Ch. 15: Type I Error Correction

Working Memory and Cognitive Functions

  • Discusses various cognitive components tested against one another in a study context.

  • Introduces several continuous variables, focusing on connections between them.

Cognitive Variables Analyzed:

  • Vocabulary

    • Represents language proficiency and verbal understanding.

  • Sex

    • Factor influencing cognitive performance; potential biological underpinnings.

  • Reading

    • Assesses comprehension and information processing.

  • Processing Speed

    • Measures how quickly an individual can complete tasks.

  • Inhibition

    • Involves the ability to suppress responses or distractions.

  • Episodic Memory

    • Refers to the ability to recall personal experiences.

  • Cognitive Flexibility

    • Reflects the ability to adapt cognitive processing strategies.

  • Attention

    • Concentration and focus in performing tasks.

  • General Cognitive Ability

    • Broad measure of overall cognitive function.

  • Age

    • Considered as a factor potentially affecting cognitive abilities.

  • Working Memory

    • Short-term memory system emphasizing manipulation of information.

Statistical Foundations and Control of Type I Errors

Introduction to Statistical Testing

  • Conducting multiple tests on 11 continuous variables leads to significant results via statistical analysis.

    • Derivation of the number of tests using the formula: n(n1)/2n(n-1)/2.

    • Derives into 55 tests from 11 variables.

Considerations of Alpha Level (α)

  • Alpha (α) is the probability that results are due to chance.

  • As the number of tests increases, so does the probability of obtaining significant results:

    • Equation: 1(1αˉ)comparisons1 - (1 - \bar{α})^{comparisons}

    • Calculated example: 1(0.95)55=0.941 - (0.95)^{55} = 0.94

    • Result indicates a 94% chance of a significant result being due to chance.

Type I Error Correction

Definition and Importance
  • Type I error occurs when a true null hypothesis is incorrectly rejected (a false positive).

  • Critical to determine if these corrections are necessary when conducting multiple statistical tests.

Determining Need for Correction

  • Type I error correction is warranted when multiple comparisons are made to reveal discoveries from the same dataset.

  • Specifically emphasized in repeated tests addressing similar hypotheses or datasets.

Type I Error Thresholds by Field

  • Various disciplines have different standards for significance:

    • Social Sciences: typically set at 0.05.

    • Pharmaceutical Research: often tighter range between 0.01 and 0.001.

    • Physics: requires a stringent threshold of '5 sigma' corresponding to a probability of 1 in 3.5 million.

Family-Wise Error Rate
  • Type I error is typically evaluated through the lens of the family-wise error rate.

    • Defined as a collection of inferences drawn from the same data or a related question.

  • Acknowledges that Type I error probability rises with increasing test numbers, hence needing control mechanisms.

When to Apply Corrections

  • Applied in post-hoc analyses, such as ANOVA or split contingency tables.

  • Less overt cases include tests addressing similar questions across various test types, e.g. using data in both ANOVA and linear models.

Methods of Correction

  • Two primary methods to guard against Type I errors:

    • Altering the significance threshold—modifying the original alpha level.

    • Adjusting the p-value through a correction factor—both methods effectively achieve similar results.

Classic Correction Methods
  • Tukey's Test

    • Best used for all pairwise comparisons post-ANOVA.

  • Scheffé Test

    • Suitable for multiple comparisons but not as powerful as Tukey.

  • Bonferroni Correction

    • First recommended for Type I error correction, particularly for pre-selected contrasts.

    • Formula: α=α/kα^* = α / k

    • Example: For 4 comparisons, 0.05/4=0.01250.05 / 4 = 0.0125.

  • Holm-Bonferroni (Holm)

    • More powerful than Bonferroni, involves ordering p-values and adjusting thresholds sequentially.

  • Newman-Keuls

    • A sequential Tukey version but less accepted.

  • Dunnett’s Test

    • Most powerful for comparing control against treatment groups.

False Discovery Rate and Practical Recommendations

False Discovery Rate Philosophy
  • Asks: "What proportion of significant results are actually false discoveries?"

Benjamini-Hochberg Test
  • A simple method for controlling false discoveries:

    • Procedure:

    1. Order tests by descending p-value.

    2. Apply the threshold racikαrac{i}{k}α, where:

      • ii = index of ordered test

      • kk = total tests.

Recommendations for Correction Methods
  • Avoid Bonferroni when dealing with several planned contrasts.

  • Consider using Holm-Bonferroni for pairwise comparisons after ANOVA.

  • If comparing only control to treatment conditions, opt for Dunnett’s test.

  • If willing to accept occasional Type I errors for increased power, use Benjamini-Hochberg.

Conclusion

  • Understanding the necessity and methods of Type I error correction is crucial for ensuring the integrity and reliability of statistical findings within cognitive research and related fields.