MKT320: Retailing - Developing Merchandise Plan

Introduction to Merchandise Planning

  • A merchandise plan is a strategic blueprint used by retailers to ensure:

    • The right products are available.
    • At the right time.
    • In the right quantities.
    • At the right place.
    • At the right price.
    • To meet consumer demand.
    • While maximizing profit and minimizing inventory costs.
  • Key Objectives:

    • Align inventory with customer demand.
    • Optimize sales and gross margin.
    • Manage inventory turnover effectively.
    • Avoid overstock or stockouts.
  • Examples:

    • Carrefour UAE: Uses sophisticated merchandise planning tools to anticipate seasonal spikes in demand, such as during Ramadan, shifting towards food staples, cooking essentials, and gifting products.
    • Zara: Famous for its fast fashion merchandise planning model, where new merchandise is planned and updated every two weeks, based on real-time customer feedback.

Steps in the Merchandise Planning Process

1. Sales Forecasting

  • Analyze past sales data.
  • Account for market trends, seasonality, promotions.
    • E.g., Namshi uses historical data and Google trends to forecast demand for specific fashion categories during back-to-school or festive periods.

2. Establishing Merchandise Budgets

  • Set financial targets.
  • Plan Open-to-Buy (OTB): how much stock is needed, when, and at what cost.
    • E.g., Lulu allocates its budget by product category based on past seasonal success and store-level performance.

3. Assortment Planning

  • Decide breadth (number of product categories) and depth (variants per category).
    • E.g., Max Fashion plans wider assortments for flagship stores versus smaller assortments in community malls.

4. Inventory Turnover Planning

  • Calculate expected stock turnover.
  • Aim for balance between holding costs and availability.
    • E.g., Sun & Sand Sports aims for higher turnover in trending athletic wear and slower turnover in high-ticket equipment like treadmills.

5. Allocation and Replenishment

  • Decide how to distribute stock across locations and replenish based on real-time sales

  • Amazon dynamically reallocates stock between its warehouses using AI, based on geolocation demand.

6. Monitoring and Evaluation

  • Continuous tracking of KPIs (sales, margins, stock levels).
  • Adjust plans based on market responsiveness.
    • Retailers use ERP systems and Power BI dashboards for real-time merchandise tracking.

The Retail Buying Process

  • The buying process is the procedure by which merchandise buyers decide:

    • What products to purchase.
    • In what quantity.
    • From which suppliers.
    • And when to place the order.
  • Key Stages:

    1. Identifying Customer Needs
    2. Selecting Suppliers
    3. Negotiating Terms
    4. Placing the Order
    5. Receiving, Inspecting, and Stocking Merchandise

1. Identifying Customer Needs

  • Through customer feedback, market research, and sales data

2. Selecting Suppliers

  • Evaluate based on reliability, quality, delivery terms, and ethical sourcing

3. Negotiating Terms

  • Prices, delivery timelines, discounts, and return policies

4. Placing the Order

  • Based on Open-to-Buy budgets and assortment plans

5. Receiving, Inspecting, and Stocking Merchandise

  • Ensuring correct quantities and quality.
  • Decide whether to move to storage or to the selling floor

Key Factors in Merchandise Planning

FactorDescription
Sales ForecastsUse historical data, seasonal trends, and market intelligence to predict future demand accurately.
InnovativenessIntegrate new and trending products to attract early adopters and differentiate the offering.
Product AssortmentPlan the right balance between breadth (range of categories) and depth (variety within each).
Brand SelectionChoose between national, private, or exclusive brands based on customer preferences and margins.
Timing & SeasonalityAlign purchase cycles with holidays, festivals (e.g., Ramadan in UAE), or fashion seasons.
Inventory AllocationDecide how to distribute merchandise across store locations based on local demand and performance.

Merchandise Planning

  • Merchandise planning isn’t just about buying products, it is about buying the right products, at the right time, in the right quantity, and placing them in the right place.
  • It requires both data-driven forecasting and customer insight.
  • Whether you're looking at global fashion like Zara or grocery giants like Carrefour UAE, every successful retailer is backed by a strong merchandise strategy.