3/3: 4.3 -definition, measurement and functions of money
Why money?
What would happen if we didn't have money?
The Barter System: goods and services are traded directly. No money exchanged
Problems:
- Double Coincidence of Wants: each trader had to have something the other wanted
-ex. 1 goar us with 5 chickens, how do you exchange if you want 1 chicken.
-ex. A doctor accept certain goods so you need to find a doctor
What is money
Money is anything that is generally accepted in payment for goods and services
- money is NOT the same as wealth/income
Wealth: Total collection of assets
-Incole: flow of earnings per unit of time
Commodity Money: something that performs the function of money and has intrinsic value (ex. Wedding ring, gold)
Fiat Money: something that serves as money but has no other value or uses (ex. Paper money, coins, digital currency)
Functions of Money
A medium of exchange: money can easily be used to buy good and services with no complications of barter system
A Unit of Account: Money measures the value of all goods and services. Money acts as a measurement of value
Ex. 1 goat = $50 = $5 chickens or 1 chicken =$10
A store of Value: money allows you to store purchasing power for the future
Money supply- what makes money, money
Money is essentially an I.O.U. from the government “for all debts, public and private.”
Generally Accepted: buyers and sellers have confidence that it IS legal tender.
Scarce: Money must not be easily reproduced.
The Purchasing Power of money is the amount of goods and services an unit of money can buy.
-Inflation (+/-) purchasing power.
-Rapid Inflation (+/-) acceptability.
Classifying Money
Liquidity: ease with which an asset can be accessed and used as a medium of exchange
M1 (Highest Liquidity)
Currency in circulation
Checkable bank deposits (checking accounts)
Travelers checks
M2 (Near-Moneys) - M1 plus the following
Saving deposits (money market accounts)
Time deposits (CDs = certificates of deposit) saving accounts that give you interests.
Money market funds
M1 and M2 money often earn little to no interest so the opportunity cost of holding liquid money is the interest you could be earning.
6. Monetary base
Total amount of money that is in circulation and in the bank reserves
This includes money in your wallet right now and money that banks must keep in its reserves
Referred to as MO or MB
Money Supply: Total amount of money that is in circulation and in your personal checking account
3 / 4 : 4.2 - Real and Nominal Interest Rates
1.The Fiscal Sector
Individuals, Businesses, and Govs borrow and save so they need institutions to help
Financial Sector: Network of institutions that link borrowers and lenders including banks, mutuals funds, and other financial intermediaries
Assets: Anything tangible or intangible that is owned
Liability: Anything that is word
Loan: An agreement between a lender and borrow. Usually at a fee called the interest rate
A loan is an asset for the lender and a liability for the borrower
2. Interest Rates and Inflation
Interest Rates
“Cost” of money
If the nominal interest rate is 10% and the inflation rate is 15%, how much is the REAL interest rate?
Real Interest Rates
% increase in purchasing power that a borrower pays (adjusted for inflation)
Real = nominal interest rate - expected inflation
Nominal Interest Rates
% increase in money that the borrower pays not adjusting for inflation
Nominal = Real interest rate + expected inflation
3. Causes of Inflation
Demand-Pull Inflation
Demand pulls up prices!
“Too many dollars chasing few too goods”
An overheat economy with excessive spending but same amount of goods
Cost Push Inflation
High production cost increases prices
A negative supply shock increase the costs of production and forces producers to increase prices
4. Nominal v Real interest Rates
Getting paid back an amount with less purchasing power
5. How do changes in the interest rates affect bond price?
When you buy bonds, you can wait for them to mature or sell them early
Ex. bond at 5% IR will mature in 10yrs
If bond had a 10% IR, buyers would be less interested in bond so the price decreases.
Interest rates and bond prices are inversely related!
4.1 - Fiscal Assets
1. Liquidity
Cash: Actual cash on hand, it can be spent right away
Demand deposit: Zelle transfer
2. Other Financial Assets
Stocks and Bonds: Also Liquid-- you can transfer money to purchase stocks and bonds, can sell them to get your money back + interest. Bonds have an interest rate
3. Bond v Stocks
Bonds: loans, or IOUs, represent debt that gov, business, or individuals need to repay to lender
The bond holder has NO OWNERSHIP of company
To get money back, you could sell half of your company and issue shares of stocks
Stocks: Represent ownership of corporations and the stockholder is often entitled to a portion of the profits.
4. Bonds Prices and Interest Rates
A bond is Issued at a specific interest rate that doesn't change throughout the life of the bond
Bond price and interest rates are inversely related
5. Opportunity Cost of Cash
Putting Money under your mattress does not help you because it can't gain interest and can lose value, it loses value due to inflation and rising costs.
You can determine the future value of any amount ($X) if you now the interest rate (ir) and the number of years (N)
Equation: $X in N Years = $X (1 + ir)^N
Present Value: current worth of some future amount of money
Equation
Present Value of $X in 1 year = FV X 1 .
(1 + IR)n
3 / 5 : 4.4 - Banking and the expansion of the money supply
1. How can banks loan out money?
By using your money
The money you deposit gets loaned out to other borrowers
Does all the money get loaned out?
2. Bank Regulations
Deposit Insurance: A guarantee that depositors will be paid even if the bank can't come up with the funds back by FDIC. ($250,00)
Capital Requirements: Bank owners are required to hold more assets than the value of bank deposits.
Reserve Requirements: Required reverse ratio - 10%
Discount Window: Banks cannot be forced to sell off assets if there is a bank run, but can rather borrow money from the FDIC.
3. Fractional Reserve Banking
Banks can't loan out all your money
Banks hold only a small portion of your deposit to cover potential withdrawals and then loan out the rest of your money
Essentially, this is how banks can offer interest and to hold your money --> basically a contract you make with the bank
4. Bank Balance Sheets
Demand Deposit: money deposited in a commercial bank in a checking account
Required Reserves: The % that banks must hold by law (10%)
Excess Reserves: amount that the banks can load out (90%)
Balance Sheet: A record of bank assets, liabilities, and net worth.
Demand deposits in a bank is a liability for the bank and an asset to the depositor.
5. Money Multiplier
Equation:
1
Money Multiplier = -----------------------------
Reserve Requirement (Ratio)
3/6 : 4.5 - The Money Market
1. Demand For Money
Any time, people demand a certain amount of liquid assets (money) for two different reasons:
Transaction Demand for Money: people hold money for everyday transactions
Assets Demand for Money: People hold money since it is less risky than other assets
What is the opportunity cost of keeping money in your pocket or checking account?
The interest you could be earning from other financial assets like stocks, bonds, and real estate
What happens to the quantity demanded of money when interest rates increase?
Quantity demanded falls because individuals would prefer to have interest earning assets instead
What happens to the quantity demanded when interest rates decrease?
Quantity demanded increases. There is no incentive to convert cash into interest earning assets
There is an inverse relationship between the interest rates and the quantity of money demanded.
Inverse relationship between interest rates and the quantity of money demanded
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Money Demand Shifters:
Changes in price levels
Changes in income
Changes in technology
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2. The Supply For Money
The US Money Supply is set by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)
Monetary Policy: The FED is a nonpartisan government office that sets and adjust the money supply to adjust the economy
Federal Reserve: Created in 1913, its job is to regulate banks and make sure people have faith in our financial system.
When is Equilibrium Achieved?
- When the nominal interest rate is such that the quantity demanded and supplied of money are equal
Shifters of the Money Supply: Interest on Reserves
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3. Increasing The Money Supply
If the FED increases the money supply, a temporary surplus of money will occur at 5% interest. The surplus will cause the interest rate to fall to 2%
(+) money supply ➡ (-) interest rate ➡ (+) investment ➡ (+) AD
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If the FED decreases the money supply, a temporary shortage of money will occur at 5% interest. The shortage will cause interest rate to rise to 10%
(-) money supply ➡ (+) interest rate ➡ (-) investment ➡ (-) AD
Fed is the only thing that controls the money supply
3/7 : 4.6 - Monetary Policy
1. Money Supply
The FED decreases the money supply to slow down the economy
Interest Rates increase
Investment Decreases
AD, GDP, and PL Decrease
Slow down the economy to fight inflation
How the FED stabilize the economy
2. 4 Shifters of the Money Supply
The FED adjusting the money supply by changing any one of the following:
Setting Reserve Requirements
Lending Money to banks and thrifts (Discount Rate)
Open Market Operations (Buying and selling Bonds)
Interest on Reserves
3. The Reserve Requirement (least used tool)
Fractional Reserve Banking: where only a small amount of your money is actually held and the rest is loaned out
The Fed sets the amount that banks must hold - 10%
The reserve requirement (reserve ratio) is the percent of deposits that banks must hold in reserve (% they can NOT loan out)
When the FED increases the money supply it increases the amount of money held in bank deposits
Banks keep some of the money in reserve and loans out their excess reserves
The loan eventually becomes deposits for another bank that will loan out their excess reserves
4. Using the reserve requirement
Recession = Decrease the reserve requirement
Banks hold less money and have more excess reserves
Banks create more money by loaning out excess
5. The Discount Rate
Discount Rate: the interest rate that the FED charges commercial banks
Ex.
Easy Money Policy: To increase the money supply, the FED should decrease the discount rate
Tight Money Policy: To decrease the money supply, the FED should increase the discount rate
6. Open Market Operations (most used tool)
Open Market Operations: the FED buys or sells gov bonds (securities)
Most important and widely used monetary tool
To increase the Money supply, the fed should buy gov securities
To decrease the money supply, the fed should sell gov securities
Buy- Big: buying bonds increase money supply
Sell- Small: selling bonds decrease money supply
7. Federal Funds Rate
The federal funds rate is the interest rate that banks charge one another for one-day loans of reserves
The FED cant simply tell banks what interest rate to use. Banks decide on their own
Fed influences them by setting a target rate and using open market operations to hit target
Federal funds rate fluctuates due to market conditions but it is heavily influenced by monetary policy (buying or selling of bonds)
8. Modern changes to banking
Interest on Reserves (IOR): The Interest rates that the federal reserves pay commercial banks to hold reserves
IOR and the discount rate are examples of administered rates
Administered Rates: Interest rate set by the FED rather than determined in a market
Reserved at the FED have no risk. Therefore, banks have no incentive to lend money at an interest rate that is lower than what they can get from the FED.
Stop banks from lending out all their money!
9. Limited Reserves v Ample Reserves
The tools used by central banks depend on if the banking systems has limited reserves or ample reserves
Limited Reserves:
Banks deposit few reserves with the central bank
Small changes in the money supply can affect interest rates
The central bank conducts monetary policy by changing the reserve requirement or the discount rate or by using open market operations
Ample Reserves:
Banks deposit a lot of reserves with the central bank
Changing the money supply has little or no effect on interest rates
The central bank conducts monetary policy by changing its administered rates (IOR or discount rate)
Overall Concept: The 3 tools of monetary policy are used when there are limited reserves. When there are ample reserves, the primary tool is interest on reserves. (IOR)
Limited Reserves
Reserve Ratios
Discount Rate
Open Market Operations
Ample Reserves
Interest on Reserves
4.7
1. Loanable Funds Market
Loanable funds market: is the private sector supple and demand of loans
This market shows the effect on REAL INTEREST RATE
Demand: Inverse relationship between real interest rate and quantity loans demanded
Supply: Direct relationship between real interest rate and quantity loans supplied
This is NOT the same as the money market (supply is not vertical)
2. Loanable Funds Market Graph
At the equilibrium real interest rate the amount borrowers want to borrow equals the amount lenders want to lend
Gov increase deficit spending
Gov borrows from private sector increasing the demand for loans
Real interest rates increase causing crowding out
3. Loanable Funds Market Shifters
Demand Shifters
Changes in perceived business opportunities
Changes in government borrowing
Budget deficit
Budget surplus
Supply Shifters
Changes in private saving behavior
Changes in public savings
Changes in foreign investment
Changes in expected profitability
4. Quantity Theory of Money
If the real GDP in a year is $400 billion but the amount of money in the economy is only $100 billion, how are we paying for things?
The velocity of money is the average times a dollar is spent and re-spent in a year
How much is the velocity of money in the above example?
Quantity Theory of Money Equation
- M x V = P x Y
- M- Money Supply P = price level V = Velocity Y+ Quantity of output
Notice that P x Y is Nominal GDP
Why does printing money lead to Inflation?
Assume the velocity is relatively constant because people's spending habits are not quick to change
Assume that output (Y) is not affected by the amount of money because it is based on production, not the value of the stuff produced
If the gov increases the amount of money (M) what will happen to prices (P)?
If the velocity and output stay the same, what will happen if the amount of money is increased to $10?
Doubling the money supply doubles prices. This is how increasing the money supply creates inflation