Drug Trafficking Study Notes
Chapter Eleven: Drug Trafficking
Overview of the Drug Trade
The illegal drug trade constitutes a massive enterprise comparable to many legal industries.
Estimated global annual revenue exceeds half a trillion dollars.
This amount is approximately three times the total value of all U.S. currency in circulation.
It surpasses the gross national products of all but six major industrialized nations.
The United Nations Office of Drug and Crime (UNODC) estimates there are around 300 million illicit drug users globally.
Approximately 10 to 13 percent of these users create significant societal problems, including poor health, decreased productivity, and drug-related crimes.
Availability, Price, Purity, and Source
Factors Influencing Drug Use
Factors that affect illicit drug use in a given country include:
Disposable income: Higher disposable income can lead to increased drug use.
Age distribution: Different age groups may have varying levels of drug consumption.
Sexual equality: Societal attitudes toward gender roles can impact drug use rates.
Unemployment and income inequality: Economic conditions significantly shape drug consumption patterns.
Total Expenditures on Illicit Drugs in the United States
Table 11.1: Total Expenditures on Illicit Drugs, 1988 to 2016 (in Billions)
Cocaine:
1988: 107.0
1992: 49.9
1996: 39.2
2000: 35.2
2006: 38
2010: 28.3
2016: 24
Heroin:
1988: 26.1
1992: 17.2
1996: 12.8
2000: 10.0
2006: 11
2010: 27.0
2016: 43
Methamphetamine:
1988: 5.8
1992: 4.8
1996: 10.1
2000: 5.4
2006: 18
2010: 13.0
2016: 27
Marijuana:
1988: 12.1
1992: 14.6
1996: 9.5
2000: 10.5
2006: 34
2010: 40.6
2016: 52
Total:
1988: 154.3
1992: 88.0
1996: 74.3
2000: 63.5
2006: 101
2010: 108.9
2016: 146
The Myth of Market Centralization
Overview of the Drug Trade's Structure
It is a common myth that the drug trade operates in a highly hierarchical and organized fashion, akin to conspiracy theories involving the Mafia with a singular leader or boss.
The degree of organization varies significantly based on the drug, production, and distribution methods.
Drug dealing in the United States has become increasingly decentralized over the past generation, with many independent enterprises.
Illegal drugs are smuggled into the U.S. from several dozen countries and sold by a variety of dealers from different racial and ethnic backgrounds.
Each drug manifests unique distribution patterns, including sources, trafficking routes, price structures, and networks.
Economic Myths about the Drug Trade
Despite common perceptions, the drug trade is often exaggerated in terms of its size.
Spending on illicit drugs does not exceed spending on other consumer goods in the economy.
The economic implications of the drug trade are sufficient to provide workers in both illegal and legal sectors sustenance.
An estimated elimination of the drug trade would result in significant job loss, similar to the downfall of any other industry such as agriculture or technology.
Models of Drug Trafficking
Pure Agricultural Model: Refers to drugs sourced from plants with little to no transformation, including primarily marijuana and opium.
Pure Chemical Model: Involves entirely lab-produced substances, such as Ecstasy, LSD, and methamphetamine.
Mixed Model: Combines both agricultural and chemical processes, applicable to drugs like heroin and cocaine.
Specific Drugs and Their Distribution Patterns
Heroin Distribution
Historically, heroin primarily came from the Golden Triangle in Southeast Asia (Burma, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand) or the Golden Crescent in Western Asia (Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Eastern Turkey).
Currently, over 90% of heroin in the U.S. is sourced from Mexico.
Distribution model conforms to the mixed model, where the opium is cultivated, harvested by farmers, refined to morphine, and further processed into heroin.
Cocaine Distribution
Most cocaine in the U.S. originates from Colombia, Peru, and Bolivia, specifically with 92% sourced from Colombia.
Distribution also follows a funneling effect, yielding vast profits for high-level wholesalers while supplying minor profits to farmers and street-level dealers.
Marijuana Trends
Marijuana is increasingly legalized in various states across the U.S.
Domestic cultivation accounts for approximately 50% of U.S. consumption, with additional sources from Mexico, Colombia, and Central America.
Unique in that it is often produced by consumers themselves.
Methamphetamine Sources
Methamphetamine typically comes from China, Canada, and large labs in Mexico, along with smaller domestic labs.
This drug is widely available in various regions across the U.S., particularly in the West and Midwest.
Ecstasy and LSD Production
During the 1990s, around 80% of MDMA (Ecstasy) was produced in Belgium and the Netherlands; currently sourced primarily from China, Southeast Asia, and Canada.
LSD production is less widespread due to the complexity and chemical expertise required, with perhaps only a dozen labs, primarily on the West Coast, supplying most of the U.S. demand.