L16- Fisheries Controversies
Background:
fishing is a heterogenous global industry
is important for global food security
has significant environmental impacts
is a source of controversy as it encompasses many aspects/rights
Atlantic Cod:
started with a post from a restaurant:

was posted in multiple news headlines
but is this number credible and where did it come from?
source→ CEFAS quote (UK government fisheries laboratory), is reliable

but what do we know about cod?
mature at 3 years old, fully mature at 6 years old
don’t often see cod above 13 years old
so what is the truth?
there are fewer than 100 above 13 but there are found 21million adult cod
mythbuster (website) and more or less (radio show looking at numbers behind the headlines- discredited this
these stories matter because of their reactions e.g. 2 different takes to the same headline→ invited ridicule and anger from fishing industry

conclusion 1-
accuracy matters in conservation messaging
simplifying matters is important but over exaggerating loses credibility
nature is based on facts
Proportion of world’s fish stocks overfished:
starts with headlines from WWF:

UN Food and Agricultural Organisation→ authoritative providers of stats on global fisheries, actually found was 34.2% at this time
UN FAO are criticised as Ray Hilborn was accused of being an overfishing denier→ using particular characters to discredit stats they don’t like

evidence from UN FOA:
fish stocks underfished, fished to maximum sustainable limits, overfished→ target for fisheries is maximum sustainable yields

get this evidence from SOFIA FAO report:
unsustainable levels was 31.4%
2022 report- increased
sustainably exploited stocks are the aim, which the paper included in their 85%
conclusion 2-
the truth is already bad enough
is tempting to have attention-grabbing headlines but are misleading and can lead to conflicts that miss the point, can sometimes be effective
Carbon cost of fisheries:
guardian article→

numbers-

look at study story links to→ is high profile, numbers seem to add up

the science:
constant organic carbon falling in the oceans
is mineralised into co2→ dissolves into seawater or hits seabed and gets buried in sediment in a carbon sink
trawling disturbs the sea bed through use of heavy gear→ releases carbon
closing off bigger areas of trawling will increase amount of carbon sequestered→ reason to increase coverage of MPAs in paper
see lots of author corrections in this paper:

paper does not believe their numbers
objections:
the model of organic carbon mineralisation the original paper uses assumes reactivity of carbon in the sediment is the same as the carbon at the surface but we don’t know enough to say this, experiments suggest sediment carbon has 2-3x lower impacts than the model used
60% of evidence reported no sig effect of fishing on sediment organic carbon, 10% has less in no trawling areas though
evidence is mixed but is not strong to show that bottom trawling always releases carbon
this matters as the paper was used to support carbon credits→
offsetting co2 in this area by buying in MPAs that prevent trawling will create imaginary reductions in co2
air travel emits lots of carbon directly into climate- can quantify this but trawling is uncertain
conclusion 3
even high profile publications require scrutiny
need extraordinary evidence for extraordinary claims, cannot simplify ocean systems
Fishing down food webs:
time axis from left to right
as time goes on (left to right), fisheries used to fish high tropic fish, removing large fish and leaving simpler systems of small trawling fish and jellyfish now

early paper→

evidence:
has happened generally, assigned trophic level of fish caught, tracked through time

hypothesis is logical→ initial feeling is it feels right but need to think through it→ having multiple working hypotheses
what we expect- fishing down the trophic level→ where you fish is red, has happened in 9/48 ecosystems

what we actually see- fishing through the food web→ start by targeting large predatory fish, over time catches remain high, target others, mean trophic level declines whilst high tropic level fishing is still increasing, happens 2x more than fishing down the food web

why is this?
high tropic level fish should be the most valuable but data shows there is no relationship between price of fish and trophic level it is found at

new data should affect conclusions:

expected vs observed:

what is actually happening?
are fishing for profits
fishing down the food web is not a general phenomenon
conclusion 4
making sense of controversies
media can make simple stories and fisheries (food) is more emotive than other topics but these can lead to conflicts
How to counteract controversies:
think critically, challenge ideas, data has power but limitations too
fact-check conservation- support those that separate truth from lies

Seaspiracy (Netflix Documentary)-
does more harm than good, dont mislead or sensationalise there are things we cna do that are better e.g. pushing for legeslations
pauly (believes in fishing down the food web) and hilborn (known as an overfishing denier) agreeing (don’t ever agree)