Macroeconomics and National Income Accounting

Introduction to Macroeconomics

  • Macroeconomics is the branch of economics that focuses on large-scale or general economic factors.
  • Major areas of study include interest rates and national productivity.

National Income Accounting (NIA)

  • National Income Accounting is a bookkeeping system used by governments to measure the level of a country's economic activity within a specific time period.

The Circular Flow Diagram

  • This model represents the movement of goods, services, and money throughout the economy.
  • There are two major actors in this system: households and firms.
  • Firms provide goods and services for households to consume.
  • Firms offer incomes to households in exchange for resources.

Indicators of Aggregate Output

  • There are two primary indicators used to quantify aggregate economic output:
    • Gross National Product (GNP)
    • Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Gross National Product (GNP)

  • GNP is the total value of all goods and services produced by a country's residents and businesses, regardless of where the production takes place.
  • It serves as an indicator of the financial well-being of a nation's citizens and its multi-national corporations.
  • The formula for GNP is defined as: Y=C+I+G+X+ZY = C + I + G + X + Z
  • Alternatively, GNP can be expressed as: Y=GDP+Net Income Inflow from OverseasNet Income Outflow to Foreign CountriesY = \text{GDP} + \text{Net Income Inflow from Overseas} - \text{Net Income Outflow to Foreign Countries}
  • Variables in the formula represent:
    • CC: Consumption
    • II: Investment
    • GG: Government expenditures
    • XX: Net exports (exports minus imports)
    • ZZ: Net income earned by domestic residents from overseas investments minus net income earned by foreign residents from domestic investments.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

  • GDP measures the total production occurring within the geographic borders of a country, regardless of the nationality of the producer.
  • It serves as a sound indicator of the overall health of a specific economy.
  • GDP is often referred to as aggregate demand.

Methodologies for Calculating GDP

  • GDP can be measured through three different approaches: spending (expenditure), factor incomes, and value of output.

Expenditure Approach

  • One method calculates GDP by summing the output of primary sectors: GDP=Agriculture, Fishery and Forestry+Industry+ServicesGDP = \text{Agriculture, Fishery and Forestry} + \text{Industry} + \text{Services}
  • The standard expenditure formula is: GDP=C+I+G+ExportsImportsGDP = C + I + G + \text{Exports} - \text{Imports}
  • Components of the expenditure approach include:
    • Consumption
    • Government spending
    • Investment spending
    • Change in value of stocks
    • Exports
    • Imports (subtracted)

Income Approach

  • This approach sums the various types of income generated by production: GDP=COE+NOS+Depreciation+IBTSGDP = \text{COE} + \text{NOS} + \text{Depreciation} + \text{IBTS}
  • Components of Factor Incomes include:
    • Income from people in jobs and self-employment (e.g., wages and salaries).
    • Profits of private sector businesses.
    • Rent income from the ownership of land.

Value of Output Approach

  • This calculates the value added from each main economic sector:
    • Primary Sector
    • Secondary Sector
    • Manufacturing Sector
    • Quaternary Sector

United States GDP Components (Data in $ Billions)

  • Gross Domestic Product:
    • 2009 Quarter I: 14,178.014,178.0
    • 2009 Quarter II: 14,151.214,151.2
    • 2009 Quarter III: 14,242.114,242.1
    • 2009 Quarter IV: 14,453.814,453.8
    • 2010 Quarter I: 14,601.414,601.4
  • Personal Consumption Expenditures (C):
    • 2010 Quarter I Total: 10,362.310,362.3
    • Goods: 3,406.63,406.6
    • Durable goods: 1,072.81,072.8
    • Nondurable goods: 2,333.82,333.8
    • Services: 6,955.86,955.8
  • Gross Private Domestic Investment (I):
    • 2010 Quarter I Total: 1,763.81,763.8
    • Fixed Investment: 1,726.91,726.9
    • Nonresidential: 1,371.31,371.3
      • Structures: 417.5417.5
      • Equipment and software: 953.9953.9
    • Residential: 355.5355.5
    • Change in private inventories:
    • 2009 I: 127.4-127.4
    • 2009 II: 176.2-176.2
    • 2009 III: 156.5-156.5
    • 2009 IV: 23.6-23.6
    • 2010 I: 36.936.9
  • Net Exports of Goods and Services (X-M):
    • 2010 Quarter I Total: 499.4-499.4
    • Exports: 1,729.31,729.3
    • Goods: 1,180.01,180.0
    • Services: 549.3549.3
    • Imports: 2,228.72,228.7
    • Goods: 1,827.81,827.8
    • Services: 400.9400.9
  • Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment (G):
    • 2010 Quarter I Total: 2,974.72,974.7
    • Federal: 1,186.41,186.4
    • National defense: 805.6805.6
    • Nondefense: 380.7380.7
    • State and local: 1,788.31,788.3

Philippine Economic Statistics (2017)

  • Gross National Income (GNI): 1.053 trillion PPP dollars1.053 \text{ trillion PPP dollars}.
  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP): 313.6 billion USD313.6 \text{ billion USD}.

Classification of Goods

  • Final Goods: Also known as consumer goods, these are goods ultimately consumed by the user rather than being used as components to produce other goods.
  • Intermediate Goods: Goods used in the production process to create other goods.

Price and Output Measures

  • Nominal GDP: This is the GDP evaluated at current market prices. It reflects changes in market prices due to inflation or deflation during the current year.
  • Real GDP: This is the GDP evaluated at the market prices of a specific base year to filter out the effects of price changes.
  • GDP Deflator: A conversion factor that transforms real GDP into nominal GDP. In the base year, real GDP equals nominal GDP, making the GDP Deflator exactly 100100.

Inflation, Deflation, and Prosperity

  • Inflation Rate: If the percentage change in the GDP deflator over a period is positive (X%X\%), that value represents the inflation rate.
  • Deflation Rate: If the percentage change in the GDP deflator over a period is negative (X%X\%), that value represents the rate of deflation.
  • GDP per Capita: This is calculated by dividing the total GDP by the total population. It is considered the best measurement of a country's standard of living and reflects the prosperity felt by citizens.
  • PPP per Capita: This is the purchasing power parity (PPP) value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given year, divided by the average (or mid-year) population for that year.

Personal Disposable Income and GDP Limitations

  • Personal Disposable Income (DPI): The amount of money households have remaining for spending and saving after income taxes are paid.
  • GDP Limitations: GDP fails to account for several factors, including:
    • Income distribution.
    • Costs of high output levels, such as pollution.
    • Value of leisure time.
    • Informal transactions and illegal activities.

Price Indices

  • Price Index: Indicates changes in the cost of purchasing a specific bundle of goods in a given year relative to a base year.
  • Consumer Price Index (CPI): Specifically measures the change in the cost of purchasing a bundle of goods typically bought by an average household.