Lect-6-Sampling and sample size

Sampling and Sample Size

Introduction to Sampling

  • Census vs. Sample Surveys

    • Census: Investigation of all animals in a population; expensive and sometimes impractical.

    • Sample Survey: Investigates a subset of the population; aims to estimate variables accurately and without bias.

Definitions

  • Target Population: Total population where information is required, ideally the population at risk.

  • Study Population: The population from which a sample is drawn; consists of elementary units (e.g., individual animals).

  • Stratum: A collection of elementary units grouped by a common characteristic (e.g., dairy cows on a farm).

  • Sampling Frame: A list identifying members of the study population (e.g., lists of veterinary practices).

  • Sampling Unit: Each member of the sampling frame.

  • Sampling Fraction: Ratio of sample size to study population size (e.g., 10 out of 1000 = 1%).

1. Types of Sampling

1.1 Non-probability Sampling

  • Convenience Sampling: Selection of easily accessible units; may lead to biased results.

    • Example: Selecting first 10 cows entering a milking parlour may underestimate lameness prevalence.

  • Purposive Selection: Choosing units based on the desire to balance characteristics with the target population.

    • Example: Selecting blood samples that represent average characteristics in a tuberculosis test; risks bias towards the mean.

1.2 Probability Sampling

  • Simple Random Sampling: All units in the study population are listed, and units are selected randomly.

  • Systematic Sampling: Units are chosen at equal intervals from a randomized starting point.

    • Example: Selecting one animal from every 100 based on a random choice of the first unit.

  • Stratified Sampling: Divides the population into strata and samples randomly from each stratum.

    • Example: Different regions in Bhutan for livestock movement sampling; proportions reflect the sample size according to the total in each region.

1.3 Cluster Sampling

  • Cluster Sampling: Defined by geographical or other categories; involves sampling a few clusters instead of all, acceptable for managing costs and time.

    • One-stage Cluster Sampling: Sampling all units within selected clusters.

    • Two-stage Cluster Sampling: Selecting clusters and then sub-sampling within them.

    • Multistage Cluster Sampling: Further progressing to additional sampling levels (i.e., regions, then farms, then individual animals).

2. Determining Sample Size

2.1 Considerations for Sample Size

  • Non-statistical Factors: Availability of manpower and sampling frames.

  • Statistical Factors: Desired precision of the prevalence estimate and expected disease prevalence.

2.2 Precision of Estimates

  • Absolute Error: Acceptable range of prevalence (e.g., 40% with a 2% error ranges from 38% to 42%).

  • Relative Error: Error expressed proportionately; a 2% error of a 40% prevalence results in a slight variation (39.2%-40.8%).

2.3 Expected Prevalence

  • Prior estimates of prevalence can guide sample size determination; close approximations to 0% or 100% require fewer samples compared to a prevalence around 50%.