Video Lecture Notes: Blocking Variables and Sampling Methods
Excluding Participants to Eliminate Effects
- The speaker begins with the idea of eliminating a certain effect by excluding some participants or groups.
- Key quoted idea: "To eliminate this effect. Right? And if you do this one after another, what you're doing essentially you can't do that. You have to exclude these people. You have to exclude these people."
- Implication: Excluding certain people is presented as a method to remove a specific effect, rather than using random sampling.
- Another explicit line: "So there’s no random sampling" – highlighting the absence of randomization in the described approach.
Blocking Variables vs Stratified Sampling: Core Idea
- The speaker states that blocking variables work on the same principle as stratifying a sample.
- Clarification from the transcript (as a prompt): "When you do blocking variable, it’s the same idea because when you do stratify sample, what you’re doing is what?" implies that both methods partition the population to handle variation.
- Purpose stated in the transcript: you want to see how things are different when you apply blocking/stratification.
Why Use a Blocking Variable? The Rationale
- Direct answer from the speaker: you are doing blocking because you expect to see something different.
- This reflects a broader idea in experimental design: blocking aims to reveal or control for differences between groups so that the effect of interest can be more clearly observed.
Key Concepts and Interpretations
- Blocking variable: a factor used to partition the population into groups (blocks) that are similar with respect to some nuisance variation.
- Stratified sampling (stratification): dividing the population into strata (subgroups) and sampling within each stratum; the transcript frames stratification as the same idea as blocking.
- Central aim: to compare differences across blocks/strata and to understand how outcomes vary between these groups.
- Important caveat from the transcript: the approach described involves excluding certain participants, which has implications for random sampling and generalizability.
Practical Implications and Considerations
- No random sampling: the described method does not rely on random selection, which can affect external validity and generalizability of conclusions.
- Exclusion vs representativeness: excluding specific groups to eliminate an effect may reduce the representativeness of the sample and could introduce bias if not handled carefully.
- When you expect differences across groups, blocking/stratification can help you detect and quantify those differences more precisely.
- Caution: the transcript implies a preference for exclusion to eliminate an effect, which raises ethical and practical questions about fairness and applicability of results to the broader population.
Connections to Foundations and Real-World Relevance
- Relationship to experimental design: blocking/stratification are classic techniques to control for confounding variation and to enhance the ability to detect the effect of interest.
- Real-world relevance: in medical trials, educational assessments, or social science research, blocks might be defined by known sources of variation (e.g., site, teacher, hospital, region) to improve precision.
- Ethical/practical implications: decisions to exclude participants or to rely on non-random designs can impact equity, interpretation, and policy relevance of findings.
Quick Reference: Phrases to Remember from the Transcript
- "To eliminate this effect."
- "If you do this one after another, what you're doing essentially you can't do that."
- "You have to exclude these people. You have to exclude these people."
- "There’s no random sampling."
- "When you do blocking variable, it’s the same idea because when you do stratify sample, what you’re doing is what?"
- "You want to see how things are different."
- "When you’re doing blocking variable, why are you doing blocking variable? Because you expect to see something different."
Example Scenarios (Conceptual)
- Blocking by site or region in a clinical trial to account for site-specific effects, aiming to compare treatment effects within similar sites.
- Stratifying a survey by demographic groups (e.g., age bands) to ensure representation and to analyze differences across age groups.
- Stratified estimator (standard form):
\hat{Y}{st} = \sum{h=1}^H Wh \hat{Y}h, \quad Wh = \frac{Nh}{N}
where $Nh$ is the population size in stratum $h$, $N = \sum{h=1}^H Nh$, and $\hat{Y}h$ is the estimator within stratum $h$. - Alternative pooled estimator across strata (if weights are based on sample sizes):
\hat{Y} = \sum{h=1}^H \left( \frac{nh}{n} \cdot \bar{y}h \right)
where $nh$ is the sample size in stratum $h$ and $\bar{y}_h$ is the sample mean in stratum $h$.
Notes
- The transcript emphasizes qualitative ideas (eliminating an effect, blocking/stratification to see differences) rather than explicit statistical procedures or formulas.
- The lack of random sampling is highlighted, which has important implications for inference and generalizability.