Drug Trafficking Study Notes

Chapter Eleven: Drug Trafficking

Overview of the Drug Trade

  • The illegal drug trade constitutes a massive enterprise comparable to many legal industries.

  • Estimated global annual revenue exceeds half a trillion dollars.

    • This amount is approximately three times the total value of all U.S. currency in circulation.

    • It surpasses the gross national products of all but six major industrialized nations.

  • The United Nations Office of Drug and Crime (UNODC) estimates there are around 300 million illicit drug users globally.

    • Approximately 10 to 13 percent of these users create significant societal problems, including poor health, decreased productivity, and drug-related crimes.

Availability, Price, Purity, and Source

Factors Influencing Drug Use
  • Factors that affect illicit drug use in a given country include:

    • Disposable income: Higher disposable income can lead to increased drug use.

    • Age distribution: Different age groups may have varying levels of drug consumption.

    • Sexual equality: Societal attitudes toward gender roles can impact drug use rates.

    • Unemployment and income inequality: Economic conditions significantly shape drug consumption patterns.

Total Expenditures on Illicit Drugs in the United States
  • Table 11.1: Total Expenditures on Illicit Drugs, 1988 to 2016 (in Billions)

    • Cocaine:

    • 1988: 107.0

    • 1992: 49.9

    • 1996: 39.2

    • 2000: 35.2

    • 2006: 38

    • 2010: 28.3

    • 2016: 24

    • Heroin:

    • 1988: 26.1

    • 1992: 17.2

    • 1996: 12.8

    • 2000: 10.0

    • 2006: 11

    • 2010: 27.0

    • 2016: 43

    • Methamphetamine:

    • 1988: 5.8

    • 1992: 4.8

    • 1996: 10.1

    • 2000: 5.4

    • 2006: 18

    • 2010: 13.0

    • 2016: 27

    • Marijuana:

    • 1988: 12.1

    • 1992: 14.6

    • 1996: 9.5

    • 2000: 10.5

    • 2006: 34

    • 2010: 40.6

    • 2016: 52

    • Total:

    • 1988: 154.3

    • 1992: 88.0

    • 1996: 74.3

    • 2000: 63.5

    • 2006: 101

    • 2010: 108.9

    • 2016: 146

The Myth of Market Centralization

Overview of the Drug Trade's Structure
  • It is a common myth that the drug trade operates in a highly hierarchical and organized fashion, akin to conspiracy theories involving the Mafia with a singular leader or boss.

  • The degree of organization varies significantly based on the drug, production, and distribution methods.

  • Drug dealing in the United States has become increasingly decentralized over the past generation, with many independent enterprises.

    • Illegal drugs are smuggled into the U.S. from several dozen countries and sold by a variety of dealers from different racial and ethnic backgrounds.

    • Each drug manifests unique distribution patterns, including sources, trafficking routes, price structures, and networks.

Economic Myths about the Drug Trade
  • Despite common perceptions, the drug trade is often exaggerated in terms of its size.

    • Spending on illicit drugs does not exceed spending on other consumer goods in the economy.

  • The economic implications of the drug trade are sufficient to provide workers in both illegal and legal sectors sustenance.

    • An estimated elimination of the drug trade would result in significant job loss, similar to the downfall of any other industry such as agriculture or technology.

Models of Drug Trafficking

  • Pure Agricultural Model: Refers to drugs sourced from plants with little to no transformation, including primarily marijuana and opium.

  • Pure Chemical Model: Involves entirely lab-produced substances, such as Ecstasy, LSD, and methamphetamine.

  • Mixed Model: Combines both agricultural and chemical processes, applicable to drugs like heroin and cocaine.

Specific Drugs and Their Distribution Patterns

Heroin Distribution
  • Historically, heroin primarily came from the Golden Triangle in Southeast Asia (Burma, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand) or the Golden Crescent in Western Asia (Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Eastern Turkey).

    • Currently, over 90% of heroin in the U.S. is sourced from Mexico.

  • Distribution model conforms to the mixed model, where the opium is cultivated, harvested by farmers, refined to morphine, and further processed into heroin.

Cocaine Distribution
  • Most cocaine in the U.S. originates from Colombia, Peru, and Bolivia, specifically with 92% sourced from Colombia.

  • Distribution also follows a funneling effect, yielding vast profits for high-level wholesalers while supplying minor profits to farmers and street-level dealers.

Marijuana Trends
  • Marijuana is increasingly legalized in various states across the U.S.

  • Domestic cultivation accounts for approximately 50% of U.S. consumption, with additional sources from Mexico, Colombia, and Central America.

    • Unique in that it is often produced by consumers themselves.

Methamphetamine Sources
  • Methamphetamine typically comes from China, Canada, and large labs in Mexico, along with smaller domestic labs.

  • This drug is widely available in various regions across the U.S., particularly in the West and Midwest.

Ecstasy and LSD Production
  • During the 1990s, around 80% of MDMA (Ecstasy) was produced in Belgium and the Netherlands; currently sourced primarily from China, Southeast Asia, and Canada.

  • LSD production is less widespread due to the complexity and chemical expertise required, with perhaps only a dozen labs, primarily on the West Coast, supplying most of the U.S. demand.