Intro to Scientific Method and Research Methods

The Scientific Method

  • Be your best guess. How long would it take us to get from this campus to Downtown Illinois? It depends on transportation. Method.

  • All research, no matter what field, starts with the scientific method. It is the process of observing the world, ory, and designing experiments that test the hypothesis.

  • From the smallest of theories to the most complex of theories, the scientific method is used to help reduce the number of errors.

  • Researchers can study social phenomena that are occurring now (e.g., social media) and ask questions like: Why did this event happen? What factors contributed?

  • You can research almost anything, even topics that seem unusual (e.g., the proper way to tie your shoes).

  • There is no strict limitation on what can be studied; curiosity drives research.

Theory and Definitions

  • What is a theory?

    • A theory is a systematic generalized model of how some aspect of the world works.

    • A theory can be formed about almost anything.

  • The value of theory: you can apply theoretical ideas to your own major and connect them to everyday observations (e.g., people going about their day).

Types of Research Methods

  • Two common types: quantitative and qualitative.

  • Quantitative research

    • Gathers information about the social world that is either already available or can be converted to numeric form.

  • Qualitative research

    • Seeks to collect information about the social world that cannot be readily converted to numeric form.

  • Qualitative methods offer many ways to study social phenomena beyond numbers.

  • Examples from the transcript:

    • "Poor diet is associated with poor health." (illustrates association/correlation in a general sense)

    • There can be factors that correlate with outcomes, sometimes positively or negatively (e.g., higher education, higher income).

  • In introductory courses, instructors may focus on a subset of factors (e.g., two factors) to illustrate the concepts.

  • Illustrative point: you can research about almost anything, even everyday life topics.

Key Concepts: Causality, Variables, and Hypotheses

  • Causality

    • A change in one factor causes a change in another.

    • Proving causality in social science is challenging and typically requires specific criteria.

  • Four criteria often discussed (as presented in the transcript):

    • Correlation (covariation) between X and Y

    • Time or temporal precedence (one variable changes before the other)

    • Order (often treated as temporal order; X comes before Y)

    • Ruling out other explanations (non-spuriousness or controlling for confounds)

  • Reverse causality

    • A situation where the presumed effect actually causes the presumed cause (e.g., B causes A instead of A causing B).

  • Variables terminology

    • Dependent variable (DV): the outcome the researcher is trying to explain.

    • Independent variable (IV): the cause or predictor that is hypothesized to influence the DV.

  • Example: how does phone use before bedtime affect sleep?

    • DV: Sleep (or sleep quality)

    • IV: Phone use before bedtime

  • Hypothesis

    • An educated guess about the proposed relationship between two variables.

    • In research, hypotheses are tested by repeating observations or experiments.

  • Replication and variability

    • Repeating measurements to see if the pattern holds.

    • If something happens 9 times out of 10, researchers test whether it would hold for 10 out of 10 (i.e., 9/10 vs 10/10).

    • Sometimes results may be 6 out of 10 in other replications; variability is common in social research.

Example Scenarios and Illustrations from the Transcript
  • Topic ideas to illustrate the research process:

    • Why do some drunk drivers survive crashes? What factors contribute to this outcome?

    • The dramatic question of “what is it about drunk driving” and how researchers might study it.

    • The relationship between social media usage and various social outcomes.

  • An illustrative, playful research example from years past mentioned in the transcript:

    • A project about the proper way to tie shoes (to show research can be about almost anything, even everyday tasks).

  • A concrete example tying to education and income:

    • A college degree might be associated with higher income, but confounding factors (e.g., student loans, debt, buying a car) can influence outcomes.

    • The transcript cites an extreme scenario to illustrate how multiple factors can jointly influence a result, highlighting the need to consider causality and confounds.

Connections to Research Practice and Real-World Relevance

  • Research starts with observation and moves toward testing hypotheses to reduce errors in understanding.

  • The approach applies across disciplines and connects to real-world issues (current events, social phenomena, public health, education, finance).

  • Understanding the difference between quantitative and qualitative data helps researchers choose appropriate methods to study different questions.

  • The dependent variable and independent variable framework helps structure hypotheses and analyses.

  • The discussion of causality emphasizes that establishing a causal link requires more than a simple correlation; it requires establishing temporal order and ruling out alternate explanations.

  • The examples illustrate how everyday life observations can generate research questions with real-world implications (privacy, health, education policy, technology use).

Summary Takeaways

  • The scientific method guides all research by turning observations into testable hypotheses to reduce error.

  • Theories are broad, systematic models that explain how some aspect of the world works.

  • There are two main research approaches:

    • Quantitative: numeric data, measurements that can be analyzed statistically.

    • Qualitative: non-numeric data, descriptive, interpretive analyses.

  • Causality in social science requires: covariation (correlation), temporal order, and ruling out alternative explanations; reverse causality is a potential pitfall.

  • The dependent variable is what you measure; the independent variable is what you manipulate or consider as the predictor.

  • Hypotheses are educated guesses about the relationship between variables and are tested through repeated observations and experiments.

  • Real-world questions can be explored across a wide range of topics, including everyday activities and current social issues.

Notation and Minor Points Mentioned in Transcript
  • The transcript mentions a line about a research project on tying shoes about fifteen years ago: 15extyearsago.15 ext{ years ago}.

  • It references a claim like: "Poor diet is associated with poor health" (an illustrative association).

  • It uses a practical example with a potential sequence: college degree, student loans, debt, and low income (illustrating confounds and causal complexity).

  • The discussion includes a rough, iterative approach to research (repeating observations, aiming for consistency across trials).