TOPIC 3: Comparing Countries: Development Measures and Classifications
Comparing Countries: Development Measures and Challenges
Overview of Today's Goals
- Challenges of creating comparable development measures to facilitate comparing countries.
- Focus on three goals for each measure: Current Conditions (
Accurate
, Representative
), Intertemporal Comparison (Same things measured at different points in time
), and Cross-Country Comparison (Same things measured in different countries
).
- Two examples of development measures:
- Macro measures: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Gross National Income (GNI).
- Human Capital: Child Mortality.
- Two applications of these measures:
- Human Development Index (HDI).
- Country classification systems.
Measuring Development: Goals and Requirements
- Operationalizing Development Characteristics: The abstract characteristics of development (discussed in previous classes) need to be measurable.
- Reasons for Measurement:
- To describe current conditions within a country.
- To describe changes within a country over time.
- To enable comparisons across countries.
- Requirements for Measurements (Three Goals):
- Current Conditions:
- Accuracy: The measure must reflect the truth.
- Representativeness: The measure must capture the relevant aspects.
- Intertemporal Comparison: Requires ensuring that the same things are being measured consistently at different points in time.
- Cross-Country Comparison: Requires ensuring that the same things are being measured consistently in different countries.
- Nature of the Goals:
- Each goal has specific requirements.
- They are nested requirements: Accurately describing current conditions is a prerequisite for intertemporal comparability, which in turn is a prerequisite for cross-country comparability.
- Consequently, each successive goal places greater demands on the data and measurement methodology.
- Example Comparison (illustrative data):
- United States: GDP per Capita 52,800, Democratic government, Maternal Mortality 21 / 100,000, Infant Mortality 6.17 / 100,000, Life Expectancy 79.56 years, Literacy Rate 99%.
- Colombia: GDP per Capita 11,100 (est. 2013), Democratic government, Maternal Mortality 92 / 100,000, Infant Mortality 15.02 / 100,000, Life Expectancy 75.25 years, Literacy Rate 93.6%.
- Cuba: GDP per Capita 10,200 (est. 2010), Communist Dictatorship, Maternal Mortality 73 / 100,000, Infant Mortality 4.7 / 100,000, Life Expectancy 78.22 years, Literacy Rate 99.8%.
Macro Measures: GDP and GNI
- Measuring Total Value Added: These are common starting points for assessing a country's fiscal health.
- Total Income Measures:
- GNI (Gross National Income) versus GDP (Gross Domestic Product): Refers to differences in including income from abroad and excluding income sent abroad.
- Why 'G' (Gross) and not 'N' (Net)? E.g., GDP versus NDP (Net Domestic Product). 'Gross' includes depreciation, while 'Net' accounts for the consumption of fixed capital.
- Why 'N' (National) and not 'D' (Domestic)? E.g., GDP versus GNP (Gross National Product) or GNI versus GDI (Gross Domestic Income). 'National' refers to income earned by a country's residents, regardless of where it's produced, while 'Domestic' refers to income produced within a country's borders, regardless of who earns it.
- Challenges by Goal for GDP/GNI:
- Current Conditions:
- Household production: Services produced within households (e.g., cooking, cleaning) are not exchanged in markets and thus not included.
- Black markets/Informal economy: Economic activities not officially recorded or taxed are excluded.
- Intangibles: What about non-market values like environmental quality, leisure, or social well-being? These are not easily quantifiable in monetary terms and are typically excluded.
- Inter-temporal Comparisons: Can GDP/GNI estimates from year to year be reasonably compared given changes in methodologies, products, and economic structures?
- Cross-Country Comparisons: Can GDP/GNI estimates from one country to another be reasonably compared, especially considering differences in price levels and purchasing power?
- Big Mac Index as an Illustration of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP):
- Purpose: Illustrates challenges of measuring purchasing power across countries.
- Method: Measures relative purchasing power by identifying a basket of widely available goods (the Big Mac) and calculating its currency-adjusted cost.
- Variations that complicate comparison:
- Ingredients and Composition: The precise ingredients and size of a Big Mac can vary internationally.
- Importance of the Good: The Big Mac's relevance or consumption patterns may differ across populations.
- Overall Experience: The dining experience (service, restaurant quality) can vary.
- Good-Specific Regulations: E.g., health codes for restaurants impact production costs and consumer experience.
- Measuring Inflation:
- The same basket-of-goods method is used for inflation measurement.
- Challenges are diminished but not eliminated.
- Example: Computers in the US (late '90s): Processing speeds increased dramatically, but the price of a