Human Populations and Urban Systems (IB)
Demographics: study of dynamics of population change
Crude Birth Rate: The number of live births per 1,000 people per year.
Crude Death Rate: The number of deaths per 1,000 people per year.
Natural Increase Rate: The rate of population growth, calculated as ((CBR-CDR)/10)
Doubling Time: The number of years it takes for a population to double in size, calculated using the rule of 70 (70 / NIR).
Total Fertility Rate: The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime.
The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime.
Examples: Europe, North America, South Africa, Israel, Japan
Characteristics:
High GDP per capita
Higher standards of living
Access to better healthcare and education
Low population growth rates due to low CBR and CDR
High ecological footprints
Examples: Sub-Saharan Africa, many parts of Asia, South America
Characteristics:
Lower GDP per capita
Higher levels of poverty
Higher population growth rates due to higher CBR and declining CDR
Lower ecological footprints
Flexibility:
Importing food and resources
Reducing family size through family planning
Adaptation and mitigation strategies such as education, healthcare improvement, and income enhancement
Changes in dietary choices
High infant mortality rate
Security in old age
Economic assets: agriculture
Status of women
Contraceptives
High Stationary: High birth and death rates due to limited birth control, high infant mortality, and little medical advancement.
Early Expanding: Death rates drop due to improved healthcare and sanitation, birth rates remain high, leading to rapid population growth.
Late Expanding: Birth rates start to decline due to increased use of contraceptives, better education, and women's empowerment.
Low Stationary: Both birth and death rates are low, stabilizing the population.
Declining: Birth rates fall below death rates, leading to an aging population and potential population decline.
Initial model didn’t have 5th stage - only recently countries have become part of this(Germany, Sweden)
Fall in death rate hasn’t been as steep
Death from AIDS-related diseases can affect this
Assumptions about contraceptive availability and societal changes that may not hold true everywhere.
Assumes increasing education and literacy for women (not always the case)
Food supply was a limit to population growth.
Population can never increase beyond food supplies necessary to support it.
Too simplistic.
Ignore reality (only the poor go hungry).
Did not account for technological advancements or distribution inequalities.
Technological advancements can increase food production.
Population growth leads to development
Assumes closed communities, not accounting for migration and external factors.
Migration happens in overpopulated areas
Overpopulation can lead to bad farming
Renewable Natural Capital: Resources that can regenerate or be replaced (e.g., forests, solar energy).
Non-Renewable Natural Capital: Resources that are finite and cannot be replaced on a human timescale (e.g., fossil fuels, minerals).
Natural Capital: Resources that provide economic, ecological, and intrinsic value to humans.
Capital includes:
Natural sources with value (trees, water)
Natural sources that provides services (flood protection)
Processes (water cycle)
Living species and ecosystems using solar energy and photosynthesis.
Groundwater, if managed sustainably.
The ozone layer.
Fossil fuels, minerals
Finite amounts: not renewed/replaced after they’ve been used/depleted
Alternatives need to be found
Mineral riches surrounding Arctic Ocean (hydrocarbons)
Climate change causing it to warm up (more ice-free days)
Canada, Denmark, Iceland, Norway, Russia, US have Arctic Ocean coastlines
They are jostling for ownership of the region's frozen seas.
98% covered in ice and snow
Humans exploit it through tourism, fishing and whaling
Nobody owns it but seven have staked territorial claims via “The Antarctic Treaty”
Cork forests
Previously used to seal wine bottles
Being replaced by screw top bottles and plastic corks
Forests losing value due to not being used as natural capital to humans
Not a good thing because they are not biodegradable
Lithium
More than half of lithium reserves are under a desert salt plain in Bolivia
Lithium production not enough to power electric cars if they were to replace cars with petrol engines
Use Valuation - use natural capital we can put prices on
Economic price of marketable goods
Recreational functions (tourism)
Non-use Valuation - natural capital that it is impossible to put a price on
If it has intrinsic value (right to exist)
If it has future uses we aren’t aware of (Science, Medicine)
If it has existential value (Amazon rainforest)
Trash, garbage, rubbish
Something is waste when there is no value for the producer
Linear model of producing: take, make, dump
The circular economy aims to:
Be restorative of the environment
Use renewable energy source
Eliminate or reduce toxic wastes
Eradicate waste through careful design
Reduce
Change shopping habits, buy things that will last
Buy energy efficient, recyclable goods
Reuse
Compost food waste
Use old clothes as cleaning rags
Read E Books
Recycle
Landfills
Cheap initial cost
Away from highly populated area
Lined with special plastic liners to prevent liquid waste from leaving the area+
Methane used to generate electricity
Issues with leaking gases
Contaminate groundwater & crops
Cause health problems
Incinerators
Burning waste causes air pollution (release harmful gases)
Expensive
Need a lot of waste to use this (does not discourage waste reduction)
Generates steam and powers heat powered buildings nearby
Ash can be used in road building
Space taken up is smaller than landfills
Anaerobic digestion: biodegradable matter broken down by microorganisms in theabsence of oxygen
Renewable
Methane used as fuel and waste used as fertilizer
HIgh set up cost
Feasible for large farms mainly
Domestic Organic Waste: can be composted or put into anaerobic bio-digesters
Eco-friendly and methane produced can be used as fuel, improve soil health
Takes up space, only organic matter can be used, health and safety concerns (smell)
Carrying Capacity:
The maximum population size an environment can sustainably support.
Measurement challenges due to variable resource use, technology, and importation of resources.
Greater range of resources used
Substitution of resources if others run out
Resource use varies person to person
Import resources from outside our immediate environment
Developments in technology
Importing resources —> increases carrying capacity for local population (no influence on globalcarrying capacity)
Ecocentric
Try to reduce their use of non-renewable resources
Use solar cells for electricity and rain water for water supply
Technocentric
HCC can be expanded through technological innovation
Reuse, recycle and remanufacturing
Ecological footprint: area of land and water required to support a defined human population ata given standard of living
The model estimates demands that human population place on the environment
Vary country to country (due to lifestyle choices)
2012: EF of all people was equivalent to 1.5 Earths
Factors
Area of land needed to absorb wastes (water, sewage, CO2)
Population size
Cropland to grow food
World carrying capacity does not change but local does.
Demographics: study of dynamics of population change
Crude Birth Rate: The number of live births per 1,000 people per year.
Crude Death Rate: The number of deaths per 1,000 people per year.
Natural Increase Rate: The rate of population growth, calculated as ((CBR-CDR)/10)
Doubling Time: The number of years it takes for a population to double in size, calculated using the rule of 70 (70 / NIR).
Total Fertility Rate: The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime.
The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime.
Examples: Europe, North America, South Africa, Israel, Japan
Characteristics:
High GDP per capita
Higher standards of living
Access to better healthcare and education
Low population growth rates due to low CBR and CDR
High ecological footprints
Examples: Sub-Saharan Africa, many parts of Asia, South America
Characteristics:
Lower GDP per capita
Higher levels of poverty
Higher population growth rates due to higher CBR and declining CDR
Lower ecological footprints
Flexibility:
Importing food and resources
Reducing family size through family planning
Adaptation and mitigation strategies such as education, healthcare improvement, and income enhancement
Changes in dietary choices
High infant mortality rate
Security in old age
Economic assets: agriculture
Status of women
Contraceptives
High Stationary: High birth and death rates due to limited birth control, high infant mortality, and little medical advancement.
Early Expanding: Death rates drop due to improved healthcare and sanitation, birth rates remain high, leading to rapid population growth.
Late Expanding: Birth rates start to decline due to increased use of contraceptives, better education, and women's empowerment.
Low Stationary: Both birth and death rates are low, stabilizing the population.
Declining: Birth rates fall below death rates, leading to an aging population and potential population decline.
Initial model didn’t have 5th stage - only recently countries have become part of this(Germany, Sweden)
Fall in death rate hasn’t been as steep
Death from AIDS-related diseases can affect this
Assumptions about contraceptive availability and societal changes that may not hold true everywhere.
Assumes increasing education and literacy for women (not always the case)
Food supply was a limit to population growth.
Population can never increase beyond food supplies necessary to support it.
Too simplistic.
Ignore reality (only the poor go hungry).
Did not account for technological advancements or distribution inequalities.
Technological advancements can increase food production.
Population growth leads to development
Assumes closed communities, not accounting for migration and external factors.
Migration happens in overpopulated areas
Overpopulation can lead to bad farming
Renewable Natural Capital: Resources that can regenerate or be replaced (e.g., forests, solar energy).
Non-Renewable Natural Capital: Resources that are finite and cannot be replaced on a human timescale (e.g., fossil fuels, minerals).
Natural Capital: Resources that provide economic, ecological, and intrinsic value to humans.
Capital includes:
Natural sources with value (trees, water)
Natural sources that provides services (flood protection)
Processes (water cycle)
Living species and ecosystems using solar energy and photosynthesis.
Groundwater, if managed sustainably.
The ozone layer.
Fossil fuels, minerals
Finite amounts: not renewed/replaced after they’ve been used/depleted
Alternatives need to be found
Mineral riches surrounding Arctic Ocean (hydrocarbons)
Climate change causing it to warm up (more ice-free days)
Canada, Denmark, Iceland, Norway, Russia, US have Arctic Ocean coastlines
They are jostling for ownership of the region's frozen seas.
98% covered in ice and snow
Humans exploit it through tourism, fishing and whaling
Nobody owns it but seven have staked territorial claims via “The Antarctic Treaty”
Cork forests
Previously used to seal wine bottles
Being replaced by screw top bottles and plastic corks
Forests losing value due to not being used as natural capital to humans
Not a good thing because they are not biodegradable
Lithium
More than half of lithium reserves are under a desert salt plain in Bolivia
Lithium production not enough to power electric cars if they were to replace cars with petrol engines
Use Valuation - use natural capital we can put prices on
Economic price of marketable goods
Recreational functions (tourism)
Non-use Valuation - natural capital that it is impossible to put a price on
If it has intrinsic value (right to exist)
If it has future uses we aren’t aware of (Science, Medicine)
If it has existential value (Amazon rainforest)
Trash, garbage, rubbish
Something is waste when there is no value for the producer
Linear model of producing: take, make, dump
The circular economy aims to:
Be restorative of the environment
Use renewable energy source
Eliminate or reduce toxic wastes
Eradicate waste through careful design
Reduce
Change shopping habits, buy things that will last
Buy energy efficient, recyclable goods
Reuse
Compost food waste
Use old clothes as cleaning rags
Read E Books
Recycle
Landfills
Cheap initial cost
Away from highly populated area
Lined with special plastic liners to prevent liquid waste from leaving the area+
Methane used to generate electricity
Issues with leaking gases
Contaminate groundwater & crops
Cause health problems
Incinerators
Burning waste causes air pollution (release harmful gases)
Expensive
Need a lot of waste to use this (does not discourage waste reduction)
Generates steam and powers heat powered buildings nearby
Ash can be used in road building
Space taken up is smaller than landfills
Anaerobic digestion: biodegradable matter broken down by microorganisms in theabsence of oxygen
Renewable
Methane used as fuel and waste used as fertilizer
HIgh set up cost
Feasible for large farms mainly
Domestic Organic Waste: can be composted or put into anaerobic bio-digesters
Eco-friendly and methane produced can be used as fuel, improve soil health
Takes up space, only organic matter can be used, health and safety concerns (smell)
Carrying Capacity:
The maximum population size an environment can sustainably support.
Measurement challenges due to variable resource use, technology, and importation of resources.
Greater range of resources used
Substitution of resources if others run out
Resource use varies person to person
Import resources from outside our immediate environment
Developments in technology
Importing resources —> increases carrying capacity for local population (no influence on globalcarrying capacity)
Ecocentric
Try to reduce their use of non-renewable resources
Use solar cells for electricity and rain water for water supply
Technocentric
HCC can be expanded through technological innovation
Reuse, recycle and remanufacturing
Ecological footprint: area of land and water required to support a defined human population ata given standard of living
The model estimates demands that human population place on the environment
Vary country to country (due to lifestyle choices)
2012: EF of all people was equivalent to 1.5 Earths
Factors
Area of land needed to absorb wastes (water, sewage, CO2)
Population size
Cropland to grow food
World carrying capacity does not change but local does.