An Inconvenient Truth Notes
An Inconvenient Truth: Notes from Al Gore's Presentation
About Al Gore
Former Vice President of the United States.
Chairman of Current TV and Generation Investment Management.
Board member of Apple Computer, Inc.
Senior Advisor to Google, Inc.
Visiting Professor at Middle Tennessee State University.
Elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1976 (served four terms).
Elected to the U.S. Senate in 1984 and 1990.
Inaugurated as the 45th Vice President on January 20, 1993.
Central member of President Clinton's economic team.
Led the Clinton Administration's efforts to protect the global environment.
Authored "Earth in the Balance: Ecology and the Human Spirit" (1992).
About the Film: An Inconvenient Truth
Directed by Davis Guggenheim.
Focuses on Al Gore's crusade to halt global warming.
Aims to expose myths and misconceptions surrounding global warming.
Presents Gore as funny, engaging, and intent on alerting citizens to the planetary emergency.
Includes Gore's personal journey: From seeing the environmental crisis as a college student to becoming a dedicated advocate.
Highlights that global warming is a moral challenge.
Premiered at the 2006 Sundance Film Festival and Cannes.
Won Academy Awards for Best Documentary Feature and Best Song.
Estimated worldwide audience of 5 million people.
Impact of the Film
Galvanized governments, leaders, organizations, and individuals to take action.
Increased awareness of global warming to over a billion people.
Over 106,000 tons of carbon were offset in the year following the film's release (equivalent to 225 million car miles).
4200+ tons of carbon were offset by switching to compact fluorescent light bulbs.
Over 15 climate change bills introduced in Congress.
The Markey-Waxman Bill passed the House in June 2009.
Five countries and one Canadian province incorporated the film into secondary school curricula.
President Obama created the position of Assistant to the President for Climate and Energy.
The U.S. House and Senate established Select Committees on Energy Independence and Global Warming.
Over 2600 people trained to give The Climate Project presentation, reaching 4 million people.
Al Gore's Presentation: Key Points
Opening Remarks
References the first picture of Earth from space (Christmas Eve, 1968, Apollo 8 Mission) and Earth Rise.
Notes that the photo led to the modern environmental movement within 18 months.
Apollo 17 image (December 11, 1972) is the most commonly published photograph.
Mentions the Galileo spacecraft's time-lapse picture of Earth's rotation.
Two Teachers Story
Relates a story about a geography teacher who dismissed the idea of continents fitting together.
Connects this to the assumption that the Earth is too big for humans to impact.
The atmosphere is vulnerable because it is thin.
Quotes Carl Sagan's analogy of a varnish coat on a globe to represent the atmosphere's thickness.
Basic Science of Global Warming
Sun's radiation comes as light waves, heating the Earth.
Infrared radiation is reradiated back into space.
The atmosphere traps some outgoing infrared radiation, which keeps the Earth warm.
Global warming pollution thickens the atmosphere, trapping more infrared radiation and heating the planet.
Roger Revelle and Carbon Dioxide Measurement
Professor Roger Revelle proposed measuring carbon dioxide in the Earth's atmosphere.
Charles David Keeling made precise measurements for decades, starting in 1957.
Weather balloons were sent up daily from a remote area in the Pacific.
Gore learned about this as a college student and understood the significance.
The Earth "breathes" in and out annually, with CO2 levels changing due to Northern Hemisphere vegetation cycles.
The Keeling Curve
Measurements since 1958 show a clear upward trend in carbon dioxide levels.
The oscillation representing the yearly cycle of plant growth and decay is superimposed on the overall rising trend.
Political Involvement and Advocacy
Organized the first congressional hearings on global warming in the mid-1970s.
Wrote a book and ran for President in 1988 to raise awareness.
Went to the White House in 1992 and worked on a carbon tax.
Participated in the Kyoto treaty negotiations in 1997.
Visible Impacts of Global Warming
Mount Kilimanjaro's disappearing snows.
Glacier National Park's shrinking glaciers.
Columbia Glacier's retreat.
Water shortages for 40% of the world's population dependent on Himalayan glaciers.
Glacier loss in the Italian Alps, South America (Peru, Argentina, Patagonia).
Ice Core Data
Lonnie Thompson's ice core drilling reveals trapped atmospheric bubbles.
Measurements of CO2 levels and oxygen isotopes provide temperature data for past years.
The Clean Air Act's impact is visible in ice core samples.
Data from mountain glaciers goes back 1,000 years, showing a medieval warming period, but current warming is far greater.
Antarctic ice core data goes back 650,000 years, showing that CO2 levels have never exceeded 300 parts per million until now.
Graphs illustrating CO2 levels and temperature over 650,000 years demonstrate the correlation.
The difference between a normal temperature and an ice age is linked to CO2 levels.
Future Projections
Within 50 years, CO2 levels are projected to increase dramatically.
This increase is far beyond the natural cycle.
Moral implications: Allowing this to happen is deeply unethical.
Personal Turning Point
His son's near-fatal accident in 1989 shifted Gore's perspective.
He traveled to Antarctica, the South Pole, the North Pole, and the Amazon to understand the issue deeply.
Atmospheric temperature measurements show a clear upward trend since the Civil War.
The 10 hottest years ever measured have all occurred in the last 14 years, with 2005 being the hottest.
Extreme Weather Events
Heat waves: Europe (2003, 35,000 deaths), India (122 degrees Fahrenheit), and the American West (200 cities broke records).
Ocean temperature increases lead to stronger storms.
Hurricanes: Jeanne, Frances, Ivan, Emily, Dennis, Katrina.
2004 set an all-time record for tornadoes in the United States and typhoons in Japan (10, previous record was 7).
The first-ever hurricane in the South Atlantic occurred in Brazil.
Hurricane Katrina's intensification over warmer waters in the Gulf of Mexico.
Warnings about stronger hurricanes and levee breaches in New Orleans were not heeded.
Other Effects of Global Warming
Increased precipitation in big storm events.
Rising insurance losses due to severe weather.
Flooding in Asia (Mumbai, India: 37 inches of rain in 24 hours) and China.
Increased drought, especially in Africa (Darfur, Niger) due to relocated precipitation patterns.
Lake Chad has dried up.
Increased soil evaporation.
Personal Connection to the Land
Shares a story about totaling the family car at age 14.
Describes his childhood on a farm, spending part of the year in Washington D.C.
Notices the changing climate patterns on his farm.
Canaries in the Coal Mine
Arctic: Experiencing faster impacts from global warming.
Ward Hunt Ice Shelf cracked in half.
Drunken trees due to thawing permafrost.
Collapsing buildings and damaged pipelines.
Fewer days of frozen tundra for driving (225 days 35 years ago, now below 75).
Nuclear submarine data shows a precipitous drop in Arctic ice cap thickness and extent since 1970 (40% reduction in 40 years).
Within 50-70 years, the Arctic may be completely ice-free in summertime.
Arctic Ice Cap Melting
Ice reflects 90% of sun's rays, while open ocean absorbs 90%, leading to faster heating.
Polar bears are drowning because they can't find ice.
The Earth's climate is a nonlinear system with sudden jumps.
An average 5-degree Fahrenheit increase means only 1 degree at the equator but 12 degrees at the poles.
Changes to wind and ocean current patterns.
Ocean Conveyor
Gulf Stream meets cold winds off Greenland, transferring heat to Western Europe.
The ocean current system is a loop.
Cold, salty water sinks in the North Atlantic at a rate of five billion gallons per second, driving the current.
The melting of the last glacier in North America caused a freshwater influx, shutting off the pump and causing Europe to enter an ice age for 900-1,000 years.
Similar event could occur if Greenland melts.
Other Environmental Issues
Oxides of nitrogen from decaying vegetation cause air pollution.
Effect on Ecosystems
Peak arrival date for migratory birds in the Netherlands has shifted due to warming, affecting caterpillar availability for chicks.
Decreasing frost days in Southern Switzerland lead to an increase in invasive exotic species.
Bark beetles are devastating spruce trees in Alaska.
Mosquitoes are climbing to higher altitudes, expanding the range of infectious diseases.
30 new diseases have emerged in the last quarter century.
Coral reefs are bleaching due to global warming.
Species loss is occurring at 1,000 times the natural background rate.
Antarctica
The largest mass of ice on the planet.
Breakup of ice shelves along the Antarctic peninsula is an alarm bell.
Ice shelves larger than Rhode Island have broken up in the last 15-20 years.
Larsen B Ice Shelf
Meltwater forms pools on the surface.
The ice shelf completely disappeared in 35 days in 2002 causing astonishment among scientists.
Floating ice no longer held back land-based ice, leading to ice falling into the ocean.
West Antarctica: If it were to go, sea level worldwide would go up 20 feet.
Greenland
Also would raise sea level almost 20 feet if it went.
Meltwater tunnels to the bottom of the ice and lubricates where the ice meets the bedrock.
Dramatic increases in surface melting since 1992.
The maps of the world will have to be redrawn.
Potential Sea Level Rise Impacts
Florida, San Francisco Bay, the Netherlands, Beijing, Shanghai, Calcutta, and Bangladesh would be severely affected.
The World Trade Center memorial site in Manhattan would be underwater.
China's Role
1. 3 billion people, surging economy, massive coal reserves.
Using old, dirty technologies.
Three Factors Causing the Collision
Population: Increased from 2 billion to almost 6.5 billion in one lifetime.
Scientific and Technological Revolution: New power brings responsibility.
Our Way of Thinking: Misconceptions and lack of awareness.
Population Pressure
Puts pressure on food, water, and vulnerable natural resources.
Leads to forest devastation through cutting and burning (30% of CO2 emissions).
The Boiling Frog
Analogy: If a frog jumps into boiling water, it jumps out. If it jumps into lukewarm water that is slowly heated, it will stay until rescued.
We need a sudden jolt to become aware of danger.
Personal Story: Tobacco
Gore's family grew tobacco.
His sister died of lung cancer.
His father stopped growing tobacco after understanding the connection between smoking and cancer.
Misconceptions
Disagreement among scientists: There is a consensus that global warming is real and caused by humans.
Economy vs. Environment: Doing the right thing creates wealth and jobs.
Problem is too big: We already know what to do.
The Disinformation Campaign
Efforts to reposition global warming as theory rather than fact.
Internal memos reveal strategies to create doubt.
Scientists face persecution and ridicule.
Political interference in scientific reports.
Economic Opportunities
Japan, Europe, Australia, and Canada are ahead of the US in mileage standards for automobiles.
California's initiative to have higher-mileage cars is being sued against.
The companies that are building more-efficient cars are succeeding.
Solutions
Efficient electricity appliances, end-use efficiency, higher mileage cars, other transport efficiency, renewable technology, carbon capture and sequestration.
Political Will
A renewable resource in America.
We can make choices to bring our individual carbon emissions to zero.
Most nations have ratified Kyoto.
US states and cities are taking the initiative.
Moral Issue and Call to Action
Are Americans capable of doing great things, even though they are difficult?
We have solved global environmental crises before (ozone layer).
Need to act together to solve this problem.
It is our ability to live on planet Earth that is at stake.
The Pale Blue Dot
Carl Sagan's image of Earth from four billion miles away.
It's our only home.
Final Message
Future generations may ask why we didn't wake up when we had a chance.