DL PPT6 Evidence supporting enhanced greenhouse effect

EVIDENCE SUPPORTING ENHANCED GREENHOUSE EFFECT

  • Overview of enhanced greenhouse effect and its implications for climate.

CHANGES TO OUR CLIMATE

  • Changes in climate can span thousands of years.

  • Current climate change is driven by the enhanced greenhouse effect, which releases extra greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, trapping more solar energy.

  • Disruption in Earth’s climate equilibrium has led to a significant increase in global average surface temperature.

  • Scientific modeling indicates human activities are the primary cause of global warming.

NATURAL GREENHOUSE EFFECT

  • The natural greenhouse effect is essential for sustaining life on Earth.

  • Solar energy penetrates the atmosphere and warms the Earth's surface.

  • The atmosphere's low density prevents significant heating before solar energy reaches the surface.

  • The Earth re-radiates energy (infra-red part of the spectrum) back into space, where greenhouse gases trap some of it, maintaining temperature.

IMPACT OF NATURAL GREENHOUSE EFFECT

  • Without the greenhouse gases, nighttime temperatures could drop to approximately -100℃ while daytime temperatures could rise to about 80℃.

  • Key greenhouse gases: carbon dioxide (CO2), water vapor (H2O), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), and ozone (O3).

  • Greenhouse gas levels have surged since the Industrial Revolution, heightening the greenhouse effect.

INCREASED LEVELS OF GREENHOUSE GASES

  • Atmospheric concentrations of CO2 have significantly changed over the past centuries.

  • Current CO2 levels are 421 ppm (0.04%) as of May 2022, a 50% increase since the mid-18th century.

  • Methane concentration is 1911.8 ppb as of May 2022, with over a doubling effect, impacting global temperature significantly.

CARBON DIOXIDE

  • Carbon dioxide is the main greenhouse gas of concern.

  • Major source: burning fossil fuels (coal, petrol, oil, natural gas) produces CO2 and other pollutants.

DEFORESTATION

  • Deforestation for agriculture and urban development increases atmospheric CO2 by releasing carbon stored in trees.

  • Trees help anchor soil; their removal allows soil erosion, contributing to carbon release.

  • Forests play a critical role in absorbing CO2 through photosynthesis; losing them exacerbates the greenhouse effect.

  • Increased deforestation disrupts evaporation, leading to dry air, low humidity, and decreased precipitation, creating drought-prone conditions.

METHANE

  • Natural methane sources: organic decay in wetlands, termites, ocean emissions, and thawing methane hydrates in permafrost.

  • Human contributions include energy production, livestock emissions, biomass burning, and landfill decomposition.

MELTING SEA ICE

  • Oceans act as carbon sinks, absorbing carbon and up to 90% of solar radiation.

  • Warmer oceans absorb less solar radiation and accelerate sea ice melting.

  • Melting sea ice reduces the reflection of solar radiation and increases water heat absorption, raising global temperatures further.

MELTING PERMAFROST

  • Permafrost consists of frozen ground storing carbon from previous plant material.

  • Regions with permafrost include high mountains and polar areas (Russia, Canada, Alaska).

  • The carbon stored in permafrost is double that present in the atmosphere, making its thawing a severe climate change threat.

  • Melting permafrost may release trapped bacteria and viruses, raising ecological concerns.

RISING SEA LEVELS

  • Global warming affects sea levels via:

    • Melting glaciers and ice sheets.

    • Thermal expansion of ocean water.

  • Average sea level rise is about 3mm per year (2mm from melting and 1mm from thermal expansion).