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Cash-Flow Statements, Investing Activities & the Naspers Case Study

Cash vs. Credit Sales, Cash Flow vs. Accounting Profit

  • "Sales is better than credit sales": faster cash-in improves liquidity and reduces collection risk.
  • Cash in the bank is superior to accounting (accrual) profit because only cash can:
    • Pay suppliers, wages, taxes and debt service immediately.
    • Fund expansion without additional borrowing.
  • Quality-of-earnings metric:
    • \text{Quality of Earnings} = \frac{\text{Operating Cash Flow}}{\text{Accounting Profit}} \times 100\%
    • A high percentage (>100 %) signals earnings are largely backed by cash; a low percentage suggests heavy reliance on non-cash accruals.

Anatomy of the Cash-Flow Statement

  • Three statutory sections (always appear in this order):
    1. Cash Flow From Operating Activities (CFO) – day-to-day core trading.
    2. Cash Flow From Investing Activities (CFI) – long-term asset purchases/sales & acquisition/disposal of subsidiaries.
    3. Cash Flow From Financing Activities (CFF) – transactions with capital providers (debt & equity).
  • Mathematical reconciliation:
    • \text{Net Cash Flow}=\text{CFO}+\text{CFI}+\text{CFF}
    • \text{Closing Bank Balance}=\text{Opening Bank Balance}+\text{Net Cash Flow}
    • Always verify closing cash on the balance-sheet equals the bank figure on the cash-flow statement; if not, the accounts are wrong.

Deep-Dive: Cash Flow From Investing Activities (CFI)

  • Diagnostic questions to ask when browsing CFI:
    • How much was spent on Property, Plant & Equipment (PPE)?
      • Expansionary CapEx (new initiatives, capacity growth) vs. replacement CapEx (maintaining existing assets).
    • Are there major inflows (asset disposals)?
      • Which property, plant or business unit was sold and why?
    • Any cash paid to acquire new subsidiaries or investments?
      • Example: Woolworths’ ill-fated acquisition of David Jones in Australia.
  • Perspective for future CEOs: you may not see operational minutiae, but large CFI line items (often billions) reveal strategic moves.

Deep-Dive: Cash Flow From Financing Activities (CFF)

  • Tracks sources and uses of capital:
    • Inflows: new bank loans, bond issues, equity issues.
    • Outflows: debt principal repayment, share buy-backs, dividends.
  • Net cash outflow in CFF can be healthy when the firm intentionally deleverages:
    • Example: receive 1\;\text{bn} in new loans but repay 2\;\text{bn} → net outflow of 1\;\text{bn} and a drop in net debt.
  • Typical pattern: strong CFO → management chooses to repay debt → CFF shows large outflow.

Visualising Cash: Analyst Presentations & Waterfall Charts

  • Post-audit, JSE-listed CEOs present results; instead of a static cash-flow table they frequently show a waterfall graph:
    • Starts with opening cash, then sequentially stacks "uses" (negative bars) and "sources" (positive bars) to arrive at closing cash.
    • Instantly tells the story "Where did the cash go?".
  • Always compare current-year waterfall to the prior year and to peers.

Investment Principle: Cash Generation Rules

  • Golden rule: the value of any asset, project or company is its ability to generate future cash.
  • Classic comparison exercise (to be modelled tomorrow):
    1. Lump-sum deposit earning 5 % p.a. for 5 years.
    2. Equity investment paying dividends for 5 years plus sale proceeds.
    3. Income-producing asset (e.g., rental property or vehicle) + disposal value.
  • Technique:
    • Forecast annual cash flows.
    • Discount to present value (PV): \text{PV}=\sum{t=1}^{n}\frac{\text{CF}t}{(1+r)^t}
    • Choose the option with the highest PV.
  • This discounted-cash-flow (DCF) mindset underpins investment banking, private equity and corporate valuations.

Valuing a Company: Market Capitalisation

  • Definition: \text{Market Cap}=N{\text{shares}}\times P{\text{share}}
  • Illustrative example: 1\,000\,000 shares × R1 = R1\,000\,000 company value.
  • Two drivers:
    1. Share price momentum (earnings growth, sentiment).
    2. Share count (issuances or buy-backs).

South Africa’s Largest Companies (Classroom Discussion)

  • AngloGold Ashanti ≈ 24\;\text{bn} (USD) market cap – ranked #2.
  • Largest ≈ 50\;\text{bn} (USD) – identified in class as Naspers / Prosus group.

Case Study: Naspers / Prosus

  • Origin: Afrikaans newspaper publisher; reinvented into a tech & investment powerhouse.
  • Transformational bet: $32 million stake in Tencent → now worth ~$600 billion (USD).
  • Corporate structure:
    • SA-listed Naspers (legacy media + local ops).
    • Dutch-listed Prosus (global tech investments).
  • CEO: Brazilian entrepreneur who built the "Uber Eats of South America" (iFood).
  • Active strategy: acquire on-demand & AI-driven platforms (e.g., Just Eat Takeaway in Europe).
  • Cash-flow fingerprint:
    • Modest positive CFO from Media24, News24, M-Net, etc.
    • CFI dominates – multibillion-rand swings from buying & selling stakes.
  • Share price perspective:
    • ≈ R7,000 per share today vs. ~R20 decades ago.
  • Compensation sidebar: CEO earns ≈ R100+ million p.a.; dwarfed by shareholder wealth creation.

Broader Lessons & Ethical / Practical Implications

  • Relentless focus on finding "the next big thing" (AI, tech platforms).
  • Entrepreneurship pathway: technical founders (engineering, science) create the idea; commerce graduates structure, finance and scale it.
  • Importance of rigorous financial literacy for future CEOs:
    • Question every large cash-flow line.
    • Verify statement integrity (bank balance cross-check).
  • Ethical dimension: chasing investment returns must still consider stakeholder impact (not explicitly covered but implicit).

Skills to Hone Before the Exam & in Practice

  • Prepare a full cash-flow statement from scratch and reconcile it.
  • Identify whether CapEx is growth or maintenance.
  • Distinguish sources/uses in financing.
  • Build and interpret a waterfall chart.
  • Compute market cap and analyse share drivers.
  • Perform a basic DCF, selecting appropriate discount rates (risk-adjusted).
  • Read analyst presentations and annual reports critically; track cash not just profit.

Coming Up Next

  • Tomorrow: hands-on discounted cash-flow modelling for the three investment alternatives mentioned above.