What Does It Mean to be 'Better Off'?

Introduction

  • The article explores the question "Are we better off now than we were 45 years ago?"

  • Contextualizes the question by referencing Ronald Reagan's 1980 campaign question.

  • Acknowledges the complexity of the answer, noting individual perspectives can differ significantly.

Measuring Well-Being

  • Well-being cannot be measured by a single dimension; it involves various indicators.

  • Common assessments, such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), are inadequate.

    • GDP is the dollar value of all goods produced and sold in an economy.

    • Per capita GDP indicates average income across a population.

    • Limitations of GDP:

    • Does not account for unpaid work (e.g., care work).

    • Aggregates positive and negative economic activities equally, e.g., spending on healthcare due to illness versus spending on healthy foods.

  • The argument is made to explore broader measures of well-being beyond GDP.

Economic Growth and Changes Over Time

National Income Progression

  • Real per capita GDP:

    • 1974: $26,446 (in 2012 dollars)

    • 2018: $56,702 (more than double)

    • Represents both increased abundance of beneficial goods and efficiency improvements in production.

    • Examples of new goods and services introduced since 1974 include: home appliances, internet access, and entertainment like streaming services.

Negative Impacts of Growth

  • Economic growth sometimes results from negative phenomena:

    • Longer commutes and increased spending on vehicles do contribute to GDP but can reduce individual well-being.

    • Example: Spending on gasoline and car repairs due to long commute times, with no increase in life satisfaction.

  • Overconsumption leads to storage issues in homes, evidenced by rising self-storage industry profits.

    • 2013 revenue from self-storage: $24 billion.

    • Average new single-family home size increased by 57% from the 1970’s to early 2000’s.

Income Distribution and Inequality

Changes in Income Distribution

  • Income distribution has drastically shifted, favoring higher earners:

    • Top income levels rose significantly while bottom levels only modestly increased.

    • Statistic highlights:

    • Household at 20th percentile in 1974: $22,000 -> 2018: $24,000.

    • Average income for the bottom 20% in 1974: $12,510 -> 2017: $13,258.

    • Bottom 80% now receives 48.5% of total national income, down from 56.5% in 1974.

    • Top 20% increased their share from 43.5% to 51.5%.

Changes in Labor Market

  • Labor force participation rate peaked at 67% in the late 1990s and drifted to 63% by 2018, higher than in 1974.

  • Distribution of wage increases heavily skewed towards small upper-income percentiles:

    • Labor income share decreased from 58% in 1970 to 50% in 2010.

    • Non-supervisory workers saw their income share drop from 45% to 31%.

Education and Employment

  • Higher education access increasingly tied to job opportunities; yet tuition rates have increased significantly:

    • College tuition rates have surged over 300% relative to inflation since 1974.

    • Total student debt surpassed $1 trillion, exceeding credit card debt.

  • Housing affordability has diminished, especially post-2008 financial crisis:

    • Discriminatory policies historically barred many non-whites from home purchasing advantages.

    • Increased home prices and burdensome lending practices left many homeowners vulnerable.

Social Mobility and Inequality

Mobility Statistics

  • The probability of moving from the bottom income quintile to the top has not meaningfully changed since the mid-20th century:

    • Child born in bottom quintile (1971): 8.4% chance of reaching the top quintile; by 1986 this chance slightly increased to 9%.

  • Compared to other developed nations, the U.S. shows lower rates of social mobility.

Gains in Racial and Gender Equality

  • Significant improvements in racial and gender income gaps due to 20th-century social movements:

    • Civil Rights Movement and Women’s Liberation significantly improved political participation and economic rights since 1954.

  • 2017 statistics demonstrate remaining economic disparities:

    • White men earned a median of $39,804 while Black men earned $24,663.

    • Poverty rates remained disproportionately high among Black individuals and single mothers compared to national averages.

Economic Insecurity and Poverty

  • The instability of employment and income:

    • Increased gig economy usage has led to over 30% of the workforce having unpredictable incomes.

    • Median job tenure decreased, reflective of overall employment precarity.

  • Poverty statistics show a historic fluctuation, with spikes after economic recessions:

    • Poverty rate fluctuated between 11%-15% since the mid-1970s.

    • Economic downturns exacerbate instability as millions experience brief episodes of poverty annually.

The Role of Non-Monetized Well-Being

Quality of Life Beyond Income

  • Income does not equate to a fulfilling life; social and political advancements contribute significantly to overall well-being:

    • Movements increased dignity and rights.

    • The Civil Rights and Women's movements empowered marginalized communities and transformed legal frameworks.

Looking to the Future

Environmental and Societal Sustainability

  • Calls for a shift away from GDP as a measure of progress towards frameworks that prioritize equality and environmental sustainability:

    • Current practices threaten long-term societal well-being and environmental stability.

    • Importance of redefining success by collectively uplifting marginalized communities and ensuring ecologically sustainable practices.

  • The COVID-19 pandemic further uncovered existing inequalities, particularly impacting low-wage and marginalized workers:

    • Unequal economic recovery from the pandemic showcasing heightened disparities in wealth accumulation.

    • Current job security and economic stability remain precarious, with mental health and societal divisions increasing during economic upheaval.

Conclusion

  • Moving forward, the need to address systemic inequalities and environmental crises is paramount.

  • A societal commitment towards equality and a sustainable future is essential for enhancing collective well-being.