CFA Exam Preparation Notes - Quant Methods and Economics
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Key Concepts in Quantitative Methods and Economics
1. Rates and Returns
Interest Rates: Measured as required rates of return, discount rates.
Holding Period Return (HPR): Percentage increase in investment value.
Money-Weighted vs Time-Weighted Returns: Evaluation methods for portfolios.
2. The Time Value of Money
Present Value (PV): Future cash flows discounted to present value.
Growth and Cash Flow: Implied returns based on future cash flows.
3. Statistical Measures of Asset Returns
Central Tendency: Measures like mean, median, and mode.
Dispersion Measures: Variance and standard deviation.
4. Probability Trees and Conditional Expectations
Probability Models: Expected outcomes based on calculated probabilities.
Bayes' Formula: Updates probabilities with new information.
5. Portfolio Mathematics
Expected Portfolio Return: Weighted sums of individual asset returns.
Covariance and Correlation: Relationship between asset returns.
6. Simulation Methods
Lognormal Distributions: Modeling asset prices using continuously compounded returns.
Monte Carlo Simulation: Used to model risk factors in financial investments.
7. Estimation and Inference
Different sampling techniques affect variability and estimation.
8. Hypothesis Testing
Null vs Alternative Hypotheses: Framework for making statistical inferences.
Type I and II errors: Risks in testing hypotheses.
9. Tests of Independence
Chi-square Tests: For analyzing categorical data relationships.
10. Simple Linear Regression
Regression Analysis: Intercept and slope inform relationships between variables.
ANOVA: Analyzes variability and fits within regression analysis.
11. Introduction to Big Data Techniques
Fintech: Involves technologies applied to finance.
Big Data: Volume, velocity, and variety of data affecting finance.
12. Firms and Market Structures
Different structures (perfect competition, monopolistic competition, oligopoly, monopoly) affect pricing strategies and market outcomes.
13. Understanding Business Cycles
Phases: Expansion, peak, contraction, trough - affect economic indicators.
14. Fiscal Policy
Tools and implications of fiscal policy in economic management.
15. Monetary Policy
Thrives on managing the money supply and controlling inflation through interest rates.
16. Geopolitics and Globalization
Relations defining cooperation vs competition between nations impacting economics.