Macroeconomics and National Income Accounting
Introduction to Macroeconomics
- Macroeconomics is the branch of economics that focuses on large-scale or general economic factors.
- Major areas of study include interest rates and national productivity.
National Income Accounting (NIA)
- National Income Accounting is a bookkeeping system used by governments to measure the level of a country's economic activity within a specific time period.
The Circular Flow Diagram
- This model represents the movement of goods, services, and money throughout the economy.
- There are two major actors in this system: households and firms.
- Firms provide goods and services for households to consume.
- Firms offer incomes to households in exchange for resources.
Indicators of Aggregate Output
- There are two primary indicators used to quantify aggregate economic output:
- Gross National Product (GNP)
- Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Gross National Product (GNP)
- GNP is the total value of all goods and services produced by a country's residents and businesses, regardless of where the production takes place.
- It serves as an indicator of the financial well-being of a nation's citizens and its multi-national corporations.
- The formula for GNP is defined as:
Y=C+I+G+X+Z
- Alternatively, GNP can be expressed as:
Y=GDP+Net Income Inflow from Overseas−Net Income Outflow to Foreign Countries
- Variables in the formula represent:
- C: Consumption
- I: Investment
- G: Government expenditures
- X: Net exports (exports minus imports)
- Z: Net income earned by domestic residents from overseas investments minus net income earned by foreign residents from domestic investments.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
- GDP measures the total production occurring within the geographic borders of a country, regardless of the nationality of the producer.
- It serves as a sound indicator of the overall health of a specific economy.
- GDP is often referred to as aggregate demand.
Methodologies for Calculating GDP
- GDP can be measured through three different approaches: spending (expenditure), factor incomes, and value of output.
Expenditure Approach
- One method calculates GDP by summing the output of primary sectors:
GDP=Agriculture, Fishery and Forestry+Industry+Services
- The standard expenditure formula is:
GDP=C+I+G+Exports−Imports
- Components of the expenditure approach include:
- Consumption
- Government spending
- Investment spending
- Change in value of stocks
- Exports
- Imports (subtracted)
Income Approach
- This approach sums the various types of income generated by production:
GDP=COE+NOS+Depreciation+IBTS
- Components of Factor Incomes include:
- Income from people in jobs and self-employment (e.g., wages and salaries).
- Profits of private sector businesses.
- Rent income from the ownership of land.
Value of Output Approach
- This calculates the value added from each main economic sector:
- Primary Sector
- Secondary Sector
- Manufacturing Sector
- Quaternary Sector
United States GDP Components (Data in $ Billions)
- Gross Domestic Product:
- 2009 Quarter I: 14,178.0
- 2009 Quarter II: 14,151.2
- 2009 Quarter III: 14,242.1
- 2009 Quarter IV: 14,453.8
- 2010 Quarter I: 14,601.4
- Personal Consumption Expenditures (C):
- 2010 Quarter I Total: 10,362.3
- Goods: 3,406.6
- Durable goods: 1,072.8
- Nondurable goods: 2,333.8
- Services: 6,955.8
- Gross Private Domestic Investment (I):
- 2010 Quarter I Total: 1,763.8
- Fixed Investment: 1,726.9
- Nonresidential: 1,371.3
- Structures: 417.5
- Equipment and software: 953.9
- Residential: 355.5
- Change in private inventories:
- 2009 I: −127.4
- 2009 II: −176.2
- 2009 III: −156.5
- 2009 IV: −23.6
- 2010 I: 36.9
- Net Exports of Goods and Services (X-M):
- 2010 Quarter I Total: −499.4
- Exports: 1,729.3
- Goods: 1,180.0
- Services: 549.3
- Imports: 2,228.7
- Goods: 1,827.8
- Services: 400.9
- Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment (G):
- 2010 Quarter I Total: 2,974.7
- Federal: 1,186.4
- National defense: 805.6
- Nondefense: 380.7
- State and local: 1,788.3
Philippine Economic Statistics (2017)
- Gross National Income (GNI): 1.053 trillion PPP dollars.
- Gross Domestic Product (GDP): 313.6 billion USD.
Classification of Goods
- Final Goods: Also known as consumer goods, these are goods ultimately consumed by the user rather than being used as components to produce other goods.
- Intermediate Goods: Goods used in the production process to create other goods.
Price and Output Measures
- Nominal GDP: This is the GDP evaluated at current market prices. It reflects changes in market prices due to inflation or deflation during the current year.
- Real GDP: This is the GDP evaluated at the market prices of a specific base year to filter out the effects of price changes.
- GDP Deflator: A conversion factor that transforms real GDP into nominal GDP. In the base year, real GDP equals nominal GDP, making the GDP Deflator exactly 100.
Inflation, Deflation, and Prosperity
- Inflation Rate: If the percentage change in the GDP deflator over a period is positive (X%), that value represents the inflation rate.
- Deflation Rate: If the percentage change in the GDP deflator over a period is negative (X%), that value represents the rate of deflation.
- GDP per Capita: This is calculated by dividing the total GDP by the total population. It is considered the best measurement of a country's standard of living and reflects the prosperity felt by citizens.
- PPP per Capita: This is the purchasing power parity (PPP) value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given year, divided by the average (or mid-year) population for that year.
Personal Disposable Income and GDP Limitations
- Personal Disposable Income (DPI): The amount of money households have remaining for spending and saving after income taxes are paid.
- GDP Limitations: GDP fails to account for several factors, including:
- Income distribution.
- Costs of high output levels, such as pollution.
- Value of leisure time.
- Informal transactions and illegal activities.
Price Indices
- Price Index: Indicates changes in the cost of purchasing a specific bundle of goods in a given year relative to a base year.
- Consumer Price Index (CPI): Specifically measures the change in the cost of purchasing a bundle of goods typically bought by an average household.