The Presidency of George H.W. Bush Notes
Bush 41 Presidency
- Born in Massachusetts, lived in Greenwich, CT.
- Naval Aviator during WWII, shot down twice (only survivor).
- Yale graduate (economics), captain of baseball team (graduated in 2.5 years).
- Moved to Texas, involved in the oil business.
- Elected to Congress in 1966.
- Ambassador to UN under Nixon.
- Director of CIA under Ford.
- Reaganomics: labeled as "Voodoo-economics".
- VP from 1981-1989.
1988 Election
- Bush ran against Michael Dukakis (Governor of Massachusetts) and won.
- Dukakis described as radical left-wing liberal.
- Bush promised to maintain the legacy of Reagan: peace, stability, etc. (soft on crime).
- Foreign policy president: Kuwait war, Gulf war, re-unification.
- Dan Quayle: VP.
- First incumbent VP to be president since 1836.
- Top priority: bring an end to federal budget deficits.
- Addresses the liability to long-term economic health and standing in the world.
Problems with Deficit
- Crowding-out effect: government borrows, increase interest rates, crowds out and reduce private sector investment.
- Loanable funds market.
- Monetizing the deficit (printing money).
- Foreign investors lose confidence: The US cannot pay obligations, making it more expensive to borrow money, ditching dollars if you cannot pay debt dragging down value.
- Reduced spending on federal programs that boost economic growth.
Bush's Domestic Agenda
- Difficult to enact major domestic programs.
- Low government spending to fight this.
- Did not have revenue or political climate to take on big ventures.
- Assuming the presidency: "Limited agenda".
- Volunteerism.
- Education Reform.
- Anti-drug efforts.
- "A thousand points of light, of all the community organizations that are spread like stars throughout the nation, doing good".
Budget Issues
- Speech: "Read my lips, no new taxes".
- Trying to balance budget plus reduce deficit without imposing additional taxes on American people (proposed gas taxes but was rejected).
- Has to compromise with Congress (Democrats control).
- After budget got shut down, Budget Reconciliation Act of 1990 leads to no new tax but "revenue increases".
Savings and Loan Crisis
- Bailed out industry.
- Thrift: go there and get a loan/mortgage to buy a house at a fixed rate.
- Mortgages back story: Early 1980s starts.
- Offer low rates to people (loans).
- To attract deposits need to offer higher interest rates.
- Unable to meet liabilities.
- Liability mismatch problem: Paul Volcker raised interest rates --> 86-93 collapse.
- Bailout of 50 billion.
Latin American Crisis
- Argentina, Brazil, Mexico economies doing well in the 60s and 70s.
- Wanted to borrow money to invest in infrastructure --> 1980s high interest, becomes difficult for countries to pay back debt (impact currencies).
- Brady Bands: offered banks credit enhancements in exchange for agreement to reduce debt.
- Civil Rights Americans with Disabilities Act.
- Elevators of 1990.
- Environment Clean Air Act of 1990.
1992 Re-Election Bid
- Lost to Clinton: Welfare Reform, healthcare reform.