Volcanoes VI: Monitoring, Prediction and Preparedness

Warning and Duration Types

  • volcanic eruptions have a much longer warning phase before their onset, and eruptions can last much longer than other natural hazards

Hazard Maps

  1. map volcanic deposits
  2. determine deposit type ( lava flow, mud flow (lahar), pyroclastic flow, etc.)
  3. determine age of deposits and eruption frequency
  4. consider the risk

Monitoring

  • examples of things we can monitor:   * seismology (earthquakes)   * ground deformation (volcano changes shapes)   * gas emission   * thermal imaging   * lahar flow detection   * satellite observation

Hazard Mitigation

  • since we have much more warning of volcanic eruptions than other hazards, we should prioritize:   * sensible zoning/regulation     * safe distance from different hazards     * ex: distance above, beside river, lahar channels   * warning systems and procedures

Volcano Alert-Level System

  • operated by US Geological Survey
  • notifications if a status is changed issued through US Volcano Observatories (five = Alaska, California, Cascades, Hawaii, Yellowstone)

Preparedness: What To Do

  • some volcanic hazards are easily avoidable
  • lava flow = walk away   * avoid moving perpendicular to flow direction in case there are other flows
  • some are more difficult   * pyroclastic flows and lahars     * ideally, there will be a warning of an eruption = get out of valleys to higher ground away from volcano     * move perpendicular to the flow direction (gets you out of the way fastest)     * if possible, drive instead of walk   * lahars = get away from rivers     * lahars can travel very far and pick up speed in rivers

What To Do - Pyroclastic Fall

  • ash is the primary hazard for anyone not in direct vicinity of volcano   * close all outside doors, windows, and fireplace dampers   * turn off fans and heating/ AC systems     * keep the air in your house as clean as possible   * wear long-sleeved shirts and pants, a well fitting M-95 mask, and goggles   * don’t drive in heavy ash fall (dangerous and exhaust can stir up ash)     * if you have to, close windows and turn off heat/ AC

What To Do

  • general disaster planning still applies:   * before:     * put together an emergency preparedness kit     * be aware of nearby volcano alert level   * during:     * follow evacuation orders   * after:     * stay indoors until instructed to leave     * assess damage

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