars?
Spurious Correlation
- When two variables are correlated, but just by coincidence.